Please note the advice below is relevant for daily fantasy purposes. A player or team might be better or worse from a fantasy perspective than in real life due to matchup, price, and lots of other factors. This is important to consider when constructing a roster.
Injuries play a huge role in NBA DFS on a nightly basis and rotations can always shift in the postseason. Value plays on the various daily fantasy sites can arise at a moment’s notice, so always, always check the starting lineups and injury news right before tipoff.
6/13/19 NBA DFS TOURNAMENT PICKS
Back to the Bay Showdown: $25 entry, $1M guaranteed (DraftKings) – $200,000k to 1st!
Four Point Play: $4 entry, $200k guaranteed (DraftKings)
Game 6 Final Shot: $18.88 entry, $666k guaranteed (FanDuel) – $150,000 to 1st!
Shot: $5.55 entry, $200k guaranteed (FanDuel)
NBA DFS Top Plays for June 13, 2019
Three Up for June 13, 2019
Kawhi Leonard at GSW ($17.7k (C) DraftKings, $11.8k DK, $16.5k FanDuel)
The Warriors survived in Game 5 in part because Kawhi Leonard had his least efficient night since Game 3 of Toronto’s first-round series against Orlando. Yet he still turned it on late and finished with 26 points, 12 rebounds, and 6 assists to exceed value in his fourth straight appearance. Oracle Arena will be bumping in the final game of its history (Warriors move arenas next year), so some of the less experienced Raptors could get rattled by that environment. Just not Kawhi. Over the past three rounds, Leonard is averaging an eye-popping 33 PPG and 9.1 RPG while shooting 52.6% on the road. With Kevin Durant officially done for the series, Leonard will be free to dictate the pace on both ends. He’ll be the best all-around player on the court.
Klay Thompson vs. TOR ($13.8k (C) DraftKings, $9.2k DK, $11.5k FanDuel)
How have the Raptors been able to contain Steph Curry? By selling out to deny him open looks. This leaves Klay Thompson relatively open for key shots. He drained a slew of huge triples down the stretch on Monday to extend this series, and his price tag remains fixed on FanDuel despite the fact that he’s 13-for-23 from deep with 54 points since returning from his hamstring tweak. Thompson is the Warriors’ best option to defend Leonard; thus, he played 42 minutes in Games 4 and 5. He may lack for peripheral stats but is an absolute sniper with even better shooting splits (47.6% from the field) at Oracle this year.
DeMarcus Cousins vs. TOR ($5.8k DraftKings, $8.0k FanDuel)
While you should deploy DeMarcus Cousins only in GPP formats, chances are that’s the popular format on what could be the final night of the NBA season. Cousins managed only 20 minutes in a third straight lackluster outing. But he scored 14 points on a 28% usage rate with a team-high 27.9% defensive rebounding rate in Game 5. Cousins helped get Marc Gasol into some foul trouble, and the Warriors will need his presence in the paint even more with Serge Ibaka coming on strong for Toronto. Kevon Looney (collarbone) has suffered further injury and might not be effective if active at all in Game 6. The Warriors have to find sources of offense other than Steph Curry and Thompson, so Steve Kerr may be willing to unleash Cousins for better or worse.
Three Down for June 13, 2019
Draymond Green vs. TOR ($15.6k (C) DraftKings, $10.4k DK, $13.5k FanDuel)
While he crept closer to a triple-double in Game 5, Draymond Green also picked up at least four fouls in his sixth straight game. He’s tasked with captaining the Warriors’ defense, and that’s a dangerous job with Kawhi Leonard and other rangy forwards routinely attacking the basket. Green’s assist numbers have risen lately as he looks to feed the Splash Brothers on just about every offensive possession, but the Raptors are keying in on the Warriors’ off-ball screens. Toronto should be able to deny some of those plays in Game 6. With a 13.6% usage rate over his last two appearances, Green is barely looking for his offense. Finally, his playoff numbers decrease slightly in home games, and the Raptors have been a tough defense for him to crack all year.
Pascal Siakam at GSW ($13.2k (C) DraftKings, $8.8k DK, $12.5k FanDuel)
When you consider which Raptors might shrink under the bright lights of an NBA Finals elimination game, Pascal Siakam is one of the first candidates. The pressure is mounting, and Siakam did not show well in a close-out game on Monday. He’s now missed 13 consecutive attempts from beyond the arc and is struggling to score points in the paint since the Warriors are not forced to close out to his body on long-range shots. Siakam has three turnovers to three assists over his last two games and just nine rebounds. Serge Ibaka posted a 31.4% defensive rebounding rate (over just 17 minutes), and Marc Gasol posted a game-high 34.4% DRR in Game 5. Siakam, meanwhile, posted a 7.1% total rebounding rate to follow up his 7.3% rate in Game 4. Without the threat of reliable peripheral stats, it’s very tough to pay up for Siakam on the road.
Fred VanVleet at GSW ($6.6k DraftKings, $10.0k FanDuel)
This is a difficult fade because Fred VanVleet is arguably the mentally toughest Raptor aside from Leonard. He’s unlikely to wane under the pressure of playing at Oracle and is capable of hitting big shots down the stretch. That being said, his impact in the actual game may not equate to DFS success. VanVleet’s playing time has also decreased in each of the past two games (he left Game 4 due to a facial injury) in part because Toronto needs Danny Green on the floor to guard Klay Thompson. VanVleet posted a modest 12.6% usage rate and 5.4% assist rate in Game 5 and has converted only two 2-point field goals over his last three appearances. Even if he knocks down a couple of treys, VanVleet might not provide the same salary returns as Danny Green, a comparable three-point specialist in a much lower price range.