Welcome to the Pennsylvania Sports Betting Brief for Wednesday, July 3. In this column, we’ll set the stage for Keystone State sports bettors’ day ahead and spotlight some potentially advantageous betting opportunities.
Baseball remains front and center Wednesday, with both the Phillies and Pirates in action. We have a couple of interesting pitching matchups in play in those contests that we’ll examine from an Over/Under perspective. We’ll also catch up with the latest happenings at SugarHouse Casino, which is once again getting ready to make an impact on the state’s sports betting market.
Pennsylvania Sports Betting Industry News
SugarHouse Casino readying to regain the PA sports betting spotlight with new sportsbook
SugarHouse Casino is developing a bit of a reputation as a trail blazer on the Pennsylvania sports betting scene. Naturally, the operator was the first to go live with its sports betting app in late May. They made quite an impact while doing so. Now, SugarHouse is poised to make a little news on the retail side of things. After being the first to open a brick-and-mortar sportsbook in the state, albeit at a temporary space for the last several months, the Rush Street Gaming-owned operator is getting ready to unveil its permanent physical home just prior to the kickoff of NFL season.
Every aspect of the state-of-the-art location will be exponentially bigger than what SugarHouse customers have had access to up to this point. Features include 5,300 square feet of space, seating capacity of approximately 115, 22 self-servicing betting kiosks and six betting windows. And, SugarHouse’s online app will by no means be forgotten. Bettors can have the best of both worlds when they visit. They’ll have access to all the amenities while sweating out games but will still be able to wager through the mobile app while on the premises.
Wednesday’s Best Bets at PA Sportsbooks
Major League Baseball
Pittsburgh Pirates vs. Chicago Cubs, 7:05 p.m. EDT
- SugarHouse Casino Total Runs Odds: Over 9.5 (+102)/ Under (-118)
- Parx Casino Total Runs Odds: Over 9.5 (+100)/ Under 9.5 (-121)
- Rivers Casino Moneyline Odds: Over 9.5 (+100)/ Under 9.5 (-121)
A pair of pitchers that have been considered aces at one point in their careers but that have fallen on hard times take the hill at PNC Park on Wednesday. Yu Darvish and Chris Archer will face off, and despite their spotty reputations, each actually has been better by far in the home/road split they find themselves in Wednesday. Darvish owns a 3.59 ERA, .191 BAA and .286 wOBA across 42.2 road frames. Then, Archer has generated a 3.89 ERA and .230 BAA over 44 innings at home.
In terms of current Cubs hitters, Javier Baez (.556 BAA) has given Archer plenty of trouble. However, the remainder of current Chicago bats that have faced Archer only have a .225 average against him over 40 career at-bats. On the other side, Darvish’s biggest tormentor on the Pirates, Francisco Cervelli (.600 BAA), is on the injured list with a concussion. Remaining Pittsburgh hitters sport a middling .250 average against the veteran right-hander.
Granted, we’ve seen the Pirates look like the best hitting team in the majors on multiple nights recently. However, each of these starters still has more than enough talent to churn out a quality outing. Additionally, the Pittsburgh bullpen has allowed a mediocre .300 wOBA at home over the last month. That lends a little further credence to the Under hitting.
By the Numbers: The Under is 5-1 (83.3 percent) in the Cubs’ last six road games against the Pirates and 10-3 (76.9 percent) in their last 13 games versus Pittsburgh overall.
The Pick: Under 9.5 runs
Philadelphia Phillies at Atlanta Braves, 7:20 p.m. EDT
- SugarHouse Casino Total Runs Odds: Over 11 (+102)/ Under (-117)
- Parx Casino Total Runs Odds: Over 11 (-103)/ Under 11 (-120)
- Rivers Casino Moneyline Odds: Over 11 (-103)/ Under 11 (-120)
The Phillles and Braves opened up their three-game set Tuesday with a 2-0 pitcher’s duel between Aaron Nola and Dallas Kuechel. That can be considered the calm before the storm. The matchup on the hill Wednesday isn’t exactly the same caliber. Nick Pivetta and Bryse Wilson take the hill for Philadelphia and Atlanta, respectively. Both have already been hit hard on multiple occasions this season. The projected total is unsurprisingly a hefty one. However, there are indications it could be exceeded. That’s especially true with each team having its fair share of powerful bats and Braves hitters specifically having enjoyed past success against Pivetta.
Pivetta has essentially had trouble everywhere he’s pitched this season. He owns a 5.00 ERA, . 269 BAA and .365 wOBA allowed across 18 road frames this season. What’s more, 10 of the 18 hits he’s surrendered outside of Citizens Bank Park have gone for extra bases, with half of those home runs. And those numbers have come about despite Pivetta also enjoying the benefits of a below-average .277 BABIP despite a 50.0 percent hard-contact rate allowed.
Current Braves hitters have generated a collective .271/.324/.426 line against him over a sample of 155 career at-bats. Some of that damage has occurred this season. The Braves have touched Pivetta up for a 6.35 ERA and .340 average in two starts this season. That sample includes four home runs. Then, consider no bullpen has been worse on the road than Philadelphia’s in the last month. Phillies relievers own an MLB-high 9.07 ERA, .331 BAA and .429 wOBA allowed across a 200-batter sample during that span.
Wilson is also a target on the other side of the matchup. The 21-year-old rookie faced Philadelphia in his first appearance of the season and allowed four earned runs on five hits and four walks. Phillies hitters went 5-for-13 two doubles, a triple and a home run against him in that contest. Wilson has been hit hard by both sides of the plate in a small sample as well. He’s yielded a .480 wOBA to left-handed hitters and a .341 figure to righty bats. And, Braves relievers have surrendered a .320 wOBA and 21 extra-base hits (11 doubles, one triple and nine home runs) at home over the last month.
By the Numbers: The Over is 46-34-4 (56.1 percent) in the Braves’ games this season, including 22-13-2 (62.9 percent) in their games as home favorites. Four out of the seven games between the teams this season have gone Over the 11-run total, a fifth landed exactly on it.
The Pick: Over 11 runs