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DFS MLB

We have a five-game MLB DFS slate on Saturday, 6/22/19 beginning at 7:15 p.m EDT. Below is a list of our best pitchers, hitters, and stacks to target (Three Up) and fade (Three Down) in MLB DFS contests. Note that some of these plays are recommended for Cash, and some are best reserved for GPP lineups on DraftKings and FanDuel.

Please note the advice below is relevant for daily fantasy purposes. A player or team might be better or worse from a fantasy perspective than in real life due to matchup, price, and lots of other factors. This is important to consider when constructing a roster. Remember that more than in other sports, variance is a huge part of baseball. Even Mike Trout can go 0-for-4 on a given night, and Max Scherzer can get lit up by a weak team.

Weather can also play a huge role in MLB DFS on a nightly basis, and lineups are constantly shifting. So always, always check the starting lineups and weather reports when playing for an MLB slate. If a game gets rained out, your player gets zero points!

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BEST MLB DFS TOURNAMENTS FOR 6/22/19

Saturday Slugfest: $15 entry, $150k guaranteed (DraftKings) – $50k to 1st!
Full Count: $55 entry, $30k guaranteed (DraftKings)- $3K to 1st!
Sat. Squeeze: $5.55 entry, $100k guaranteed (FanDuel) – $20K to 1st!
Sat. Grand Slam: $77 entry, $65K guaranteed (FanDuel)- $10K to 1st!

Three Up for June 22, 2019

Best Pitcher

Lance Lynn vs. CWS ($10.1k DraftKings, $9.5k FanDuel)

The pitching pool is potentially shark-infested on the short Saturday night. Several expensive hurlers are facing teams with success against them in the past. However, Lynn is in a relatively good spot against a White Sox team that owns a 29.0 percent strikeout rate, .280 wOBA and -14.1 wRAA versus righties on the road over the last month of play. Meanwhile, he’s been the epitome of consistency of late. The veteran right-hander has rattled off eight straight quality starts and racked up between seven and 11 strikeouts in his last six outings.

Lynn has allowed a solid .308 wOBA and 3.82 xFIP at Globe Life Park this season. Plus, he’s impressively yielded just three home runs there across 43.2 innings there. His peripheral stats—such as an 87.1 mph average exit velocity allowed and modest 4.5 percent barrels per batted ball event surrendered—also inspire confidence, as does his swing-and-miss upside against a White Sox team that’s had trouble making consistent contact against right-handed pitching.

Given Lynn’s recent form and Chicago’s questionable body of work versus righties, I see him as a fit for cash or GPPs.

Other pitchers to consider: Anibal Sanchez (vs. ATL)

Best Hitter

Justin Turner vs. COL ($4.1k DraftKings, $3.1k FanDuel)

The Rockies will roll out a potential sacrificial lamb in Peter Lambert Saturday night against one of the most potent offenses in the Majors. Lambert has struggled against both sides of the plate at different times during his professional career. He’s allowed a .275 average and .322 wOBA to right-handed hitters during his big-league stint this season. He’s also yielded a 6.00 ERA when facing righty bats at Triple-A Albuquerque this season. He allowed a .351 average to that handedness in the Minors last season as well.

Turner counters with a long history of feasting on right-handed pitching. He has an outstanding .344 average and .387 wOBA overall versus that handedness entering Friday’s action. He’s been even better at Dodger Stadium, posting a .355 average and .417 wOBA against righties when facing them there. Turner also boasts an eye-popping 36.4 percent line-drive rate and 45.5 percent hard-contact rate against right-handed pitching at home. Then, he sports a .421 wOBA against Lambert’s most frequently thrown pitch, the four-seam fastball.

Given his consistency and Lambert’s inexperience, I see Turner as a strong cash game or GPP play Saturday night.

Other hitters to consider: Anthony Rendon, Trea Turner, Brian Dozier, Juan Soto (all vs. ATL), Jose Altuve, Robinson Chirinos, Alex Bregman (all at NYY), Nolan Arenado, Charlie Blackmon (at LAD), Pablo Sandoval, Buster Posey, Brandon Crawford (at ARI), Max Muncy, Cody Bellinger, Chris Taylor, Joc Pederson (all vs. COL)

Best Stack

Rangers vs. CWS (RHP Odrisamer Despaigne)   

White Sox starter Odrisamer Despaigne has been extremely hittable this season. He now walks into a particularly dangerous situation. The veteran right-hander draws a turn at Globe Life Park on what should be a hot summer night. That could lead to disastrous results for him and handsome returns for several Rangers. Despaigne will head into the matchup, his first road start of the season, allowing a .408 wOBA to left-handed hitters and a .419 figure to righty bats. He’s clearly vulnerable to either side of the plate.

Current Rangers hitters have a collective .300 average against Despaigne although one of the most successful, Hunter Pence, is on the injured list. But Texas brings a .341 wOBA and .214 ISO against righties at home for the season, along with a 44.3 percent hard-contact rate that’s good for second in the AL. Given Despaigne’s troubles with all hitters, I see Shin-Soo Choo, Rougned Odor, Nomar Mazara, Elvis Andrus, and Asdrubal Cabrera as particularly appealing components of a Rangers stack.

When Despaigne exits, Texas hitters will be poised for success as well. The White Sox bullpen has allowed a .326 wOBA and 19 extra-base hits (13 doubles, six home runs) on the road over the last month.

Other stacks to consider: Dodgers (vs. COL), Giants (at ARI), Diamondbacks (vs. SFG), Nationals (vs. ATL)

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Three Down for June 22, 2019

Pitcher To Fade

Peter Lambert at LAD ($5.5k DraftKings, $6.9k FanDuel)   

As mentioned in Turner’s entry, Lambert’s prospects aren’t bright Saturday night. The rookie could be overwhelmed against a Dodgers squad that sported a .300 average and .381 wOBA against right-handed pitching at home over the last month. Los Angeles also came into the weekend series against Colorado with an even 400 runs on the season. That’s good for third in the NL and eighth in the MLB.

Lambert was very solid in his first two big-league starts, allowing just two earned runs across 12 innings. However, he took a major step back against the Padres his last time out, allowing eight earned runs on nine hits. The Blue Crew rolls out a lineup that’s replete with experienced, high-upside hitters from both sides of the plate. They’ve made a habit of putting a hurting on right-handers in their home park. In fact, of the eight Los Angeles position players projected to be in Saturday’s lineup, six of them have wOBAs of .325 or higher versus right-handed pitching at home for the season.

Hitter To Fade

Dansby Swanson at WAS ($4k DraftKings, $3.2k FanDuel)

Swanson has been solid overall this season, but his greatest success has come against left-handed pitching. Then, Nationals right-hander Anibal Sanchez is enjoying a resurgent season and has been particularly effective in same-handed matchups. Swanson carries a .244 average and .322 wOBA against right-handed pitching overall. Those are serviceable but far from sensational numbers. He’s also whiffed at a clip of almost five percent greater versus righties (21.1 percent) than lefties (16.2 percent).

Then, Sanchez has limited right-handed hitters to a .197 average and .231 wOBA at home. He’s yet to yield a home run to them over a 68-batter sample at Nationals Park. Right-handed hitters also own a middling 27.5 percent hard-contact rate versus Sanchez on his home turf. Swanson has yet to hit safely against Sanchez in three career encounters, and I don’t expect any major reversal of fortune Saturday night, given the form the Nationals starter has displayed.

Stack To Fade

Braves at WAS (RHP Anibal Sanchez)   

As just touched upon, Sanchez is enjoying a very strong campaign overall. He’s also held current Braves bats to a collective .242 average over a sample of 128 career at-bats and allowed them a modest five home runs. Sanchez has also been an anti-stack target by becoming very proficient at limiting the damage. He’s yielded three earned runs or fewer in eight consecutive starts.

The Braves have been solid but unspectacular against right-handed pitching, posting a .319 wOBA and 22.0 percent strikeout rate versus that handedness when traveling. Atlanta undeniably has several potent bats in its lineup. However, Sanchez just stymied them for six innings of one-hit, scoreless ball on May 29, during which he recorded seven strikeouts.

Given how steady the veteran has been, his one previous successful outing against Atlanta, and the fact many Braves bats are understandably expensive, I lean toward fading them Saturday night.

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