The 2019-20 NBA season opened last month and we have an exciting game slate this Friday.
On every big slate this season, PlayPicks is providing our top bets against the spread and against point totals for all the NBA games.
Injuries can always play a factor into the point spreads listed by US sportsbooks like DraftKings Sportsbook and FanDuel Sportsbook in the NBA. Keep an eye on the status of star players with any sort of nagging injury or “load management” concerns as well.
In this column, we will list three of our best bets against the spread with data to support our picks. Then, we will list the following games on the NBA slate in order of our confidence in analyzing the matchup.
Keep in mind that lines can often shift when players are announced out due to rest or injury.
NBA November 22 Best Bets
Miami Heat (-4.5) at Chicago Bulls
With Goran Dragic back in the lineup, the Heat had little issue covering an 11-point spread at home against the Cleveland Cavaliers on Wednesday. Miami remains one of our best bets on Friday even though the Heat will be on the road against a slightly better opponent.
Chicago actually posted a league-worst 14-27 record ATS when playing at home last season and is 3-5 with a -3.6 PPG differential at United Center this year. Miami owns a league-best 30-17-1 record ATS when on the road since the start of last season and is crushing it with the fourth-best defensive rating and sixth-best offensive rating over its last three outings.
Miami has won six of its last eight against the Bulls, including wins of 17 and 14 points in Chicago last season. Now they have Jimmy Butler, who will be motivated to perform against his former franchise, and has a much better supporting cast around him on the deep Heat.
Sacramento Kings (+1.5) at Brooklyn Nets
The Kings were originally getting 3.5 points against the spread on this line before it was quickly bet down to a Pick ‘Em game. It can still be considered a bonus to get one point for the superior Kings team that has covered in eight straight games and won four of their last five.
Brooklyn will once again be without Kyrie Irving (shoulder) and Caris LeVert (thumb) and big man Jarrett Ankle (ankle) could be hobbled. The Nets rank dead last in offensive efficiency over their last three games with Irving and LeVert out, while the Kings are 14th with the sixth-best rating in their last win. Bogdan Bogdanovic has been lights out since getting increased opportunity with De’Aaron Fox out and the Kings might be able to give the Nets matchup problems with a quicker front court of Richaun Holmes and Nemanja Bjelica. Harrison Barnes also has a huge advantage against Nets SF Joe Harris.
Brooklyn is coughing up the seventh-most PPG (116.6) this season and is coughing up 13 made 3PT per game at home. The Nets are 23-27 ATS at home since the start of last season.
Los Angeles Lakers (-4) at Oklahoma City Thunder
The Lakers failed to cover an 11-point spread in a narrow home win over the Thunder earlier this week. Therefore, bettors may be reluctant to take the Purple and Gold on the road, where they’re a more modest 3-2 ATS this season. Yet OKC isn’t guaranteed to get the same type of performance off the bench from Dennis Schroder (31 points on 12-for-20 FG shooting) and the Lakers did a fantastic job limiting the Thunder’s starting backcourt of Chris Paul and Shai Gilgeous-Alexander.
Overall, the Lakers are first in defensive rating, blocks per game (7.8) and second in PPG (101.1) allowed this year. The Thunder ranks 24th in PPG (105.5) and has leaned on defense to go 3-5 at home this year. However, OKC is yielding 107 PPG in the paint over its last three games and has no answers down low for LeBron James and Anthony Davis. If the home team can’t get another surprise performance from Schroder or another reserve, the Lakers should be able to cover.
NBA November 22 Picks Against The Spread
Atlanta Hawks (+6.5) at Detroit Pistons
The Hawks can’t defend anyone right now, but aren’t quitting on games with their high-powered offense. They almost certainly cover this number and probably push the total Over 224.
Denver Nuggets (-5) vs Boston Celtics
The Nuggets have quietly turned things around and have a huge size advantage over the Celtics down low. It’s possible Boston lays an egg in the last game of its taxing trip out West.
San Antonio Spurs (+7.5) at Philadelphia 76ers
Neither of these teams have been trustworthy this season and the Sixers failed to close out the Knicks on Wednesday. We like the Spurs to match up with their length and keep this one close.
Utah Jazz (-16) vs Golden State Warriors (+15.5)
With Draymond Green (heel) out, the Warriors should once again get demolished by a Jazz team that handled them in Golden State last week.
Dallas Mavericks (-9.5) vs Cleveland Cavaliers
Luka Doncic is picking teams apart right now and the Cavs have a horrible defensive backcourt with no answers for the young MVP candidate.
Houston Rockets (+5) at Los Angeles Clippers
The Clippers are still figuring things out offensively and leaning on their elite defense to win games against elite opponents. A defensive win is likely a close win that leads to another cover for the visiting team.
Washington Wizards (-6) vs Charlotte Hornets
The Wizards lead the NBA in offensive efficiency over the past week and could pull away if they play any semblance of defense against a limited Hornets team.