Super Bowl 56 Betting Picks | Take Rams To Cover On Home Turf

Written By Nate Weitzer on February 8, 2022

Following the first-ever 18-week regular season and three more weeks of playoffs, the conclusion of this National Football League season feels like a long time coming.

We’ve finally reached Super Bowl LVI following several twists and turns throughout the postseason, and now the time comes to decide on who to bet on at online sportsbooks when the Bengals take on the Rams at SoFi Stadium in Inglewood, California on February 13.

The entire NFL betting landscape is focused on just one game, and that means it can be difficult to find an edge for popular markets like moneylines, point spreads, and totals. But PlayPicks is here to help guide you through that decision by making a case for both teams.

Below, we’ll detail all the reasons you should consider betting the Rams on their home field at Super Bowl LVI.

Super Bowl LVI Betting Odds

Super Bowl 56 Betting Preview & Prediction | Rams’ Star-Studded Defense Could Take Over At SoFi

This Super Bowl pits two franchises that have reached the big game through contrasting styles. The Bengals built through the draft and a flurry of savvy offseason acquisitions, and the Rams are all-in to try and win before their roster gets broken up due to cap restrictions.

With Super Bowl LVI at SoFi Stadium, this is essentially a home game for the Rams, but both the Rams and Chargers have had trouble filling seats in the new $5 billion arena all season. Super Bowl crowds tend to roll with the underdog, so the Rams might have some trouble holding serve.

Here are some quick notes on how the Rams have fared in eight games at SoFi Stadium this season:

  • Posted a 5-3 record, scored 26.6 PPG, and allowed 20.8 PPG
  • Matthew Stafford had a 68.3% completion rate, averaged 291.3 passing YPG, and posted a 21:6 TD:INT ratio
  • The Rams converted 52.8% of third downs at home (versus 34.3% on the road)
  • The Rams’ defense allowed 5.1 yards per play and 97.8 rushing YPG at home
  • Visiting QBs posted a 10:12 TD:INT ratio while taking 28 sacks in Rams’ home games

While they haven’t been able to cover large spreads, the Rams have been able to keep winning with a 10-2 record against non-division foes this season. They’re 11-3 after a win and 4-1 against non-conference opponents, although they’re 1-4 against the spread in those non-conference games.

The Rams will be able to pull away from the Bengals if their star-studded defense takes over the game. With Aaron Donald, the best defensive lineman in football, anchoring the middle, while Von Miller and Leonard Floyd come screaming around the corner, their pass rush will be a problem for Joe Burrow.

The Bengals allowed the second-most sacks (55) this season and yielded nine sacks in the AFC Divisional Round at Tennessee. Cincinnati is a pass-heavy offense that relies on rookie WR Ja’Marr Chase, but Jalen Ramsey (the top-rated CB in the NFL again per Pro Football Focus) will spend a lot of time shadowing Chase. With Ramsey anchoring the secondary, the Rams finished sixth in DVOA pass defense this season and only allowed 218.9 passing YPG at home.

The Rams’ defensive line allowed the fifth-fewest RB Yards per carry (3.78) on the season per Football Outsiders and has ramped up recently while holding opponents to just 3.1 YPC during the playoffs.

Here are the opponent’s rushing stats so far:

  • Wild Card Round vs. Cardinals: 18 carries, 61 yards (3.4 YPC)
  • Divisional Round vs. Bucs: 14 carries, 73 yards (3.6 YPC)
  • Conference Championship Game vs. 49ers: 20 carries, 50 yards (2.5 YPC)

Clearly, there are reasons to feel confident in the Rams’ defense, but can you trust their offense?

Cooper Kupp has been the most reliable receiver in football this season and the Rams are starting to use Odell Beckham Jr. more effectively as a secondary option. While the Bengals have an elite secondary, they might not be able to use single coverage on OBJ while doubling Kupp.

The Rams should also be able to run the ball far more effectively than the Chiefs, who fell apart in the second half when the Bengals went into drop coverage with a three-man rush down the stretch of the AFC Championship. The Bengals rush defense has been suspect over the past month and the Rams will be healthier along the offensive line after an extra week of rest.

Second-year TE Kendall Blanton has emerged with seven catches for 75 yards over his last two games and he could become a big weapon in the run game, as well as on play-action if Tyler Higbee (knee) is limited.

Sean McVay is a smart play-caller, and while his first Super Bowl appearance didn’t go very well on offense against defensive mastermind Bill Belichick, he should have a better feel for how Zac Taylor (who was on his staff in 2017 and 2018) will game plan.

Super Bowl Betting Picks: Rams -4 or less (-110 or better), Rams By 1-13 Points (+140 at FanDuel)

Best Sportsbooks For Super Bowl LVI Betting

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Nate Weitzer

Nate Weitzer is a successful DFS player at DraftKings and FanDuel with numerous tournament wins in NBA and NFL contests. He's been writing about DFS for several years, specializing in NBA picks and advice while continuing to build his bankroll across the daily fantasy industry. When he's not playing DFS, Weitzer is often covering high school sports in the greater Boston area for outlets such as The Boston Globe, or playing basketball himself. Follow Nate on Twitter @Nweitzer7.

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