The MLB season is rolling, and there’s a great DFS slate on tap for Thursday, 6/20/19. Below is a list of our best pitchers, hitters, and stacks to target (Three Up) and fade (Three Down) in MLB DFS contests during the afternoon.
Please note the advice below is relevant for daily fantasy purposes. A player or team might be better or worse from a fantasy perspective than in real life due to matchup, price, and lots of other factors. This is important to consider when constructing a roster. Remember that more than in other sports, variance is a huge part of baseball. Even Mike Trout can go 0-for-4 on a given night, and Max Scherzer can get lit up by a weak team.
Weather can also play a huge role in MLB DFS on a nightly basis, and lineups are constantly shifting. So always, always check the starting lineups and weather reports when planning for an MLB slate. If a game gets rained out, your player gets zero points!
BEST MLB DFS TOURNAMENTS FOR 6/20/19
Relay Throw: $15 entry, $250k guaranteed (DraftKings) – $50,000 to 1st!
Three Dollar Micro Thursday: $3 entry, $50k guaranteed (DraftKings)
Rally: $9.99 entry, $110k guaranteed (FanDuel) – $20,000 to 1st!
Squeeze: $5.55 entry: $75k guaranteed (FanDuel)
Three Up for June 20, 2019
Walker Buehler vs. SF ($10.5k DraftKings, $11.4k FanDuel)
It took a few weeks for Walker Buehler to regain his form. Now, he once again looks like the rising star that dominated Game 3 of the 2018 World Series. The 24-year-old RHP owns a 0.41 ERA, 1.53 FIP and is holding hitters to a measly .128 wOBA over his last three starts. That includes a 7-inning shutout of a weak Giants offense that ranks dead last in most offensive categories. The Giants particularly struggle with heaters, posting a league-worst -52.4 rating against fastballs this year. Buehler averages 96.6 MPH on a fastball that rates 9.9 runs above average. He has a lot of strikeout potential in this matchup and a solid floor with a stingy .197 BAA in home starts.
Jake Odorizzi at KC ($10.8k DraftKings, $10.0k FanDuel)
Jake Odorizzi disappointed in his last start, which happened to come against these Royals. Thus, his ownership might be down in a rematch at KC, but his floor-ceiling combination remains elite. The righty had allowed only 4 ER over his previous 9 starts leading into last Saturday’s 5-4 win against the Royals. While he coughed up 2 HR to jeopardize his outing, that shouldn’t be a recurring trend against a Royals team with the fourth-fewest HR (31) in home games.
Kansas City ranks 25th in collective wOBA (.281) with the third-highest K-Rate (26%) in the MLB over the last 14 days. Odorizzi posted a 2.39 ERA with a .172 BAA over his previous five outings against the Royals. He matches up very well against this righty-heavy lineup considering he’s yielding a .149/.232/.243 slash line in RvR matchups. Odorizzi is a locked-in Cash play at this price tag on FanDuel with a great shot at a Win.
Other pitchers to consider: Frankie Montas, Madison Bumgarner, Jose Suarez, Zac Gallen
Trey Mancini at SEA ($4.8k DraftKings, $3.6k FanDuel)
Trey Mancini is dealing with an elbow contusion and might sit tonight, but the Orioles RHB would be worth targeting if he takes the field. Seattle is using struggling prospect Taylor Scott and as an opener, and southpaw Wade LeBlanc is expected to see several innings of long relief tonight. Mancini would be an elite option if active since he owns a .315/.386/.573 slash line against lefties. He also has the third-highest LD Rate (37.1%) and an above-average 26.3% HR/FB ratio against the platoon.
LeBlanc is yielding a 3.06 HR/9 ratio with a weak 1.17 K/BB ratio to post a 7.98 FIP when facing RHBs at Safeco Field this year. Mancini is 3-for-7 with a HR in a limited sample against LeBlanc and comes into this tilt hitting .323 with a .415 wOBA in June. Renato Nunez could also capitalize in this matchup, and Anthony Santander could serve as a value if starting for Mancini.
Jose Altuve at NYY ($3.8k DraftKings, $3.7k FanDuel)
Jose Altuve is clearly underpriced on DraftKings as he returns from a hamstring injury. The opening matchup isn’t bad either tonight against RHP Chad Green. He has coughed up a .364/.407/.673 slash line in RvR matchups this year. Green will pitch only the first few innings, so Altuve will get to work against the Yanks’ long relievers for most of this game. Altuve went 5-for-12 with a HR at Yankee Stadium last year and could be ready to produce after shaking off the rust with an 0-for-4 outing on Wednesday.
Other hitters to consider: Mike Trout, Pete Alonso, Anthony Rendon, Jorge Polanco, Eddie Rosario, Gleyber Torres, Nick Senzel, Wilson Ramos, Michael Brantley, Jesse Winker, Cavan Biggio, Cesar Puello, Jake Cave
Twins vs. RHP Glenn Sparkman (Royals)
Glenn Sparkman was roughed up for 5 runs (4 ER) over 5.1 IP in a start at Minnesota last Saturday, and there’s little reason to expect different results tonight. The RHP is coughing up a 2.60 HR/9 ratio and 50% hard contact rate when facing lefties. He’s been lucky to post a lower ERA at Kauffman Stadium considering his hard contact rate (42.7%) is up, and his K/9 ratio (4.50) is way down in home starts.
Sparkman coughed up a HR to Jorge Polanco last Saturday, and Polanco remains the best floor-ceiling play in the Twins lineup with a .356/.409/.743 slash line on the road against RHPs. Eddie Rosario has immense upside considering Sparkman’s struggles against the platoon. Max Kepler is pricey but worth a look in GPP formats. Jason Castro may get a chance to start with the platoon advantage. He also has the potential to go yard. Finally, look for recently promoted LHBs Jake Cave and Luis Arraez to start and provide excellent value with Byron Buxton (wrist) and Marwin Gonzalez (hamstring) inactive.
Other stacks to consider: Angels vs. Clayton Richard (Blue Jays), Mets vs. Tyler Chatwood (Cubs)
Three Down for June 20, 2019
Pitcher To Fade
Charlie Morton at OAK ($11.3k DraftKings, $10.5k FanDuel)
Charlie Morton shut down the Athletics over 7 IP at home last Monday and is justifiably the most expensive SP on DK tonight. Yet his upside isn’t astronomical against an A’s team that owns the third-lowest K-Rate (19%) in home games. Morton has been so dominant in part because his curveball rates a league-best 13.1 runs above average this year. However, the A’s rate a league-best 8.2 runs above average against curves over the past month and could at least fight off those offerings enough to keep Morton from racking up strikeouts.
Hitter To Fade
Luke Voit vs. HOU ($5.0k DraftKings, $4.0k FanDuel)
A Yankees stack could disappoint overall tonight against solid LHP Framber Valdez. Luke Voit might struggle most of all since he owns the worst rating (-2.5) on his team when facing curveballs. Valdez owns a curve that rates 4.2 runs above average, and he’s using it to generate a very impressive 61.7% GB Rate this year. Valdez is also drawing an 11.3% swinging strike rate. Plus, he’s yet to cough up a HR over 14.1 IP on the road this season. Voit is the definition of a boom-bust hitter with a 29.3% K-Rate and a 23.1% HR/FB ratio at home.
Stack To Fade
Cardinals vs. RHP Zac Gallen (Marlins)
The Cardinals host a rookie making his MLB debut tonight, yet they could struggle against Marlins prospect Zac Gallen just as they have in consecutive meetings with Marlins rookie Jordan Yamamoto. Gallen posted an excellent 14.4% swinging strike rate with a 1.77 ERA and 0.71 WHIP over 14 starts at the AAA level this year. He flashed impressive ability to limit LHBs (.121 BAA) with a 12.79 K/9 ratio against the platoon in those outings. He was part of the deal packaged by the Cardinals to acquire Marcell Ozuna and will be highly motivated to come out strong against the franchise that drafted him.