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We have a 10-game MLB DFS slate on Sunday, 6/9/19 beginning at 1:05 p.m EDT. Below is a list of our best pitchers, hitters, and stacks to target (Three Up) and fade (Three Down) in MLB DFS contests. Note that some of these plays are recommended for Cash, and some are best reserved for GPP lineups on DraftKings and FanDuel.

Please note the advice below is relevant for daily fantasy purposes. A player or team might be better or worse from a fantasy perspective than in real life due to matchup, price, and lots of other factors. This is important to consider when constructing a roster. Remember that more than in other sports, variance is a huge part of baseball. Even Mike Trout can go 0-for-4 on a given night, and Max Scherzer can get lit up by a weak team.

Weather can also play a huge role in MLB DFS on a nightly basis, and lineups are constantly shifting. So always, always check the starting lineups and weather reports when playing for an MLB slate. If a game gets rained out, your player gets zero points!

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Extra Inning: $10 entry, $175k guaranteed (DraftKings) – $50k to 1st!
Pitcher’s Mound: $60.60 entry, $300k guaranteed (DraftKings)- $100K to 1st!
Sun. Squeeze: $5.55 entry, $110k guaranteed (FanDuel) – $20K to 1st!
Sun. Grand Slam: $66 entry, $100K guaranteed (FanDuel)- $20K to 1st!

Three Up for June 9, 2019

Best Pitcher

Wade Miley vs. BAL ($9.1k DraftKings, $7.5k FanDuel)

There are some big names near the top of the pitcher pool Sunday afternoon. While I definitely like a couple of them (listed below), I see Miley as an intriguing option that can save you a bit off those expensive selections and check in with modest ownership. The veteran southpaw has been especially sharp in his home stadium of Minute Maid Park. Miley’s home metrics include a 2.23 ERA, .194 BAA and .261 wOBA allowed across 36.1 frames. He’s held both sides of the plate to sub-.280 wOBAs at home as well.

Then, Miley’s old squad has struggled against left-handed pitching this season, especially on the road. Baltimore has a .293 wOBA, -8.0 wRAA and 24.5 percent strikeout rate versus southpaws outside Camden Yards. Miley has been tough on the few current Orioles hitters he’s faced as well, holding them to a .174/.240/.261 line across 23 total at-bats. Finally, park factor is also in Miley’s favor Sunday. Minute Maid checked into Saturday’s action with a bottom-10 run factor (1.002), doubles factor (0.844) and triples factor (0.366).

Given his consistency this season and track record at home, Miley is useful for both cash and GPPs on Sunday.

Other pitchers to consider: Jake Odorizzi (vs. DET), Robbie Ray (at TOR), Noah Syndergaard (vs. COL), Sonny Gray (at PHI), Aaron Nola (vs. CIN)

Best Hitter

Jorge Soler vs. CWS ($4.5k DraftKings, $3.1k FanDuel)

Soler is putting together an impressive power display this season in relatively anonymous fashion. The Cuban slugger had 16 round trippers entering Saturday’s action and boasts an outstanding track record versus White Sox starter Reynaldo Lopez. Soler has pounded Lopez for a .636 average with three extra-base hits (two doubles, one home run) across 11 career encounters. Soler has also punished righties at home, as evidenced by his .356 wOBA, .321 ISO and 25 extra-base hits (12 doubles, 13 home runs) at Kauffman Stadium.

In turn, Lopez has been hit hard by both sides of the plate, including righty bats on the road. Lopez is yielding a .406 wOBA and mammoth 56.8 percent hard-contact rate to right-handed hitters outside Guaranteed Rate Field. Part of his problem has been the 54.1 percent flyball rate he’s yielded to righty bats on the road. Soler counters with a 41.0 percent FB rate against right-handed pitchers, which has led to a 26.0 percent HR/FB rate.

Finally, Soler is an elite fastball hitter this season. Lopez’s most frequently thrown pitch happens to be the four-seam fastball. The White Sox righty has allowed a .387 wOBA when throwing the four-seam. Soler boasts a .324 average and .459 wOBA versus the pitch, along with a 204 wRC+. Considering all the factors just cited, I see Soler appealing for both cash and GPPs.

Other hitters to consider: Mookie Betts (vs. TAM), Tyler Flowers, Ronald Acuna, Nick Markakis, Freddie Freeman (all at MIA), Josh Reddick, Alex Bregman, Michael Brantley, Jake Marisnick, Robinson Chirinos (all vs. BAL), Starling Marte. Adam Frazier (at MIL), Christian Yelich, Lorenzo Cain, Ryan Braun, Orlando Arcia (all vs. PIT), Ryan O’Hearn, Whit Merrifield (vs. CWS)

Best Stack

Mets vs. COL (RHP Jeff Hoffman)   

The Mets’ offensive explosions are few and far between. However, the environment could be ripe for one such breakout Sunday. Rockies starter Jeff Hoffman has struggled all season, at Coors and on the road. Hoffman actually sports a slightly higher 7.50 ERA on the road and has allowed a .366 average and .440 wOBA to right-handed hitters, which sets up nicely for several Mets bats. That includes Wilson Ramos, Pete Alonso, Todd Frazier, and Amed Rosario.

Although Hoffman has been less vulnerable to left-handed hitters this season, he’s yielded a .332 wOBA to that handedness over his career. That puts Jeff McNeil and Michael Conforto into consideration as well. It’s also worth noting the Mets have been one of the best teams against right-handers at home over the last month. They checked into Saturday’s action with a .367 wOBA, .240 ISO, and 14.2 wRAA against righties at Citi Field during that span.

Other stacks to consider: Braves (at MIA), Brewers (vs. PIT), Astros (vs. BAL)


Three Down for June 9, 2019

Pitcher To Fade

Steven Brault at MIL ($6.6k DraftKings, $5.6k FanDuel)   

In addition to Hoffman, Brault is another pitcher I recommend staying away from Sunday. The young left-hander has admittedly improved in recent starts, but he still isn’t going very deep into games. Brault hasn’t logged more than 5.2 innings in any outing. He continues to experience control problems that are driving up his pitch count, as evidenced by his 1.64 WHIP and 5.5 BB/9.

His matchup Sunday isn’t exactly appealing, either. The Brewers have decimated left-handed pitching at Miller Park all season. They boast a .370 wOBA and 46.1 percent hard-contact rate against southpaws at home. They’ve been even better of late. Over the last month at Miller, Milwaukee has generated a .306 average and .444 wOBA against lefties. And six of the eight Brewers position players projected to be in Sunday’s lineup own wOBAs of .336 or higher against lefties at home, including five with .383 or higher.

Hitter To Fade

Nicholas Castellanos vs. MIN ($3.4k DraftKings, $3k FanDuel)

Castellanos is enjoying a solid season, but he’ll run into one of his tougher individual challenges Sunday. Right-hander Jake Odorizzi has stymied Castellanos throughout his career, limiting him to a .150 average across 20 plate appearances. The only three hits Castellanos has managed off the Twins right-hander have been singles. Then, Odorizzi has been similarly difficult against all comers this season. Odorizzi boasts a 1.96 ERA, 0.96 WHIP and 70 strikeouts over 64.1 innings.

Castellanos owns a middling .301 wOBA and 22.9 percent strikeout rate against right-handed pitching at home this season as well, further dampening his prospects. Odorizzi is also largely bulletproof when it comes to his pitch splits this season. He’s allowed wOBAs of .254 or less on four of the five pitches in his arsenal. And the one pitch he’s been most vulnerable with, the curve, isn’t a point of strength for Castellanos. He sports an anemic .296 wOBA against the off-speed offering.

Stack To Fade

Blue Jays vs. ARI (LHP Robbie Ray)   

The Blue Jays’ Achilles heel has been left-handed pitching, especially in their home park. Toronto owns a Majors-low .251 wOBA, -20.0 wRAA, and .196 average against southpaws at Rogers Centre for the season. They’ve also struck out against that handedness at a 25.4 percent clip. Narrowing the focus down to the last month doesn’t reflect much improvement, either; Toronto sports just a .275 wOBA and .200 average versus lefty arms at home during that span.

Ray has a solid .245 BAA and 3.71 ERA across 43.2 road frames. He unsurprisingly sports some particularly impressive metrics in same-handed matchups when traveling, posting a 31.1 percent strikeout rate and 2.61 xFIP. The Blue Jays have also scored the second-fewest runs in the AL (240) and four runs or fewer in nine of their last 11 games. Plus, Ray has proven relatively immune to blowups, giving up four earned runs or fewer in nine straight starts. Given all these factors, I see the Blue Jays as stay-away candidates.

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