The Philadelphia Eagles (3-3) and Dallas Cowboys (3-3) take center stage in Week 7. The NFC East rivals battle for the top spot in the division on Sunday Night Football. Our SNF betting preview will break down the best moneyline, spread and Over/Under picks for the Eagles and Cowboys at DraftKings Sportsbook and FanDuel Sportsbook. Actionable advice on each bet type will be given in the form of either a “lean” or a “pick”.
“Picks” are plays that can be made at any point throughout the week at a fairly broad range of odds. These are high-confidence plays and the mid-week numbers at either DraftKings or FanDuel can represent early value. “Leans” refer to plays that can hinge on a variety of outside factors and are a little more volatile. Injuries, roster movement or weather can impact the lines. We may need to wait until they shift in the expected direction later in the week before placing a wager. It’s wise to shop around at the different sportsbooks for the best value, but occasionally we’ll avoid a bet completely if there is no edge to be found in either direction.
Below, we make our picks based on the on-field matchup and the early-season betting trends of both the Eagles and Cowboys. Be sure to head to the TheLines for the Sunday Night Football Preview before submitting your weekly wagers. There, we dive deeper into the odds and the matchup while looking at which way the lines may move before Sunday night’s kickoff.
Eagles at Cowboys picks: Moneyline
The moneyline has stayed steady through the first half of the week. The Cowboys are laying -148 at DraftKings and -150 at FanDuel. Both books are putting +130 odds on the Eagles as road ‘dogs. Dallas has lost three straight games to the New York Jets (24-22), Green Bay Packers (34-24) and New Orleans Saints (12-10). They remain 2-1 at home on the season, having beaten the hapless Miami Dolphins (31-6) and pre-Daniel Jones New York Giants (37-17). They’re 2-0 against the division and 2-1 as home favorites.
The Eagles took a 38-20 road loss against the Minnesota Vikings in Week 6. They’re 1-2 on the road while losing by an average of five points. They have faced only the Washington Redskins among their NFC East opponents, winning 32-27 in Week 1. The Cowboys have won four of the six meetings between the two since Doug Pederson took over as head coach of the Eagles to start the 2016 season. Each Dallas victory came by seven points or less. Philadelphia’s two wins came by 14 and 28 points.
Dallas ranks second in the NFL with 443.7 yards of offense per game. It’s third in passing yards and seventh in team rushing yards per game. The Eagles rank ninth in points scored per game (26.8) with the Cowboys 10th (25.5). Philadelphia has been more efficient and opportunistic while averaging 349.3 yards of offense per game. The Cowboys have the edge on defense with 331.8 total yards and 19.0 points allowed per game. The Eagles allow 353.0 yards and 24.8 points. Only three teams allow more yards through the air per game than Philadelphia’s 280.2.
The Cowboys have the edge in the passing game and should continue to exploit the Eagles’ greatest weakness. Their ability to do that will hinge on the availabilities of WRs Randall Cobb (back) and Amari Cooper (quad) who are both viewed as questionable. I like the Cowboys, but only if Cooper is able to suit up.
The Lean: Cowboys -148 (DraftKings Sportsbook)
Eagles at Cowboys picks: Against the spread
The Cowboys have dropped to 3-3 against the spread during their prolonged losing skid; the Eagles are 2-4 ATS on the year. Dallas has won by an average of 6.5 points through six games but has fallen an average of 1.5 points shy of the cover. Philadelphia wins by 2.0 points but fails to cover by 1.8 points. The ‘Boys are 2-1 ATS at home where they win by an average of 11 points but cover by just 0.2. The Eagles are 1-2 ATS as the road team, losing by five points and failing to cover by three points.
Injuries continue to plague the Eagles who will be without OT Jason Peters (knee) for the next several weeks. CB Ronald Darby (hamstring) and WR DeSean Jackson (abdomen) both have a chance to return for Sunday night but should each be viewed as questionable, at best. Outside of the two aforementioned receivers, Cowboys DL Tyrone Crawford (hip) was placed on injured reserve and OT Tyron Smith (ankle) is day-to-day.
Dallas is being spotted a field goal as of Wednesday night. I don’t like the threat of a push but will happily take the team that loses the half-point if the line shifts by game time. The slight majority of the public money is coming in on the visitors early in the week. I lean to a Cowboys’ cover but wait for their number to drop to 2.5.
The Lean: Cowboys -3 (+100 at FanDuel Sportsbook)
Eagles at Cowboys picks: Over/Under
The total has risen ever so slightly to 49.5 at both books. The Cowboys have topped that number in three of six games this year and the Eagles have done so in four of their six games. Just two of the last six meetings between the rivals have topped this week’s projection, including the last game on Dec. 9 of last season.
Both teams are 4-2 against the Over/Under. The Eagles top the projected total by an average of 5.8 points. The Cowboys fall an average of 1.2 points shy of the projection. Dallas is 2-1 O/U at home and Philadelphia is 2-1 as the visitor. As with both of the above bets, the availabilities of several key players will impact the combined point total. Unless the projection rises above 52 with active declarations, I like the OVER with Dallas and Philadelphia ranked fourth and sixth, respectively, in points per drive at 2.51 and 2.37.
The Pick: OVER 49.5 (+100 at FanDuel Sportsbook)
Sunday Night Football best bet
First to 25 points: Dallas Cowboys (+115 at DraftKings Sportsbook)
Keeping with the OVER selection, back the ‘Boys to top 25 points on their own before the Eagles close the gap late. In looking to exploit the numbers at the books, the Cowboys are getting -117 odds to top 25.5 team points. The Eagles are getting higher -110 odds to top 23.5 points. Dallas has better chances of reaching a higher team total than Philadelphia, according to the book. It only makes sense for them to reach it first.