Another week, another Pro-Am! The PGA TOUR heads to Monterey, California for the 2022 AT&T Pebble Beach Pro-Am, which will be played on a three-course rotation between Pebble Beach, Monterey Peninsula, and Spyglass Hill.
Last week, we saw the longest course on TOUR in Torrey Pines South and this week, we see one of the shortest ones in Pebble Beach. The Poa greens remain the same and although expected to run slower this week, it’s a good opportunity to buy low on value players who may have disappointed last week, considering the stark contrast in what the two sets of courses demand.
As always, DraftKings Sportsbook has you covered whether you’re focusing on Daily Fantasy or exploring the many betting markets available. Though if you are betting, plenty of online sportsbooks offer will have odds on this event.
Favorites have an equally decorated history as longshot bombs historically at this event, so there’s plenty of flexibility for DFS lineups and betting card construction. So let’s get to our 2022 AT&T Pebble Beach Pro-Am longshots and sleepers for your DFS lineups and betting cards.
2022 AT&T PEBBLE BEACH PRO-AM PICKS | DFS VALUE PLAYS & BETTING LONGSHOTS
It’s going to be a tough act to follow after last week. The Farmers Insurance Open Sleepers article produced a perfect 5/5 players inside the top 40, including eventual winner Luke List, as well as Jason Day who finished T3, one stroke outside the playoff. Tough to improve on that, but I’ve got a few more players that jump out to me as great values to finish inside the top 40 once again.
Weather will be a major factor here with many holes exposed to the Pacific coastline, so we’ll need to keep an eye out for weather updates throughout the week to see if this plays in favor of any waves of players in particular. For the purpose of this article, we’ll assume all players get an equitable draw.
I’m looking at the below value players for both DFS and Betting purposes at online sportsbooks, as longshots like Nick Taylor and Vaughn Taylor have prevailed in recent years at 100-1+ odds. As always, we’ll be using Draft Kings DFS pricing and betting odds as the basis of our picks. Let’s get into it!
*Betting odds & DFS pricing from Draft Kings are subject to change after writing.
Joel Dahmen (, $7,500)
It’s been a slow start to the 2022 year for Dahmen results-wise but it hasn’t been the fault of his ball-striking, as he’s now been positive in SG: BS in six consecutive measured events entering the AT&T Pebble Beach Pro-Am. This week’s rotation of three courses under 7,100 yards should suit Dahmen perfectly to continue that trend, profiling as a player who gains OTT due to his accuracy, not his distance.
He should also feel comfortable stepping onto a coastal, windy set-up after enduring howling winds at the 2021 Corales Championship to pick up his first career victory. With wider fairways and smaller greens at Pebble Beach compared to TOUR average, it sets up to be a bona fide second shot course, rewarding the best Approach players in the field.
Dahmen enters this week top-20 in SG: APP and Prox: 100-150, which should set him up well to capitalize on this week’s shorter, funneled approach distances. He’s also 5th in Birdies or Better Gained, should the course ease up with calmer conditions.
That statistical profile has resulted in a perfect 4/4 cuts made at the AT&T Pebble Beach Pro-Am for Dahmen, highlighted by a T14 finish here in 2020. Poa putting has been a concern over the course of his career, but two of his four best career putting performances have come on Poa greens, suggesting a high ceiling awaits if the putter can get hot again.
Sahith Theegala (, $7,200)
We’re still in California, and we’re still on Poa greens one week later. That was all it took for me to get behind Sahith Theegala at the Farmers Insurance Open last week, and after an impressive T25 showing, his price hasn’t jumped nearly enough to keep me from going right back.
Theegala tends to lose his strokes due to inaccuracy off the tee, so entering a course with some of the widest fairways on TOUR that forces the driver out of your hands on many tee shots, should be a welcomed sight. He also continues to ride improving form throughout his rookie season, having made the cut in eight of his last 10 starts.
While this will be his debut at the AT&T Pebble Beach Pro-Am, the three-time NCAA All-American from Pepperdine still has plenty of untapped potential to flash at this price.
Chad Ramey (, $7,100)
The 2022 PGA TOUR rookie will be making his debut appearance at the AT&T Pebble Beach Pro-Am after earning his KFT promotion with a win and eight top-10 finishes in 2021. As the 2022 season sample size continues to build up, we are starting to get a better understanding of when and where is best to back the KFT rookies (with the exception of Mito Pereira, who can be played everywhere all the time).
Ramey is a player who has consistently gained on approach and reliably found fairways while sacrificing distance off the tee. He’s also a volatile putter who’s seen some early peaks and valleys. It’s early but if you asked me today, I’d say his PGA TOUR veteran comp is Russell Knox, who I absolutely love this week, and has incredible history at this event.
Ramey’s stats are highlighted by a rank of #1 in the field in Opportunities Gained and #6 in SG: APP. He’s also top-25 in Fairways Gained, Birdies or Better Gained, Par 5 Scoring, and SG: TOT (High Winds).
Torrey Pines is one of the worst course setups you could draw up for him, and he still delivered an impressive T39 finish in his debut there last week, finishing top-10 in putting on his PGA TOUR debut on Poa greens. At this price, Ramey is my favorite value on the board this week and presents great T20 upside.
Vaughn Taylor (, $7,000)
Vaughn Taylor won this event in 2016 at the ripe age of 39, and six years later, his game really hasn’t changed much at all. He continues to be an accurate, yet short driver off the tee, above-average on approach, and dependable around the greens. It’s not exciting, but neither is this tournament.
Over his last eight appearances at the AT&T Pebble Beach Pro-Am, Taylor has never lost strokes Tee-To-Green, so his ability to hit putts has ultimately determined his finishing position. In this field, that track record is good enough for 9th in overall Course History.
While the recent results have been fairly lackluster, his stats have been solid, ranking top-25 in SG: T2G, SG: APP, SG: ARG, and Prox: 100-150. He also ranks 16th in Poa Putting entering this week, so if he can pair up the steady T2G play with another solid Poa putting performance, he should position himself well to follow up last year’s T21 finish.
Luke Donald (, $6,500)
Look, Lukes are hot right now, and I like Donald in this spot to pick up where List left off. Okay, maybe we can’t expect him to win this tournament at 400-1, but there are still some encouraging signs that the former World No. 1 is remembering how to play the game of golf again.
The AT&T Pebble Beach Pro-Am has been kind to seasoned veterans, particularly the ones who are reliable on approach. As we reach deep into this longshot range, it’s usually best to find specialists, especially if they’re a specialist in the stat category that matters most. That’s what we have with Luke Donald, who ranks 5th in SG: APP over the last 24 rounds. In the event that winds stay down, and this boils down to a second-shot approach fest, I like the upside here with Donald, who has also proven to be a solid putter on Poa greens.
There are just two players in this field who rank top-20 in both SG: APP and SG: P (Poa), and they are the two most recent winners of the AT&T Pebble Beach Pro-Am: Daniel Berger and Luke Donald. Just kidding. Or am I?