Welcome to the Pennsylvania Sports Betting Overview for Friday, June 28. In this column, we’ll set the stage for Keystone State sports bettors’ day ahead and spotlight some potentially advantageous betting opportunities.
Friday nights typically mean massive slates for Major League Baseball, and this week is no different. We’ll take a look at specific bet types for the Phillies’ and Pirates‘ road matchups. And the U.S. Women’s World Cup squad is back in action Friday for a highly anticipated battle against France. We’ll break down the moneyline odds for what should be a wire-to-wire battle.
Pennsylvania Sports Betting Industry News
PA online sports betting now a party of three
Parx and Rivers casinos have officially joined SugarHouse as online sports betting providers in Pennsylvania. As expected, both of the operators’ apps passed their testing phases and went fully operational Thursday. Now, this trio is expected to expand in relatively short order. FanDuel Sportsbook, which already has a retail presence with a branded sportsbook at Valley Forge Casino, is expected to unveil its online platform in the state before the start of NFL season.
Given their late start during the month, it will be interesting to see how much of an impact Parx and Rivers make on the Keystone State’s June numbers. They’ll operate for only four full days this month. Yet it’s noteworthy that SugarHouse was able to take in over $573,000 in wagers in a matching four-day period at the end of May. What’s more, three of those days actually constituted the time-limited testing phase.
DraftKings Sportsbook inching closer to PA presence
But FanDuel isn’t the only DFS-turned-sports-betting-impresario readying for the Pennsylvania online sports betting market. DraftKings Sportsbook is expected to eventually have a Keystone State presence. It took an important requisite step toward that goal recently. The operator applied for licenses for both sports betting operator and interactive gaming operator. These licenses would enable DK to partner with a PA retail casino to offer online sports betting and online casino gaming.
At present, three existing casinos—The Meadows, Lady Luck Nemacolin, and Wind Creek Bethlehem—have availability for an online partnership with an entity like DK. A fourth, Stadium Casino/Philly Live!, isn’t due to open until December 2020. But a fifth option, Presque Isle Downs, could eventually become a possibility as well. That’s because of a well-sourced rumor that DK is in the process of acquiring online gambling/online sports betting company SBTech. If that came to fruition, DK would own the company already providing the platform for Presque Isle Downs’ retail sportsbook.
More on this story next week as it likely develops.
Friday’s Best Bets at PA Sportsbooks
Women’s World Cup Soccer
USA vs. France, 3 p.m. EDT
- SugarHouse Casino Moneyline Odds: France +245/ USA +123
- Parx Casino Moneyline Odds: France +245/ USA +123
A U.S. squad drawing as much attention this week for its words off the field as its play gets back to the task at hand Friday afternoon: attempting to advance to the semifinal round of the Women’s World Cup. The French are seen as the most serious threat to the U.S. squad. They do have some recent success against the Americans to fall back on. France is 3-4-2 in their last nine meetings against the U.S. However, the United States hasn’t lost since their most recent defeat to France, back in January. It’s won 10 straight matches although they endured a struggle against Spain before prevailing 2-1 on Monday.
Granted, the French don’t have anything on their World Cup ledger that resembles the 13-point outburst the U.S. enjoyed against Thailand. But France has been stingy enough on defense (two goals allowed through four matches). And they’ll enjoy a sizable intangible in the form of a home-field advantage. Friday’s match unfolds at the Parc des Princes in Paris. The French trio of Amandine Henry, Eugenie Le Sommer, and Wendie Renard also match up well with the likes of Alex Morgan, Megan Rapinoe and Tobin Heath.
In a projected close contest, I give the nod to the France moneyline; still, it would be a momentous upset.
The Pick: France +245
Major League Baseball
Philadelphia Phillies at Miami Marlins, 7:05 p.m. EDT
- SugarHouse Run Line Odds: Phillies -1.5 (+120)/ Marlins +1.5 (-139)
- Parx Casino Run Line Odds: Phillies -1.5 (+117)/ Marlins +1.5 (-141)
Having just tangled with the Mets for four games, the Phillies hit the road and land in South Florida for a three-game set against the Marlins. Despite its overall struggles, Miami has actually proven a tough out for Philadelphia this season. They’ve taken the last three games from the Phillies and five of the 10 meetings in 2019. However, the pitching matchup appears to line up more in Philly’s favor Friday. They’ll send Vince Velasquez to the mound, while Miami will counter with Elieser Hernandez.
Velasquez had a successful return to the starting rotation against this same Marlins squad last Saturday, limiting them to an earned run on one hit (a solo homer) and recording five strikeouts over five innings. Current Miami bats have had a tough time against Velasquez beyond just that game. They own a collective .150/.211/.290 line against him over 100 career at-bats. In turn, several Philadelphia hitters have enjoyed their encounters with Hernandez. Bryce Harper, Rhys Hoskins and Cesar Hernandez all own .500 averages against Hernandez in small samples. Both Harper and Hoskins have recorded home runs against him.
The Marlins bullpen has also had its fair share of struggles at home. They’ve yielded a 5.13 ERA and 50 extra-base hits (27 doubles, five triples, 18 home runs) at Marlins Park. Then, there’s also the matter of the Phillies’ habit of winning by decent margins when they do prevail over the Marlins. They’ve won by at least two runs in each of their five victories against Miami this season. That includes an eight-run blowout win in their first encounter of the season.
By the Numbers: The Marlins are 17-22 (43.6 percent) against the run line as home underdogs this season. The Phillies are 8-6 (57.1 percent) versus the road line as road favorites this season.
The Pick: Phillies -1.5
Pittsburgh Pirates at Milwaukee Brewers, 8:10 p.m. EDT
- SugarHouse Over/Under Odds: Over 10.5 (-107)/ Under 10.5 runs (-109)
- Parx Casino Over/Under Odds: Over 10.5 runs (-109)/ Under 10.5 runs (-112)
The Pirates take their traveling revival of the 1927 Yankees into Milwaukee after blasting the unsuspecting Houston Astros for 24 runs over the last two games at Minute Maid Park. Pittsburgh seemingly gets contributions from every player in its lineup. Keith Newman, Josh Bell, Starling Marte, and Corey Dickerson have been particularly productive recently. The Brewers haven’t been nearly as prolific recently. However, their lineup packs plenty of punch. Milwaukee is averaging a solid 4.9 runs per game at the halfway point of its season.
The two pitchers on the hill Friday fuel the possibility of the Over hitting, even with the projected total a robust 10.5 runs. Chris Archer (3-6, 5.56 ERA) and Jhoulys Chacin (3-8, 5.88 ERA) have undergone their fair share of blowups this season. Archer also sports an 8.42 ERA, .290 BAA, and .404 wOBA across 25.2 road frames. In turn, Chacin has a 4.65 ERA and .334 wOBA over 31.0 innings at hitter-friendly Miller Park. And he’s allowed a combined nine earned runs over his last two outings there. The Brewers’ home stadium also ranks in the top half of the MLB in run factor (1.057) and home-run factor (1.202).
By the Numbers: The Over is 47-29-3 (61.8 percent) in the Pirates’ games this season, including 24-18-1 (57.1 percent) in their away contests. The Over is also 18-15-1 (54.5 percent) in the Brewers’ games as home favorites.
The Pick: Over 10.5 runs