Brewers Vs Reds: MLB Betting Lines, Stats And Predictions – May 10, 2022

Written By PlayPicks Staff on May 11, 2022

The Cincinnati Reds (6-23) will look to Colin Moran, riding a two-game homer streak, against the Milwaukee Brewers (19-11) at 6:40 PM ET on Tuesday, at Great American Ball Park. Milwaukee (-200 to win) has Freddy Peralta starting things off, and Cincinnati (+169) counters with Hunter Greene.

The insights in what follows use the latest odds as of May 10, 2022 at 3:12 PM ET. Check out the table below for the most up-to-date lines for this matchup and get up to $1,000 Risk Free Bet at FanDuel today!

Brewers vs Reds Betting Lines

Brewers Betting Insights

  • This season, the Brewers have won 17 out of the 25 games, or 68%, in which they’ve been favored.
  • Milwaukee has a record of 5-1 in games where bookmakers favor them by at least -200 on the moneyline.
  • The moneyline for this contest implies a 66.7% chance of a victory for the Brewers.
  • Milwaukee and its opponents have gone over the total this season in 13 of their 30 opportunities.
  • The Brewers have an ATS record of 15-15-0 in 30 games with a spread this season.

Brewers Last 10 Games Trend

Stat Avg/Total
Record 6-4
Runs Per Game 6.9
HR 22
ERA 3.87
K/9 11.93

Reds Betting Insights

  • The Reds have come away with five wins in the 25 contests they have been listed as the underdogs in this season.
  • Cincinnati has yet to win this season when listed as an underdog of +169 or worse on the moneyline this season.
  • The Reds have an implied victory probability of 37.2% according to the moneyline set for this matchup.
  • Cincinnati and their opponents have hit the over in 19 of their 29 games with a total set by oddsmakers this season.
  • The Reds are 9-20-0 against the spread in their 29 games with a line set by sportsbooks this season.

Reds Last 10 Games Trend

Stat Avg/Total
Record 3-7
Runs Per Game 5.1
HR 12
ERA 7.92
K/9 10.63

Reds Probable Pitcher – Hunter Greene

  • The Reds will send Greene (1-4) out to make his sixth start of the season. He is 1-4 with an 8.71 ERA and 29 strikeouts in 20 2/3 innings pitched.
  • The righty last appeared on Thursday against the Milwaukee Brewers, when he went two innings, allowing eight earned runs while giving up nine hits.
  • Greene has put together two starts this year that he pitched five or more innings.
  • The Reds have a 1-4 record in Greene’s five starts this season when they were the underdog on the moneyline.
  • Over Greene’s five starts, his team is 1-4.
  • Greene’s starts went over the run total two times in five games with a set total this season.
  • Pitchers reflected above are based on projections as of May 10, 2022 at 3:12 PM ET and may not be the pitchers at game time.

Reds Relief Pitchers

Name Relief App. IP K/9 H/9 HR/9 ERA
Dauri Moreta 13 13.2 10.5 8.2 4.1 6.59
Alexis Diaz 13 14.0 10.3 5.2 0.7 0.64
Hunter Strickland 13 12.1 7.3 9.0 0.9 5.84
Jeff Hoffman 11 16.2 8.6 9.0 0.0 1.62
Tony Santillan 10 10.1 12.2 12.4 1.1 6.10

Brewers Probable Pitcher – Freddy Peralta

  • Peralta and his team have a record of 1-4-0 against the spread when he starts.
  • The right-hander’s last start was on Wednesday, when he tossed five innings while giving up three earned runs on five hits in a matchup with the Cincinnati Reds.
  • Peralta will look to finish five or more innings for the fourth start in a row.
  • Peralta’s team is 3-1 this season when he starts and they are the moneyline favorite.
  • Peralta’s team has won three of his five starts this season.
  • Games Peralta has started this season hit the over three times in five chances.
  • Pitchers reflected above are based on projections as of May 10, 2022 at 3:12 PM ET and may not be the pitchers at game time.

Brewers Relief Pitchers

Name Relief App. IP Ks ERA Holds Saves
Brad Boxberger 12 10.1 9 1.74 7 0
Hoby Milner 12 11.0 10 4.09 0 0
Devin Williams 12 10.1 18 3.48 9 2
Trevor Gott 11 11.0 15 1.64 4 0
Jandel Gustave 11 12.0 14 6.00 1 0

Brewers Hitting Trends

  • The Brewers have hit at least two homers in nine games this season, and won each time.
  • The Brewers have won each of the three games this season when they have racked up five or more extra-base hits.
  • The club has strung together at least eight hits in 12 games this season, and is 11-1 in those contests.
  • The Brewers have a 14-1 record in games this season that they scored five or more runs.
  • The Brewers are 5-1 in games this season when they have drawn at least five walks.

Reds Hitting Trends

  • They are 2-4 this season when they hit two or more home runs in a game.
  • The Reds rank 26th in baseball with a .341 slugging percentage.
  • They have a record of 4-5 this season when collecting eight or more base hits in a game.
  • They have won five of their 11 games this season in which they scored more than four runs.
  • In three games this season with five or more walks drawn, they’ve posted a record of 2-1

Brewers vs. Reds Prediction

Moneyline Pick: Reds (+169)

Over/Under Pick: Over (8.5)

Predictions are calculated by a data-driven algorithm derived from offensive performance metrics and probable starting pitchers.

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