The 2019-20 NBA season is rolling and we have a huge slate this Monday.
On every big slate this season, PlayPicks is providing our top bets against the spread and against point totals for all the NBA games.
Injuries can always play a factor into the point spreads listed by US sportsbooks like DraftKings Sportsbook and FanDuel Sportsbook in the NBA. Keep an eye on the status of star players with any sort of nagging injury or “load management” concerns as well.
In this column, we will list three of our best bets against the spread with data to support our picks. Then, we will list the following games on the NBA slate in order of our confidence in analyzing the matchup.
Keep in mind that lines can often shift when players are announced out due to rest or injury.
NBA February 3 Best Bets
San Antonio Spurs (+9) at Los Angeles Clippers
This line went up to 10 points and is still in a comfortable range for the underdogs at 9 points. The Spurs have been playing close games with their last 5 losses coming by an average of 3.2 PPG. Granted, they lost by 25 points (134-109) at home to the Clippers in December, but they also beat the Clippers, 107-97, earlier this season with both Kawhi Leonard and Paul George active. George is on a minutes limit right now and has looked very rusty since returning from a hamstring injury. Leonard is playing lights out, but the Clippers aren’t exactly blowing teams out with a modest 1.7 net rating over their last 6 outings.
The Spurs are rocking a 4.6 net rating during that same 6-game span and posted a stellar 114.9 offensive rating in January. They just kept pace with and beat the red-hot Jazz and should be able to match points against the Clippers with LaMarcus Aldridge (finger) back to join the ultra-efficient DeMar DeRozan.
Indiana Pacers (-5.5) vs Dallas Mavericks
The importance of Luka Doncic (ankle) will be highlighted in different ways with the superstar likely out through the ASB. The Mavs didn’t need him to dominate the lowly Hawks at home, but were blown out in Phoenix without Luka and couldn’t keep pace with a struggling Rockets team either. Tonight they’ll take on a Pacers team that is 18-6 with +5 PPG differential at home and just went 9-5 with the fifth-best offensive rating (115) in January.
Indiana is well equipped to stop the Doncic-less Mavericks, because Dallas generally depends more on outside shooting and low-post play when Luka is out. Indy allows the third-fewest 3PTM (11) per game and allows just 10.1 3PTM at a 31.2% clip in home games. On the other side of the ball, the Pacers rank third in overall FG shooting (47.6%) and are shooting 36% from deep in home games. They will be without T.J. Warren (concussion) tonight, but have Myles Turner (illness) back to deal with Kristaps Porzingis and the Mavs front line. Victor Oladipo adds some playmaking in the backcourt and Malcolm Brogdon (back) is also healthier than he’s been in weeks.
Minnesota Wolves (+1.5) at Sacramento Kings
The Wolves were absolutely robbed of a win over Sacramento last week, as Buddy Hield went supernova to erase a 14-point deficit and earn the Kings an eventual OT win. Minnesota has still failed to win a game with Karl-Anthony Towns in the lineup since before Thanksgiving, but that trend should come to an end tonight.
Towns and company will be highly motivated to earn some revenge against a Kings team that is relatively defenseless down low with Richaun Holmes (shoulder) and Marvin Bagley (foot) out. Dewayne Dedmon (illness) might not be at full strength if active, and the Kings will get torched by KAT if they try to go small. Minnesota had won 3 straight over Sacramento prior to collapsing last Monday. The Wolves have actually posted a much better record ATS (12-11-1) on the road this season and Sacramento has dropped 5 straight at home by an average of 12.6 PPG.
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NBA February 3 Picks Against The Spread
Memphis Grizzlies (-9) vs Detroit Pistons
This spread continues to rise as sharps hammer the Grizzlies at home. The Pistons defense is in a tailspin and Memphis is efficient enough offensively to run away with this one.
Orlando Magic (-4.5) at Charlotte Hornets
Charlotte’s past 5 losses have come by double digits and their sole win came against the lowly Knicks. Orlando can choke the Hornets defensively and win on the road.
Miami Heat (-2.5) vs Philadelphia 76ers
Miami is still one of the best home teams in the NBA and the Sixers are struggling with their chemistry will re-incorporating Joel Embiid and missing Josh Richardson (hamstring).
Phoenix Suns (+2.5) at Brooklyn Nets
Devin Booker will continue to use his all-star snub as motivation and the Nets might not be able to match points without Kyrie Irving (knee).
Atlanta Hawks (+7) vs Boston Celtics
The Hawks played the Celtics tough in Boston and have been a feisty team at home recently with a 10-point win over the 76ers and a 152-point performance against the lowly Wizards.
Cleveland Cavaliers (-2) vs New York Knicks
The Cavs are strong enough down low to neutralize the Knicks aggressive front line.
Washington Wizards (-5.5) vs Golden State Warriors
The Warriors have been incredibly boom-bust on the road and the Wizards aren’t exactly reliable either, but they do have Bradley Beal with the extra motivation of his all-star snub.