The PGA Tour’s California Swing reaches Torrey Pines for the 2022 Farmers Insurance Open and for the first time since the Houston Open in early November, we get to see a true test of golf.
Torrey Pines South is the longest course on the TOUR rotation and will reward players with a balanced all-around game of distance, approach, and short game. That’s not a great recipe for longshots, especially versus one of the strongest fields we’ll see outside of the majors, but it’s more necessary than ever to land on the correct salary savers in DFS.
While win equity is still tied up with the very top of the odds board, there are plenty of viable longshots to consider for placement bets as well. DraftKings has us covered whether you’re exploring one of the many golf betting markets or focusing on Daily Fantasy.
So let’s get to our 2022 Farmers Insurance Open longshots and sleepers for your DFS lineups and betting cards.
2022 FARMERS INSURANCE OPEN PICKS | DFS VALUE PLAYS & BETTING LONGSHOTS FOR TORREY PINES
The American Express was a quintessential longshot week, while the 2022 Farmers Insurance Open will be the exact opposite. Personally, my betting card will not stretch beyond 60-1 this week, and it’s historically been a safe bet that the winner of this event will fall at 30-to-1 odds or shorter.
I’m looking at the below-value players primarily for DFS purposes this week in order to afford more top-heavy lineups, but they still present a ceiling for viable high placing bets at online sportsbooks. As always, we’ll be using DraftKings DFS pricing and betting odds as the basis of our picks. Let’s get into it!
*Betting odds & DFS pricing from Draftkings are subject to change after writing.
Luke List (, $7,600)
The tee-to-green machine is just a lukewarm (pun not intended) putting week away from picking up his first career win on the PGA Tour. That win is unlikely to come against this week’s field but there are plenty of signs to suggest he can finish inside the top 20, which would be a bargain for his DFS price.
The seventh-best putting performance of his career came at The Farmers in 2020 when he gained 3.8 strokes on the greens. Poa is the type of surface that some players just cannot figure out, so it’s encouraging to see that List is capable of holding his own on these complexes over the course of four rounds.
List has finished inside the top 40 in each of his last four trips to the Farmers, highlighted by a T12 in 2018 and a T10 in his latest appearance in 2021. In this loaded field, Luke List rates out No. 1 in SG: T2G over the last six months. He has the results to prove he can hang around on a course in Torrey Pines that should suit him, and this year he enters in great form, with four finishes inside the top 25 over his previous five starts.
Jason Day (, $7,500)
There are obvious reasons to fade Jason Day this week, as it’s been over five months since he last cracked the top 40. But at $7,500 on DraftKings and as high as 100-to-1 on some odds boards, his price has drifted far enough down to catch my attention.
This is nothing more than a value bet on a former world No. 1 talent who boasts the third-best course history in this field behind only Jon Rahm and Tony Finau over the last five years. He is one of the best Poa putters in the world and has won on these grounds twice in the last seven years.
Day is still rounding back into form after going through swing changes and nursing a nagging back injury. Now rested after an extended break and coming off of a made cut at The AmEx last week to knock the rust off, Jason Day should be able to hang around for the “weekend” with his distance and short game alone.
J.J. Spaun (, $6,900)
Jason Day’s doppelganger has been on my radar over recent months as Sebastian Munoz’s FRL understudy, but if there’s ever a time to get some full tournament exposure to him, it’s probably at Torrey Pines. Spaun is a local Californian and knows the San Diego region well having gone to school at San Diego State.
As we’ve seen from other California locals like Xander Schauffele and Collin Morikawa, Spaun has a great familiarity with Poa greens and has always putted best on this surface; he ranks 3rd in SG: P at Torrey Pines. Over five career appearances at The Farmers, his putter has carried him to three top-30 finishes.
He enters the 2022 Farmers Insurance Open in arguably his best form ever, having made the cut in seven of his last eight events with three top-25 finishes over his last six starts. He may not have the all-around skillset to contend this week, but the combination of recent form and course history at $6,900 make for an appealing DFS play to make it through the cut at what is sure to be low ownership.
Taylor Pendrith (, $6,800)
Bombers who can putt have a pretty solid track record at Torrey Pines, and that’s exactly the profile Taylor Pendrith brings here at $6,800 on DraftKings.
Pendrith nearly won the Bermuda Championship in a runaway six starts ago before severe weather and a lousy Sunday pushed him back to a T5 finish. His ensuing starts have not been inspiring, but they’ve each come on shorter, positional courses that have mitigated his distance advantage.
At Torrey Pines, he should be able to let loose off the tee. He’s been here once before against an even stronger field at the U.S. Open where he gained 3.4 strokes OTT. Aside from that, the only other time we’ve seen Pendrith on a long difficult course was the 2020 U.S. Open at Winged Foot, where he went on to finish T23.
There’s plenty of risk at the bottom of the board this week, but I like the upside of a player like Pendrith who brings a distance advantage and some room for optimism that he can stand the test of difficult scoring conditions.
Sahith Theegala (, $6,500)
The pride of Pepperdine is as low as I’m willing to go in DFS this week. Sahith is a California lifer and will be leveraging the #HomeBedNarrative this week, as he reportedly is still living with his parents nearby. Like J.J. Spaun, that local familiarity has made him an early Poa specialist, as he’s gained strokes putting at each of the first three events he’s played on Poa greens to start his early career.
He’s played Torrey Pines once before at the 2021 U.S. Open and while he did miss the cut, it was encouraging to see him gain over 2 strokes putting on these greens. Seven months later, Theegala has picked up his TOUR card and has made the cut in seven of his next 9 starts, highlighted by a T8 at the Sanderson Farms.
His stats won’t jump off the page, but he rates out above-average in the key stats of Comp Course History, SG: APP, SG: Short Game, Bogey Avoidance, Scrambling, SG: P, and Prox 200+, which is good enough for 24th overall in my model. At $6,500 I like the path to a high floor for Theegala.