The Seattle Seahawks (10-2) visit the Los Angeles Rams (7-5) in a Week 14 NFC West clash on Sunday Night Football. Below, we make our betting picks for the moneyline, spread and over/under as the Seahawks try to move closer to their first division title since 2016 and the Rams fight for a wild-card spot. We’ll also shop for the game’s best prop bet at DraftKings Sportsbook or FanDuel Sportsbook. Advice on each bet type is provided as a “pick” or a “lean”. Picks are high-confidence plays based on the matchup and betting trends for both sides. The odds and lines at the time of publishing offer good value with a clear edge to be had at one (or both) of the books. Leans are for bets to be made once the line or odds reach a more attractive number as a result of injury developments or betting action.
The Seahawks have won five straight games and are coming off a 37-30 victory over the Minnesota Vikings on Monday Night Football. The Rams went 2-2 over their last four games but they most recently routed the rival Arizona Cardinals 34-7 on the road. This week’s game is the second between the two divisional rivals this year. The Seahawks won the first meeting by a 30-29 score on Thursday Night Football in Week 4. If the playoffs were to start today, the Seahawks would have a first-round bye as division champs (tiebreaker over the San Francisco 49ers). The Rams would be left out of the postseason.
While researching for your Seahawks at Rams picks, be sure to check out my Sunday Night Football Preview at TheLines. It breaks down the statistical and betting trends of both teams and highlights the key on-field matchups.
Seahawks at Rams picks: Moneyline
The Seahawks are the NFL’s only undefeated road team at 6-0. The Rams are 3-3 as the ‘home’ team, but one of those wins came in London, England. They’re 2-3 at Los Angeles Memorial Coliseum. The Rams are 3-2 against the Seahawks since Sean McVay became head coach to open the 2017 season. All but one of the five head-to-head matchups in that time was decided by six or fewer points. The other was a 42-7 blowout road victory for the Rams. The Seahawks have gone 7-2 against the teams’ shared opponents this season while the Rams are just 5-4.
Seattle is third in offensive yards per game (390.3) and fifth by points per game (27.4). LA is 10th in yards (369.6) but 12th by points (23.6). The Rams throw for nearly 30 more yards per game, but the Seahawks gain nearly 50 more yards per game on the ground. While Seahawks QB Russell Wilson is an MVP contender as a steady performer all year, Rams QB Jared Goff is coming off his best game of the season by throwing for 424 yards and two touchdowns without an interception. He hadn’t completed a touchdown in his previous three games.
Both teams are relatively healthy coming into Week 14. Seahawks DEs Ziggy Ansah (neck) and Jadeveon Clowney (core) are their main concerns. Rams OT Rob Havenstein (knee) and TE Gerald Everett (knee) are the ones to watch for the hosts. The loss of either Clowney or Ansah would be huge for Seattle. The Seahawks rank 29th in the NFL with 23 sacks on the year. If they can’t pressure Goff in the quiet environment of the Coliseum, he’ll be able to pick apart a secondary allowing 269.3 passing yards per game. We’re backing the Rams as slight home underdogs.
The Pick: Rams -102 (FanDuel Sportsbook)
Seahawks at Rams picks: Against the spread
The Rams opened as 1-point underdogs at both books but they’ve received the bulk of the action early in the week. DraftKings has the hosts as half-point dogs, while FanDuel has flipped the Rams to single-point favorites. LA is getting plus-money to cover at FanDuel.
Los Angeles is 8-4 against the spread for the year but they fail to cover by 0.7 points per game. Seattle is 7-5 ATS and they cover the points by 0.7 PPG. The Rams slip to 2-3 ATS at the Coliseum where they fail to cover by 10.9 PPG; a 55-40 outright loss to the Tampa Bay Buccaneers in Week 4 was the major cause. The Seahawks are 5-1 ATS on the road and cover by 6.4 PPG. Seattle has covered four games in a row, is 2-1 ATS in divisional games and is 19-14-1 ATS with a rest disadvantage since 2010 with Pete Carroll as head coach. LA is 2-2 ATS over its last four games. It’s 2-1 ATS in divisional games and it’s 7-3 ATS with a rest advantage under McVay.
Liking the Rams for the outright victory, double down with the plus-money for the hosts to win by more than one point.
The Pick: Rams -1 (+100 at FanDuel Sportsbook)
Seahawks at Rams picks: Over/Under
The total opened at 47.5 at both books, but FanDuel has dropped their number to 46.5 as of Wednesday night. The last four head-to-head meetings each topped that total. The Rams are just 4-8 against the Over/Under for the year, falling an average of 3.7 PPG shy of the projections. They hit the Over just once in their last seven games. The Seahawks are 7-5 against the O/U and top the number by an average of 4.5 PPG. They played to the Over in three of their last four games.
The Seahawks scored at least 27 points in four of their last five games. The Rams had been held below 20 points in three consecutive games before the 34-point outburst against the Cardinals. With the Rams’ focus having been the passing game and the Seahawks’ greatest defensive weakness being the air attack, LA should be able to put up a comparable score to last week. Take the Over on either number.
Sunday Night Football best bet
Winning Margin: Los Angeles Rams 1 to 6 (+360 at FanDuel Sportsbook)
Follow the trends of the head-to-head series and back the Rams for a one-score victory at home. The added incentive of playoff seeding (or qualification) will keep this one even closer. The game-winning score came in the final seven minutes in two of the last three meetings, while the Seahawks closed the gap to a single-score in their most recent loss to the Rams inside the two-minute warning.
It’s almost playoff time, and this NFC West rivalry game will be the perfect appetizer as the Rams make their bid.