NBA Daily Plays Analysis 2/2

Written By PlayPicks Staff on February 2, 2015 - Last Updated on June 27, 2018
NBA Daily Plays

Tonight’s eight game slate offers a lot of high-end plays, but also some great value plays. Below I’ll provide some players who should be considered for tonight’s GPP tournaments. Make sure you monitor the late breaking injury news to help see the value plays that emerge at roster lock. We will take a look at the sheets and some daily plays from each position.

 

Point Guards

 

There are plenty of options at the point guard tonight. John Wall, Chris Paul, Kyrie Irving, Russell Westbrook, and Michael Carter-Williams are all great elite options tonight. Of this group I’m leaning towards John Wall for a couple of reasons. He’s been playing extremely well as of late, despite playing through an Achilles injury. He has scored more than 40 fantasy points in five of the last six games on FanDuel, including two 50+ fantasy point performances. He’s done the same on DraftKings, but instead of two 50+ fantasy point performances in those six games, he’s had three. The Hornets are giving up 48 fantasy points per game to opposing guards. Make sure you monitor his injury news up to roster lock as he did miss this mornings shoot around but if he goes he is always an elite play. I also really like Westbrook tonight; it’s a great matchup for him as the Magic are giving up 55.8 fantasy points per game in their last 10 games. This should be a fast paced game, and while a blowout is possible, the Thunder have lost five of their last six games, so a close game is also possible. If you’re looking to spend a tad less, Jeff Teague and Brandon Knight are good options under $8K on both sites. Both have good matchups and can easily put up more than 40+ fantasy points. On the more economical side, Elfrid Payton and Isaiah Thomas are also viable options. Payton has exceeded his yearly average of 23.2 fantasy points per game in nine of his last ten games. While Thomas has exceeded his yearly average of 25.7 fantasy points per game in six of the last seven games. Tonight’s value play is Devin Harris. Rajon Rondo will not play in tonight’s game, so Harris could see a lot of action this evening. He’s $3100 on DraftKings and $3500 on FanDuel, that’s just about bare minimum for a point guard who should get a ton of minutes and is productive when he’s on the court.

 

Shooting Guards

 

The high level options at this position are scarce tonight. Tyreke Evans, Eric Bledsoe, and Monta Ellis are all playable options, but I’m inclined to take the more economical approach for shooting guards. However, if you’re considering one of these shooting guards, Ellis makes a lot of sense tonight. As I mentioned above, Rajon Rondo will not play tonight which creates more opportunity for players on this offense. In my opinion, the main beneficiary of his absence is Ellis. The matchup is favorable as well. The Timberwolves allow the third most fantasy points per game to opposing shooting guards on both sites. In addition, Ellis has scored 40+ fantasy points in three of his last five games. He’s also the cheapest of the three most expensive shooting guards. So if you decide to pay up for a shooting guard, Ellis should be your number one priority. With that said, I’m rolling with one of the cheaper guys tonight. Kyle Korver, J.R. Smith, O.J. Mayo, Kevin Martin, and Lou Williams are all in play and all less than $5,500 on DraftKings. Smith has the best matchup of all the players I mentioned. He plays the Sixers that are allowing 50.8 fantasy points per game to opposing shooting guards on DraftKings and 43.7 on FanDuel. He also offers a high ceiling and can pop off for 30+ fantasy points on any given night. I’d play him in tournaments only because of how low a floor he has. On to another shooting guard I like, Kevin Martin, who has played very well since returning from injury. He has scored 20+ fantasy points in all three games. He’s a better play on DraftKings because of his price, but he would be my last option of this group on FanDuel. Williams and Mayo have both been consistent in recent games, so I don’t mind using both of them in cash games and tournaments tonight if you’re trying to save some money for other a high salary player.

 

Small Forward

 

Who will it be tonight, Lebron James or Kevin Durant? Both are obviously great plays, but when I’m in a situation like this, I take two things into account, price and matchup. In this case, Durant wins in both of those categories, so I’m rolling with him. He struggled on Saturday against the Grizzlies, but has a favorable matchup against the Magic. Orlando has been much more generous to opposing small forwards in recent games that they’ve been this season. The last time Durant faced the Magic he scored 50 fantasy points. He’s also $600 less than James, which could come in handy at another position. All in all, both James and Durant are playable. They are elite and if you can manage to fit them in your lineups, I’d say go for it. A more affordable option is Khris Middleton who is less than $6K on both sites. He’s been my go-to small forward in recent games. He’s affordable, consistent, and has a tendency to meet value. The matchup against the Raptors also makes it more enticing to plug him in. Someone who is very tempting tonight is Tobias Harris. He’s been playing poorly as of late, but knowing what he’s capable of and his price tag are two very appealing factors to take into consideration. If you roll with him, make sure it’s in tournaments only, because of his recent struggles and the floor he currently offers. A tournament punt play to consider is Tony Allen. He’s a bare minimum salary on DraftKings and has scored more than 20 fantasy points in each of his last two games. He can easily score fewer than 15 fantasy points on any given night, so don’t get too cute and over use him.

 

Power Forwards

 

Anthony Davis is always in play. He’s expected to play tonight’s game after missing his last game with a groin injury. Let’s be honest, the guy is an absolute beast. He contributes to every category possible, has a ridiculously high ceiling, and also provides a very high floor. If you’re not willing to pay up over $10K for him tonight, but are still looking for an elite play, no worries there are still several other high end power forwards that are in play. Blake Griffin, Zach Randolph, Paul Milsap, and Kevin Love are all high end viable options. They are all priced less than $10K on both sites. Griffin offers the highest celling of the bunch and has a great matchup against Brooklyn. The only concern is a potential blowout. The last time these two teams met, the Clippers won by 39 points and Griffin only played 24 minutes. With that said, if you want to gamble and roll the dice on Griffin, it’s best to do so in a tournament. Milsap is the cheapest of the four power forwards I mentioned and has already found success against the Pelicans. The last time he played against theM he scored 40 fantasy points. The Pelicans are allowing 43 fantasy points per game to opposing power forwards and nearly a double-double. Moving on to some of the more inexpensive power forwards, Serge Ibaka has a good price on DraftKings for his recent production. He now has four consecutive double-doubles and takes on a Magic defense that allows 20.5 points and 9.5 rebounds per game to power forwards. He makes a solid tournament play if you’re considering a mid-level player. Markieff Morris is another mid-level play I’m intrigued by. He’s a tad more expensive than his last couple of games, but still cheaper than he was 10 games ago. He’s had plenty of success against the Grizzlies, averaging 35.4 fantasy points per game in two games against them this season. He too makes a solid play at a reasonable price. Cody Zeller makes a good value play. He’s priced at $5,500 on DraftKings and $5,300 on FanDuel, but has scored more than 29 fantasy points in each of his last three games on both sites. He’s filling up the stat sheets and providing a great ROI for those investing in him. Robert Convington is another value play. He’s $5K on DraftKings, but has scored 29 or more fantasy points in six of his last 10 games. He also has a great matchup against the Cavs who aren’t known for their defense. The last guy I’ll touch on is John Henson. He’s been producing quality fantasy points and will get the start once again. He should have no trouble hitting value tonight based on his price.

 

Centers

 

The good news is that if you decide to pay up for the most expensive center, it won’t break your bank. Nikola Vucevic is the most expensive center on both sites, but he’s less than $9,100 on each site. However, before I plug him in, I’m rolling with Marc Gasol and Al Jefferson, especially on DraftKings. Don’t get me wrong their prices on FanDuel are good, but they are both less than $8,000 on DraftKings and I simply can’t ignore that. If you can manage to play both Gasol and Jefferson, I’d do it. They are both candidates for double-doubles, are a good source of blocks, and can score 40+ fantasy points on any given night. As far as value, there really aren’t many options, but if you’re looking for a center within your means, Timofey Mozgov is in play. He takes on the Sixers, which as I’ve mentioned before, are terrible defensively and get torched by just about every position of the opposing offenses. Keep in mind Mozgov is strictly a tournament play. Nikola Pekovic is another center to consider on DraftKings because of his price tag, but his matchup isn’t as appealing as Mozgov’s.

 

Good luck to all tonight!

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