2022 Masters Sleeper Picks | The 5 Best Value Plays For DFS Lineups & Betting Cards

Written By John Haslbauer on April 5, 2022 - Last Updated on April 7, 2022

The content keeps on flowing in during Masters week! We’ve pent up nine months of anticipation since our last major in July 2021 and I for one could not be more excited to talk about this field and our favorite 2022 Masters sleeper picks.

The Masters has not been kind to longshots historically from an outright perspective, and my betting card will surely reflect that with only a select few names. With that said, there’s plenty of value to exploit in the mid and bottom pricing tiers from both a DFS and prop betting perspective.

So with some help from DraftKings among other online sportsbooks, let’s get to our 2022 Masters longshots and sleepers for your DFS lineups and betting cards.

2022 MASTERS PICKS | DFS VALUE PLAYS & BETTING LONGSHOTS FOR AUGUSTA NATIONAL

Distance, course history, and all-around ability to perform in difficult scoring conditions define the profile of what it takes to find success at The Masters. That is no secret, and for the most part, the pricing and odds we see in the market are reflective of that formula.

Even still, these characteristics are not the end-all-be-all for what it takes to hang around in contention, so there is still an opportunity to exploit some value by honing in on specialists in certain key areas.

From a DFS standpoint, I’ll be trying to fit in at least two top-10 players from this field into each of my lineups, avoiding the mid-tier range for balanced builds. That means it’s crucial to hit on the high upside value players in the $7K and $6K ranges.

In a tight 91-man field with soft pricing released weeks in advance, it’s also more important than ever to take stances based on projected ownership.

The Masters trends have been predictive enough to show that random, out-of-form players do not step up to Augusta and win out of the blue, so from an outright betting perspective, I’ll be keeping a tight card with concentrated exposure at the top of the board.

With that said, there are countless examples of longshots or debutants pushing their way inside the top-20, so it will be crucial to get the bottom of the board correct from a DFS standpoint to ensure they are complementing a lineup featuring the more expensive elite players who hold the win equity.

Here’s a look at my favorite value plays for the 2022 Masters.

*Betting odds & DFS pricing from DraftKings are subject to change after writing. Stats pulled across Last 36 Rounds unless otherwise noted.

Marc Leishman (, $7,300)

Leishman has had a resurgent 2022 season, in which he’s carried a made-cut streak of nine consecutive events into THE PLAYERS before catching the wrong side of the weather splits, en route to an early exit.

I have no problem over-looking that MC in his last start. Looking back to the 2021 Masters, the back-to-back MC’s he entered with did not stop Leishman from posting a T5 finish. With six T20s in his first ten events of the year, Leishman rides in with comparatively better form in 2022.

The top-5 finish at the 2021 Masters was no fluke, as Leishman’s found repeatable success at Augusta with four career T15 finishes over nine appearances. You’ll be hard-pressed to find another player south of $7,500 on DraftKings who has that many Masters T15s and 2022 T30 finishes, so we’re getting a huge discount, given the course history and recent form.

The success at Augusta makes sense for Leishman, who has been excellent on Approach and Short Game over the totality of his career. From a model standpoint, Leishman rated out 22nd overall in this field for me, ranking above-average in all eight of the key stat categories I plugged in. He makes for a solid cash play in DFS this week, with expected high ownership, and a viable Top-10 or Top-20 placement bet.

Max Homa (, $7,100)

Course History is extremely important when projecting contenders at The Masters, so much so, that Homa’s price has dipped all the way down to $7,100 on DraftKings, despite entering this week with five T20 finishes over his first six events of 2022. Unfortunately, he’s missed the cut in his first two tries at The Masters, which has kept his numbers down at sportsbooks.

As far as recent comp courses go, Kapalua, Riviera, and Bay Hill are for all intents and purposes the three closest proxies to Augusta National we’ve seen so far in 2022. Homa posted finishes of T15, T10, and T17, respectively, to start the year. With those recent results, there’s plenty of reason to believe he may at least find the weekend this time around at Augusta.

Over the last 24 rounds, Homa ranks 10th in this field in SG: Ball Striking, which is exactly the type of trending form you hope to see before The Masters. He is persistently one of the best Par 5 Scorers on TOUR, and now entering this week ranked 5th in that category, he should position himself well to take advantage of the sparse scoring opportunities presented on the four Par-5s this week.

Gary Woodland (, $6,900)

Similar to Homa, Course History truthers may look the other way from the 2019 U.S. Open champion, but looking at recent form in a vacuum, Woodland should be a no-brainer at $6,900 on DraftKings.

It’s not ideal that Gary’s never finished better than T24 in eight career Masters appearances, but on the bright side, experience and familiarity with the course are paramount at Augusta National and the man has eight appearances under his belt.

He enters this week with three top-10 finishes over his last five starts, each coming in difficult scoring conditions at the Honda Classic, Arnold Palmer Invitational, and Valero Texas Open.

He’s accumulated over six total strokes gained over his previous five events, making this the best current form he’s ever arrived at Augusta National with. He’s also gained over 10 strokes on approach across his last two starts, the fifth-best in this field over that span.

His combination of Driving Distance and Par-5 Scoring (top 15 in each) should help generate ample birdie opportunities this week. He’ll be popular in DFS, but I’ll be taking a stance on Woodland at this price.

Keita Nakajima (, $6,400)

Okay so the first three players we’ve touched on here are not exactly sleepers from a DFS ownership standpoint, and each has very obvious cases to play. Nakajima is, and he offers a great contrarian opportunity. On a course that puts a premium on Driving Distance and Course Experience, what could go wrong with the 5’9″ fairway-finding 21-year-old amateur?

Nakajima is a highly touted Japanese amateur, who qualified for The Masters by winning the Asia Pacific Amateur Championship in November. Prior to that, he also won the Panasonic Open as an amateur on the Japan Tour.

He’s made two starts on the PGA TOUR in the 2022 season, making it through the cut in each with a T28 at the ZOZO Championship and T41 at the Sony Open. Coincidentally, he’s watched his idol Hideki Matsuyama win in person in each of his first two PGA TOUR starts (wait, maybe I should just be writing up Matsuyama instead?).

Now, the Sony Open and ZOZO Championship were each played on short courses under 7,200 yards, a far cry from the behemoth in store at Augusta National. With that said, Nakajima’s resume is one of the most decorated we’ve seen of an amateur at The Masters, so I absolutely love his chances in the low-amateur market, and even to scare the top-20 at gaudy odds.

Mackenzie Hughes (, $6,300)

As we dig towards the bottom of the DFS board, you start to look for specialists who can thrive if the course goes on to play a certain way. With Mackenzie Hughes, we’re getting a steep discount on a player who ranks 3rd overall in SG: Short Game on a course that all but requires an elite short game to contend.

That reliance on short game to mask some average ball-striking numbers does put a cap on his outright potential, but he’s fully capable of posting four rounds in the low-70s for a Top-20 bid if he brings his best stuff. In two career trips to The Masters, Hughes has a T40 and a MC.

You probably don’t think of Mackenzie Hughes when you think of Majors, but last season, Hughes posted finishes of T6, T15, MC, and T40 in his four Major appearances. When scoring gets increasingly difficult, it tends to reward the best short game players if the field at large is missing greens in regulation at a high clip.

Hughes is 25th in this field in SG: TOT over the last 36 rounds, joining Tom Hoge as the only two players in the $6K range to rank top-25 in total strokes gained.

2022 Masters Betting Odds

John Haslbauer Avatar
Written by
John Haslbauer

View all posts by John Haslbauer
Privacy Policy