Welcome to the Pennsylvania Sports Betting Brief for Tuesday, July 30. In this column, we’ll set the stage for Keystone State sports bettors’ day ahead and spotlight some potentially advantageous betting opportunities.
FanDuel Sportsbook joined the Keystone State online sports betting landscape last week and is poised for a quick ascent. We’ll touch on various factors that could help make that come to pass. Then, with a full slate of MLB games Tuesday, we’ll offer betting takes on the Giants-Phillies and Pirates-Reds battles.
Pennsylvania Sports Betting Industry News
FanDuel Sportsbook could soon be king of the hill in Pennsylvania
FanDuel Sportsbook became the fourth online sportsbook in Pennsylvania last week. It comes armed with several important weapons in its arsenal. One was ease of use for its customers. That’s especially true for those that may already have an account in neighboring New Jersey’s version of their online sportsbook. With a “shared wallet,” new Pennsylvania customers who are also existing Garden State patrons can pool funds from both states. FD also counts PayPal as one of its acceptable payment methods. That’s yet another point of appeal, given the popularity and widespread use of the payment processor.
Another immensely important advantage is iOS compatibility. No other operator in the Keystone State is offering what FD can at the moment within the state: an honest-to-goodness iOS app for its online platform. FD’s New Jersey app was already designed with the required iOS native coding. NJ users already on the FD sportsbook app simply download an update for Pennsylvania.
Finally, don’t underestimate the power of branding. FD has national name recognition through its long-tenured daily fantasy sports product. It also has been carving out a sizable swath of market share in the sports betting space on a regional level. FD has regularly set the pace in New Jersey since February. In June, it generated 4.4 million in revenue to lead the way. FD is also free of competition from DraftKings Sportsbook in Pennsylvania for the time being. That provides an even clearer path to the top of the leaderboard in due time.
Tuesday’s Best Bets at PA Sportsbooks
Major League Baseball
San Francisco Giants at Philadelphia Phillies, 7:05 p.m. EDT
- SugarHouse Casino Run Total Odds: Over 10.5 runs (-106)/ Under 10.5 runs (-110)
- FanDuel Sportsbook Run Total Odds: Over 10.5 runs (-110)/ Under 10.5 runs (-110)
- Rivers Casino Run Total Odds: Over 10.5 (-106)/ Under 10.5 runs (-110)
The oddsmakers expect quite a bit of offense at Citizens Bank Park on Tuesday. The starting pitchers offer plenty of insight as to their line of thinking. Promising but inconsistent Tyler Beede takes the hill for the Giants. Aging and inconsistent Drew Smyly will oppose him for the home team. Both pitchers have had their moments this season. However, Beede has given up eight and six runs in a pair of outings this season. And Smyly has a pair of seven- and five-run outings. In his defense, two of those did come in the hitter-friendly conditions of Globe Life Park when Smyly was still toiling away for the Rangers.
Interestingly, both pitchers have been better recently. Still, it’s worth noting Smyly’s sample of solid pitching consists of all of one start. The veteran southpaw had a strong showing in his Phillies debut July 21 against the Pirates at PNC Park. He allowed just an earned run over six innings while recording eight strikeouts. That also means he’ll come into Tuesday’s start with a full eight days of rest between pitching days. Smyly has also enjoyed success against the few current Giants hitters he’s faced. The left-hander has held the quartet of Evan Longoria, Pablo Sandoval, Kevin Pillar, and Donovan Solano to a .collective .150 average over 20 at-bats.
The Giants have a spotty history against left-handed pitching this season: an MLB-low .231 average. They also own a .284 wOBA and whopping -36.4 wRAA against that handedness. They’ve been similarly bad when narrowing the focus down to the second half of the season. San Francisco owns a .276 wOBA and 26.7 percent strikeout rate against lefties since the All-Star break.
Meanwhile, Beede had produced three straight quality starts before giving up four runs over 5.2 innings against the Cubs his last time out. Beede pitched to plenty of contact: 10 hits, including three home runs. The rookie had held his own overall at the big-league level, however. Like all young pitchers, there are bouts of inconsistency. He’s also had more trouble away from his spacious home park. However, he’ll have the good fortune of facing a cold-hitting team Tuesday.
Philadelphia sports a middling .299 wOBA, -7.2 wRAA, and a 24.8 percent strikeout rate against right-handed pitching since the All-Star break. The San Francisco bullpen has also been excellent thus far in the second half. They own a .225 BAA and .279 wOBA over that span.
There could certainly be some offense in this game. However, the total is a particularly elevated one. I’m leaning toward the Under.
The Lean: Under 10.5 runs
Pittsburgh Pirates at Cincinnati Reds, 7:10 p.m. EDT
- SugarHouse Casino Run Total Odds: Over 9.5 (-108)/ Under 9.5 (-108)
- FanDuel Sportsbook Run Total Odds: Over 9.5 (-110)/ Under 9.5 (-110)
- Rivers Casino Run Total Odds: Over 9.5 (-108)/ Under 9.5 (-108)
A battle of two quality veteran pitchers that nevertheless have their occasional hiccups is on tap Tuesday night at Great American Ballpark. Joe Musgrove and Tanner Roark take the hill for the Pirates and Reds, respectively. Each has been a better pitcher this season in the home/road splits that apply Tuesday. Musgrove owns a 4.02 ERA and has allowed a .289 wOBA across 53.2 road innings. Moreover, he’s done an excellent job keeping the ball in the park when traveling. Musgrove yielded just two homers during that sample.
Meanwhile, Roark has given up seven home runs in his home park. Yet he’s allowed just a mediocre .312 wOBA overall there along with a 3.86 ERA. Roark has yet to give up more than four runs in any home start. He did face the Pirates once before this season, in his second turn of 2019. The veteran allowed three earned runs over five innings, giving up seven hits and two walks. On the BvP side of things, Josh Bell has been the one consistent Roark tormentor on the Pirates. He owns a .444 average, including two homers, in his career against Roark.
Cincinnati has found its stroke at the plate following the All-Star break. The Reds headed into Monday night with a .290 average and .352 wOBA versus right-handed pitching in the second half. That was before putting up 11 runs in the series opener, with 10 coming in one inning. The Pirates, however, have been much more subdued. They own only a .300 wOBA and a -6.7 wRAA during the same period against righties.
The total here implies a decent amount of offense. I see more of it coming from the Reds’ side. Musgrove has been touched up a few times on the road this season despite his serviceable ERA. With Cincy hitting well and Roark potentially allowing three or four runs of his own, I’m going with the Over.
The Pick: Over 9.5 runs