NFL Championship Sunday Parlay Picks | Best Parlays For AFC & NFC Title Games

Written By Brian Sausa on January 26, 2022 - Last Updated on January 30, 2022

After perhaps the most entertaining Divisional Round of all time, we’re ready for AFC and NFC title games as we crown conference champions on Sunday. Despite the fact that there are only two games on the schedule this week, we know parlays will remain one of the most common bets out there, and that’s what we’re here to talk about.

Parlays are exciting bets that enhance the odds of your wager by including multiple legs, all of which must win for you to earn your full profit. Online sportsbooks across the country offer these bets in a variety of ways including the ever-popular same-game parlay, which compiles multiple markets from the same game in one bet.

Below, we’ll make our NFL Conference Championship parlay picks by building an SGP while highlighting the other available options as well. If you’re into other bet types aside from parlays, feel free to check out some of our other weekly NFL betting content:

2022 AFC Championship Parlay Picks | Best Parlay Bets This Week

*odds are subject to change after writing*

Cincinnati Bengals at Kansas City Chiefs (Sunday, 3 p.m. ET)

Chiefs -2.5 & Under 59.5 (+120 or better): We’re going out on a limb and taking the Chiefs while covering key numbers to do it. We are actually going out on a limb and taking the under as well, also with a few extra points attached. We’re only at +120 at DraftKings but on a day where we are (should be) making fewer bets, I’d rather have something we’re confident in.

The Bengals know they can beat the Chiefs, as they did it less than a month ago. But the setting changes to Arrowhead for the AFC Championship, and this is where Andy Reid and Patrick Mahomes are right at home and this is a major step up in competition from the two previous rounds.

Cincinnati is 5-1 in their last six dating back to Week 15 but in that span, its defense has been very average. We saw the Chiefs put up 28 points like they were nothing in Week 17 before getting just three possessions the entire second half of the game. The Bengals didn’t stop Patrick Mahomes in Week 17, not even close. It just kept the ball from him when it had to, and we’re not expecting it to happen again.

Burrow’s and Ja’Marr Chase feel undeniable to a degree but I’d bet my house that the Chiefs don’t let him go for 266 yards again, whatever it takes. The Cincy offense should still find success with its myriad of weapons but if not for Chase’s 69-yard TD in the third and a 30-yard connection with Burrow late in the fourth quarter on a 3rd and 27, we aren’t having this talk.

In the end, both teams want to possess the ball and end drives with TDs while keeping the other off the field. Based on the Chiefs’ experience in this spot and the belief that the two defenses are similar, Kansas City at home is an easy choice.

The inclination is to side with the over and while going the other direction is scary, it actually makes some sense. Cincy is a slow-paced team for all its explosiveness, and it knows the recipe to beat KC is ball control, which it exercised in the second half of Week 17 when a combined 20 points were scored.

The public will disagree but we think we see more of that and less of the back-and-forth we just saw from KC and Buffalo in the waning moments of Sunday’s game.

2022 NFC Championship Parlay Picks | Best Parlay Bets This Week

San Francisco 49ers at Los Angeles Rams (Sunday, 6:30 p.m. ET)

Rams Win By 1-13 Points & Under 54.5 (+225 or better at FanDuel): As a way to generate some extra value, we’re heading to FanDuel for the exclusive four-way winning margin market. This allows you to pick either team to win by 1-13 points or 14+, allowing you to upgrade your odds if you can predict a close game or a blowout.

Everything we’ve seen from Los Angeles and San Francisco indicates a close game between these two divisional foes meeting for the third time this season. Taking the Rams to win close as opposed to the moneyline more than doubles the odds, so we’re willing to take the chance they won’t win by two full TDs.

Though what we saw in Week 18 from Jimmy G. was his best game of the season when the Niners needed it the most, this team can’t live without the run game. We saw that in Week 18 but we’re inclined to side with the season-long trends for Los Angeles, plus the Rams put the clamps on the Bucs’ run game just last week.

There’s also major concern about the Niners’ injuries. Linebacker Fred Warner returned in the Divisional Round but other key pieces such as RB/WR Deebo Samuel and LT Trent Williams are worth monitoring.

Score-wise, this game may lot deviate much from Week 18 but this way, we get to take out the spread while adding value to the overall bet. If the Rams do win, it will not be by 14 points or more, and that’s the case for either team.

NFL Championship Sunday Same Game Parlays | Building SGPs For AFC, NFC Title Games

We’ve only got two standalone games on the schedule this week but thanks to the same-game parlay, bettors can still craft a unique wager with a large payout if they so choose. These bets allow you to combine multiple elements from the same game into one bet, enhancing the odds with each selection, and SGPs are perfect for the postseason when the remaining teams are cut down. Below, we’ve got one for each game.

AFC Championship Same-Game Parlay Picks

The same-game parlay market at FanDuel has a wider range of options than most other sites, and we’ve used FD to build a Chiefs vs. Bengals same game parlay for the AFC title game, complete with longshot odds of +1423 for six legs:

  • Double Result: Chiefs-Chiefs (lead at half + full game)
  • Tyreek Hill Over 76.5 Receiving Yards
  • Travis Kelce Anytime TD Scorer
  • Joe Burrow 275+ Passing Yards
  • Ja’Marr Chase 60+ Receiving Yards
  • Joe Mixon 40+ Rushing Yards

If you’re never dabbled in the Double Result market, it can be a way to gain some value on favorites if you’re uncomfortable giving the points. Kansas City is a 4.5 first-half favorite and around a touchdown favorite for the game, but this wager allows KC to be leading by any amount. The only caveat is that the Chiefs have to be leading at both halftime and the end of the game.

Onto the player props, starting with Tyreek Hill, who erupted for 150 yards last Sunday against Buffalo. Most of Hill’s stat lines this season are not of the game-breaking variety and he only managed 40 yards against this Bengals defense a few weeks ago, but that’s part of why the KC offense stalled in the second half. Mahomes fed Hill in the divisional round and we expect it to happen again.

Travis Kelce has now scored in five straight games and if we’re forced to choose a touchdown scorer, it’s hard not to take him with all the red-zone targets he’ll see. On the other side, we’re banking on Joe Burrow being forced to throw whether his team is keeping up with the Chiefs or coming from behind. The correlation is that Ja’Marr Chase will get some of those yards, although we’ve lowered the total in case KC forces Burrow to go another direction.

2022 NFL Conference Championship Betting Odds

HOW DO NFL PARLAYS WORK?

Parlays are bets which consist of two or more selections, resulting in the odds being boosted higher than you’d see from a typical straight bet. The potential to win much more than you risk is one of the reasons why parlays are so popular.

Exact parlay odds depend on multiple factors including the number of selections and the exact lines of each one, but all parlays will feature enhanced odds in some fashion. Remember that all legs of your parlay need to win for you to receive the full payout, and a push will remove the selection and keep the parlay alive.

You can include moneylines, spreads, totals, and even props in many cases, and bettors can choose to link together just two sides, or up 12 or more depending on the sportsbook. Parlays are wholly customizable, meaning bettors get to choose how big they want the odds to go, how many sides will be included, and how difficult to make each leg of the parlay.

While some bettors want high odds and a huge payday, just like you see on social media. But just because the occasional big wins are what you see go viral, they are closer to the exception and not the rule.

The way to establish consistency is to have just two or three sides and avoid chasing astronomical odds. Of course, it’s fine to take your shot at a massive payout as well, but be sure to only risk money you’re prepared to lose.

Other Sportsbooks For AFC & NFC Championship Games

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Brian Sausa

Brian Sausa is a longtime sports content creator with extensive betting experience and knowledge of the industry. A journalism graduate with a ranging sports background, Brian has been employed by multiple professional leagues including MLB, MiLB, and the NHL.

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