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The 2019-20 NBA season opened last month and we have a huge slate this Wednesday.

On every big slate this season, PlayPicks is providing our top bets against the spread and against point totals for all the NBA games.

Injuries can always play a factor into the point spreads listed by US sportsbooks like DraftKings Sportsbook and FanDuel Sportsbook in the NBA. Keep an eye on the status of star players with any sort of nagging injury or “load management” concerns as well.

In this column, we will list three of our best bets against the spread with data to support our picks. Then, we will list the following games on the NBA slate in order of our confidence in analyzing the matchup.

Keep in mind that lines can often shift when players are announced out due to rest or injury.

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NBA November 27 Best Bets

New Orleans Pelicans (+6) vs Los Angeles Lakers

Confidence: 9.4/10

The Lakers are deservedly getting a ton of attention for their 15-2 start, but their defense has kind of fallen off lately while they’ve eked out some close wins. The Purple and Gold rank 23rd in defensive rating (114.1) over their last four wins and are rocking a modest 3.0 net rating on the road this season. The Lakers are 3-4 ATS as road favorites this year and have a +4.3 PPG differential away from Staples Center, versus a +13 PPG differential at home. 

Continuing with that angle, the Pelicans have frequently kept things close with a -0.4 PPG differential at home and a 3-1 record ATS when listed as home underdogs. They’ve won three straight at home and have taken down the Clippers (without Kawhi) and Nuggets, while hanging within six points of the Rockets in New Orleans this season. The Pelicans defense has been soft and that won’t change, but Brandon Ingram has helped his team post the eighth-best offensive rating (112.1) in the NBA since rejoining the lineup on Nov. 19. 

This is a “revenge game” for so many players on both sides and Ingram should be highly motivated to perform against a Lakers franchise that took him with the second overall pick and essentially gave up on him when he struggled early in his career. Along with Jrue Holiday, Ingram should provide enough of a steadying presence to challenge the Lakers.

Milwaukee Bucks (-14.5) vs Atlanta Hawks

Confidence: 9.4/10

The Bucks have been doing people BAD lately with a league-best 120.4 offensive rating during their current 7-game win streak. Giannis Antetokounmpo is fresh off a mind-boggling 50-point, 14-rebound, 0-turnover game and walks into a cupcake matchup against a Hawks team that owns a league-worst 122.9 defensive rating during that 7-game span. 

Atlanta cover a double-digit spread at home against Milwaukee last week, but it required a late surge led by Trae Young. With Young (ankle) questionable tonight along with De’Andre Bembry (hip), the Hawks could struggle on both ends of the floor en route to an eighth consecutive loss. Atlanta is 2-6 with a -14.5 PPG differential on the road, and only Detroit has a worse record ATS than the Hawks (2-6-1) in road games this year. The Hawks are giving up the fifth-most PPG (52.7) in the paint over their last three outings and Giannis scored an easy 33 points on 12-for-17 FG shooting in their last meeting.

Sacramento Kings (+9.5) at Philadelphia 76ers

Confidence: 9.2/10

Fresh off a one-point loss in Boston, the Kings should be able to hang within single digits at the struggling Sixers. Philadelphia had a chance to gain some momentum by beating the Raptors on Monday, but managed just 2 points over the final 6 minutes in a 101-96 loss. Joel Embiid went scoreless on 0-for-11 FG shooting Philly’s crunchtime offense remains a virtual disaster with Al Horford serving as an odd fit next to Embiid. They’re also badly missing J.J. Redick for his floor-spacing ability. With Embiid struggling, the Sixers have managed the second-fewest PPG in the paint (35.3) over their last three contests. 

Sacramento is 6-1 ATS since De’Aaron Fox went down with an ankle injury over two weeks ago. The Kings have a 108.4 defensive rating during that span, which for context is just behind the Lakers (108.1) in the middle of the pack. While Philly is 7-0 at home this year, the Kings have the second-best record ATS (31-18-1) after a loss since the start of last season. The Sixers should bounce back with a win, but all you need is a competitive finish for a Kings cover. 

NBA November 27 Picks Against The Spread

Washington Wizards (+8.5) at Phoenix Suns

Confidence: 8.5/10

Ricky Rubio (back) is expected to return tonight for the Suns, but he was ineffective the last time he tried to play through the issue. Meanwhile, Washington owns the second-best offensive rating in the NBA and is fully capable of getting into another shootout.

Orlando Magic (-1) at Cleveland Cavaliers

Confidence: 8.5/10

Even without Nikola Vucevic (ankle), the Magic should be able to cruise past a Cavs team that’s posting a league-worst -16.9 net rating over their last five games.

Houston Rockets (-5.5) vs Miami Heat

Confidence: 8.2/10

Miami has a +18.3 PPG differential at home but a -2.3 PPG differential on the road this season. The Heat beat up on some poor teams but has been blown out by the Sixers and Lakers in recent weeks, so the Rockets could run away with this one.

Los Angeles Clippers (-6.5) at Memphis Grizzlies

Confidence: 8.2/10

The Clippers have struggled on the road and on B2B sets this season and Kawhi Leonard will probably sit this one out. But things are bound to change eventually for a squad with championship aspirations and dispatching the young Grizzlies on 0 days rest would be a sign of that positive growth. 

Portland Blazers (-3.5) vs Oklahoma City Thunder

Confidence: 8/10

Damian Lillard returned on Monday and Carmelo Anthony seemed to regain his rhythm with 25 points on 10-for-20 FG shooting. This is a revenge game for Melo and a small spread for Portland to cover at home.

Utah Jazz (+1.5) at Indiana Pacers

Confidence: 7.8/10

Indiana is off to a 10-6 start, but it’s come against the easiest schedule in the league according to how teams finished last year in Simple Rating System.

Toronto Raptors (-10.5) vs New York Knicks

Confidence: 7.5/10

The Raptors are second in the NBA in net rating over their last three games and the Knicks are scoring the fewest PPG in the paint (34) during that span.

Detroit Pistons (-4) at Charlotte Hornets

Confidence: 7.2/10

Zach LaVine will be the best player on the floor for this contest and should have his way attacking the paint if Draymond Green (heel) misses another game.

Minnesota Wolves (+2.5) at San Antonio Spurs

Confidence: 7/10

The Spurs are 1-9 straight up and 2-8 ATS the spread over their last 10 games. I mean, seriously San Antonio? They’re also 1-8 ATS at home this season.

Boston Celtics (-7) vs Brooklyn Nets

Confidence: 6.8/10

Kemba Walker (head) is expected to return tonight and he should perform well in front of a packed TD Garden that is sure to be loud on Thanksgiving Eve.

Chicago Bulls (-2) at Golden State Warriors

Confidence: 6/10

Zach LaVine will be the best player on the floor for this contest and should have his way attacking the paint if Draymond Green (heel) misses another game.