The Cincinnati Reds (6-23) will look to Colin Moran, riding a two-game homer streak, against the Milwaukee Brewers (19-11) at 6:40 PM ET on Tuesday, at Great American Ball Park. Milwaukee ( to win) has Freddy Peralta starting things off, and Cincinnati () counters with Hunter Greene.
The insights in what follows use the latest odds as of May 10, 2022 at 3:12 PM ET. Check out the table below for the most up-to-date lines for this matchup and get up to $1,000 Risk Free Bet at FanDuel today!
Brewers vs Reds Betting Lines
Brewers Betting Insights
- This season, the Brewers have won 17 out of the 25 games, or 68%, in which they’ve been favored.
- Milwaukee has a record of 5-1 in games where bookmakers favor them by at least -200 on the moneyline.
- The moneyline for this contest implies a 66.7% chance of a victory for the Brewers.
- Milwaukee and its opponents have gone over the total this season in 13 of their 30 opportunities.
- The Brewers have an ATS record of 15-15-0 in 30 games with a spread this season.
Brewers Last 10 Games Trend
| Stat | Avg/Total |
|---|---|
| Record | 6-4 |
| Runs Per Game | 6.9 |
| HR | 22 |
| ERA | 3.87 |
| K/9 | 11.93 |
Reds Betting Insights
- The Reds have come away with five wins in the 25 contests they have been listed as the underdogs in this season.
- Cincinnati has yet to win this season when listed as an underdog of +169 or worse on the moneyline this season.
- The Reds have an implied victory probability of 37.2% according to the moneyline set for this matchup.
- Cincinnati and their opponents have hit the over in 19 of their 29 games with a total set by oddsmakers this season.
- The Reds are 9-20-0 against the spread in their 29 games with a line set by sportsbooks this season.
Reds Last 10 Games Trend
| Stat | Avg/Total |
|---|---|
| Record | 3-7 |
| Runs Per Game | 5.1 |
| HR | 12 |
| ERA | 7.92 |
| K/9 | 10.63 |
Reds Probable Pitcher – Hunter Greene
- The Reds will send Greene (1-4) out to make his sixth start of the season. He is 1-4 with an 8.71 ERA and 29 strikeouts in 20 2/3 innings pitched.
- The righty last appeared on Thursday against the Milwaukee Brewers, when he went two innings, allowing eight earned runs while giving up nine hits.
- Greene has put together two starts this year that he pitched five or more innings.
- The Reds have a 1-4 record in Greene’s five starts this season when they were the underdog on the moneyline.
- Over Greene’s five starts, his team is 1-4.
- Greene’s starts went over the run total two times in five games with a set total this season.
Pitchers reflected above are based on projections as of May 10, 2022 at 3:12 PM ET and may not be the pitchers at game time.
Reds Relief Pitchers
| Name | Relief App. | IP | K/9 | H/9 | HR/9 | ERA |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dauri Moreta | 13 | 13.2 | 10.5 | 8.2 | 4.1 | 6.59 |
| Alexis Diaz | 13 | 14.0 | 10.3 | 5.2 | 0.7 | 0.64 |
| Hunter Strickland | 13 | 12.1 | 7.3 | 9.0 | 0.9 | 5.84 |
| Jeff Hoffman | 11 | 16.2 | 8.6 | 9.0 | 0.0 | 1.62 |
| Tony Santillan | 10 | 10.1 | 12.2 | 12.4 | 1.1 | 6.10 |
Brewers Probable Pitcher – Freddy Peralta
- Peralta and his team have a record of 1-4-0 against the spread when he starts.
- The right-hander’s last start was on Wednesday, when he tossed five innings while giving up three earned runs on five hits in a matchup with the Cincinnati Reds.
- Peralta will look to finish five or more innings for the fourth start in a row.
- Peralta’s team is 3-1 this season when he starts and they are the moneyline favorite.
- Peralta’s team has won three of his five starts this season.
- Games Peralta has started this season hit the over three times in five chances.
Pitchers reflected above are based on projections as of May 10, 2022 at 3:12 PM ET and may not be the pitchers at game time.
Brewers Relief Pitchers
| Name | Relief App. | IP | Ks | ERA | Holds | Saves |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Brad Boxberger | 12 | 10.1 | 9 | 1.74 | 7 | 0 |
| Hoby Milner | 12 | 11.0 | 10 | 4.09 | 0 | 0 |
| Devin Williams | 12 | 10.1 | 18 | 3.48 | 9 | 2 |
| Trevor Gott | 11 | 11.0 | 15 | 1.64 | 4 | 0 |
| Jandel Gustave | 11 | 12.0 | 14 | 6.00 | 1 | 0 |
Brewers Hitting Trends
- The Brewers have hit at least two homers in nine games this season, and won each time.
- The Brewers have won each of the three games this season when they have racked up five or more extra-base hits.
- The club has strung together at least eight hits in 12 games this season, and is 11-1 in those contests.
- The Brewers have a 14-1 record in games this season that they scored five or more runs.
- The Brewers are 5-1 in games this season when they have drawn at least five walks.
Reds Hitting Trends
- They are 2-4 this season when they hit two or more home runs in a game.
- The Reds rank 26th in baseball with a .341 slugging percentage.
- They have a record of 4-5 this season when collecting eight or more base hits in a game.
- They have won five of their 11 games this season in which they scored more than four runs.
- In three games this season with five or more walks drawn, they’ve posted a record of 2-1
Brewers vs. Reds Prediction
Moneyline Pick: Reds (+169)
Over/Under Pick: Over (8.5)
Predictions are calculated by a data-driven algorithm derived from offensive performance metrics and probable starting pitchers.
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