The 2019-20 NBA season opened last month and we have an exciting game slate this Friday.
On every big slate this season, PlayPicks is providing our top bets against the spread and against point totals for all the NBA games.
Injuries can always play a factor into the point spreads listed by US sportsbooks like DraftKings Sportsbook and FanDuel Sportsbook in the NBA. Keep an eye on the status of star players with any sort of nagging injury or “load management” concerns as well.
In this column, we will list three of our best bets against the spread with data to support our picks. Then, we will list the following games on the NBA slate in order of our confidence in analyzing the matchup.
Keep in mind that lines can often shift when players are announced out due to rest or injury.
NBA November 15 Best Bets
Boston Celtics (-7.5) at Golden State Warriors
The no-nonsense Celtics look to start their West Coast road trip on a much better note than they did last year when Kyrie Irving was “leading” this team. Kemba Walker is cooking now and shooting a scorching 46.7% from deep on the road. He could once again erupt down the stretch against a Warriors team that ranks last in defensive rating and coughs up the most 3PTM per game (13.6) in the NBA this year.
Jaylen Brown and Jayson Tatum have both posted good splits in the past against great Warriors teams and will now look to slash against G-League talent and rookies. If Marcus Smart can contain D’Angelo Russell, the Warriors will likely be unable to hang around. Golden State is 1-5 with a -9.6 point differential at home and is 4-8 ATS overall this season.
Memphis Grizzlies (+7.5) vs Utah Jazz
The young Grizzlies are starting to click with Ja Morant flashing leadership and the ability to provide clutch plays down the stretch. After wins in San Antonio and Charlotte, Memphis returns home to face a Jazz team that has historically been vulnerable on the road. Utah is just 1-4 ATS with a -1.2 point differential road games this season. The Jazz shoots just 43.4% on the road and Memphis is yielding just 46 PPG in the paint over its last three contests.
The Grizzlies can match up with Jonas Valanciunas capable of containing Rudy Gobert down low. Emotions should run high in Mike Conley‘s return to Memphis, which usually predicates nerves for the returning player and inspires the team that they left. Therefore, we expect a close game and another cover for the Grizz.
Orlando Magic (-3) vs San Antonio Spurs
The rapidly-declining Spurs are a league-worst 2-9 ATS this season and 22-26-1 ATS on the road since the start of last season. Orlando has also disappointed thus far, but still has the best scoring defense in the NBA and yields just 96.3 PPG at home. Orlando is 25-21-2 ATS at home since the start of last season with two blowout victories over its last three home games.
San Antonio is shooting 29.4% from deep with a measly 7.6 3PTM per game on the road. The Spurs have long depended on attacking the paint to get their offense going, but they’re 23rd in PPG in the paint (44.9) and the lengthy Magic yield the fourth-fewest PPG in the paint (43.1) this season.
The past six meetings between these teams have been huge blowouts, decided by an average of 24.3 PPG. The spread should be irrelevant depending on which defensive-minded team is able to string stops together.
NBA November 15 Picks Against The Spread
Minnesota Wolves (-7) vs Washington Wizards
The Wizars (No “D”) have already seen a lot of sharp action on the point total due to their inability to guard. We’re up to 240 points this morning and rising. In any case, that lack of defense spells trouble against Karl-Anthony Towns and Andrew Wiggins, who is averaging over 30 PPG his last six appearances.
Sacramento Kings (+10.5) at Los Angeles Lakers
Even without De’Aaron Fox, the Kings have been competitive because of lights out shooting from the perimeter. That should allow them to keep things close against a Lakers defense that is much stronger on the interior
Houston Rockets (-5) vs Indiana Pacers
The Pacers have had a nice run against some ECF bottom-feeders, but could be in for a rude awakening against James Harden and the Rockets.
Philadelphia 76ers (-3.5) at Oklahoma City Thunder
With Joel Embiid and a healthy Ben Simmons on the court together, it’s time for the Sixers to wake up and provide a statement on the road.
Detroit Pistons (-4) at Charlotte Hornets
Blake Griffin has been resting since his season debut Monday and should be ready to carry the Pistons along with Derrick Rose.