2022 Honda Classic Sleeper Picks | The 5 Best Value Plays For DFS Lineups & Betting Cards

Written By John Haslbauer on February 22, 2022 - Last Updated on February 24, 2022

The PGA Tour makes its way to the east coast and Palm Beach Gardens for the first leg of the Florida Swing, the 2022 Honda Classic at the PGA National Champion Course.

PGA National is routinely one of the top three most difficult tests of golf that PGA Tour players see throughout the season and a demanding track always favors the most well-rounded players in the field who can reliably scramble for pars to keep their rounds afloat through the more difficult stretches of this golf course.

When you couple this with a comparatively weaker field lacking the depth of the recent Genesis Invitational and WM Phoenix Open, we should not expect a winning score to push much further past -10, especially if the wind plays a factor.

Whether it be Daily Fantasy or golf betting, it’s going to be an important week to nail down the right longshot/value plays. So with some help from DraftKings and a few other online sportsbooks, let’s get to our 2022 Honda Classic longshots and sleepers for your DFS lineups and betting cards.

2022 HONDA CLASSIC PICKS | DFS VALUE PLAYS & BETTING LONGSHOTS FOR PGA NATIONAL

From a DFS lineup construction standpoint, this sets up to be a very traditional, balanced lineup build.  There are plenty of question marks around the field’s best players and not much separation between the form of the $10K players vs the $9K crop.

In a comparatively weaker field to what we just saw on the west coast swing, it’s hard to feel too excited over any of the $6K options this week, so I’ve found myself really concentrating on the $7K range in DFS to take my stances.

When it comes to the betting side of things, my card is going to have a mix of some 100-1+ bombs and top-20 or top-40 placement bets from the below crop of value players.

Jon Rahm isn’t here, which means I’m feeling a little looser about reaching down the board again for some longshot bets. Matt Jones won last year at 70-1 while Keith Mitchell and Russell Henley have also won here at longer than 200-1 odds. So it’s safe to say that I’ll be looking to take some shots down the board.

*Betting odds & DFS pricing from Draft Kings are subject to change after writing. Stats pulled across Last 36 Rounds unless otherwise noted.

Rickie Fowler (, $7,600)

What we have here, is another Jason Day at the 2022 Farmers Insurance Open situation. A veteran with superior talent to everyone surrounding him in his price range, who’s dipped to a point where it is justifiable to take a flyer on the basis of course history despite the questionable form.

Day finished T3 at the Farmers and it would not shock me if Fowler, who ranks No. 1 in SG: TOT at the Honda Classic and finished T3 at the CJ Cup seven starts ago, made a T10 bid this week himself.

A resident in Jupiter, Florida, Rickie has always performed best on Bermuda courses, while struggling over the course of his career on Poa. That makes this an appealing buy-low spot on Fowler, who has started to find consistency with his irons and wedges, having gained 1+ stroke APP + ARG in four of his last five measured events.

The flatstick has not been there for Rickie over that stretch, but I’m optimistic a trip back home to Florida can resolve that, as Fowler ranks 12th in this field in SG: Putting at PGA National.

Aaron Rai (, $7,400)

It’s going to be a very entertaining Rookie Of The Year race in 2022, and while Mito Pereira will start to gain some separation after he goes on to win this week, Rai is quietly staying on pace with the other top KFT graduates like Cameron Young, Sahith Theegala, and Taylor Moore.

But unlike the rest of that group, Rai has already established himself on the international stage with a win at the 2020 Scottish Open on the European Tour, which simulated some similar difficult, windy conditions.

There is something about that European Tour experience that has bred carryover success from players like Tommy Fleetwood, Lee Westwood, Shane Lowry, and Ian Poulter, so I’m encouraged by the previous links course success ahead of Rai’s Honda Classic debut.

The form has been great for Rai to kick off 2022, having made it through the cut in eight of his last nine events. That includes four T20s over the course of that stretch, coming at Mayakoba, the Houston Open, RSM Classic, and the Farmers Insurance Open.

All four of those events were either played on shorter, wind-exposed tracks, or difficult grinder courses, equally encouraging for the amalgamation of those two characteristics in store at this week’s Honda Classic.

As far as comp courses to PGA National go, I like The Concession GC as the closest proxy, considering both courses are Jack Nicklaus designs on Florida Bermuda grass featuring an abundance of water hazards throughout with a strong emphasis on SG: APP.

Rai impressed there at last year’s WGC-Workday, gaining in all four categories en route to a T18 finish. This week, Rai is 11th in my model as a credit to ranking top-10 in SG: APP, SG: BS, and SG: TOT (Difficult Scoring Conditions), and looks poised to make another T20 bid.

Stewart Cink (, $7,100)

With so many unproven names surrounding Stewart Cink in this range, I find myself siding with the two-time 2021 PGA TOUR winner and former Major champion at a nice price discount following a shaky West Coast stretch.

A model of consistency, Cink has played the Honda Classic every single year since 2012, and made it through the cut each and every single time; his best finish came last year with a T19.

With top-40 finishes in three of his last four starts, I like Cink as a safe cut-maker in a field that seems to be starved for value and full of question marks beyond the low $7Ks.

Hudson Swafford (, $7,100)

It gets ugly pretty quickly as we review the names at the bottom of the board in this week’s field. So under that context, a $7,100 Hudson Swafford just two starts removed from a win at The AmEx is actually pretty appealing.

Russell Knox will be a pretty popular play this week both in betting and DFS as the #1 ranked player in SG: APP over the last 36 rounds. For $1,000 cheaper on DraftKings and triple the outright odds, however, we get Swafford who ranks third SG: APP and second SG: BS over the same span.

The Honda Classic has thrown us plenty of curveballs over the years, so I like Swafford as a high upside, low ownership pivot play on a course that should reward his elite approach play and plus-distance.

Kramer Hickok (, $6,800)

Kramer Hickok has been in the news lately due to his inside knowledge around the developing Saudi League (or at least we thought).

Unfortunately, he hasn’t been in the spotlight for his play on the golf course, which is how he’s slipped down to the $6Ks in the first place. Despite the immediate results not manifesting, I think PGA National is a better fit for Kramer than what we saw at the tail end of the west coast swing.

As one of the most reliable drivers on TOUR (10th Driving Accuracy, 16th Good Drives Gained), he should be poised to avoid the constant threat of water hazards on this course and position himself to attack these greens when in the fairway.

So far, that theory has checked out, as Hickok has finished inside the top-30 in each of his first two appearances at the Honda Classic. He’s made it through the cut in every other start over his last eight events, including a T30 at the Bermuda Championship, T4 at the Houston Open, and T20 at the Sony Open, which each pose similar scoring challenges.

Hickok found himself 6th overall in my model this week, ranking inside the top-25 of this field in  SG: APP, SG: BS, Scrambling, Par 4 Scoring, Prox: 150-200, and Comp Course History. Anyone who excels in Approach and Scrambling is going to catch my eye this week, so mixing that form along with the steady course history makes Hickok one of my favorite DFS value plays this week.

2022 Honda Classic Betting Odds

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