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We have a six-game MLB DFS slate on Saturday, 6/8/19 beginning at 7:15 p.m EDT. Below is a list of our best pitchers, hitters, and stacks to target (Three Up) and fade (Three Down) in MLB DFS contests. Note that some of these plays are recommended for Cash, and some are best reserved for GPP lineups on DraftKings and FanDuel.

Please note the advice below is relevant for daily fantasy purposes. A player or team might be better or worse from a fantasy perspective than in real life due to matchup, price, and lots of other factors. This is important to consider when constructing a roster. Remember that more than in other sports, variance is a huge part of baseball. Even Mike Trout can go 0-for-4 on a given night, and Max Scherzer can get lit up by a weak team.

Weather can also play a huge role in MLB DFS on a nightly basis, and lineups are constantly shifting. So always, always check the starting lineups and weather reports when playing for an MLB slate. If a game gets rained out, your player gets zero points!

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Relay Throw: $15 entry, $175k guaranteed (DraftKings) – $50k to 1st!
Slap Hitter: $66 entry, $40k guaranteed (DraftKings)- $5K to 1st!
Sat. Squeeze: $5.55 entry, $100k guaranteed (FanDuel) – $20K to 1st!
Sat. Grand Slam: $77 entry, $100K guaranteed (FanDuel)- $15K to 1st!

Three Up for June 8, 2019

Best Pitcher

Max Scherzer at SDP ($12k DraftKings, $11.7k FanDuel)

Sometimes on a modest slate, the best option also happens to be the most expensive. Such is the case Saturday night. Scherzer, despite his warts this season, stands out as the top option. Scherzer owns a solid 3.26 ERA and .291 wOBA across 38.2 road frames this season and has held current San Diego hitters to a .188/.224/.340 line across 144 career at-bats. He’s been particularly tough against some of the Padres’ top bats, too. He’s limited the likes of Eric Hosmer (.250 BAA), Ian Kinsler (.185 BAA) and Manny Machado (.129 BAA) throughout their careers.

The Padres haven’t exactly thrived versus righties in their pitcher-friendly Petco Park. San Diego checked into Friday night’s action with a .223 average and .287 wOBA against right-handed pitching at Petco while striking out at a 26.0 percent clip versus that handedness. And on the subject of San Diego’s home turf, Scherzer has one impressive start there over the last three seasons (6 IP, 4 H, 1 ER, 10 K). The stadium also came into Friday night’s action with bottom-10 run factor (0.855) and home-run factor (0.864).

Given the factors just cited, I see Scherzer as a solid cash or GPP option Saturday night, especially considering his last two double-digit strikeout games have come on the road.

Other pitchers to consider: Jon Gray (at NYM), Jon Lester (vs. STL)

Best Hitter

Anthony Rizzo at STL ($4.6k DraftKings, $4.3k FanDuel)

Rizzo comes into Saturday night’s matchup against Jack Flaherty with an excellent track record against the Cardinals starter and right-handed pitching overall. The Cubs slugger carries a career .636/.714/1.273 line against Flaherty over 11 plate appearances, a sample that includes a pair of homers and only one strikeout. He’s also punished righty arms this season for a .295 average (including .316 at home) and .415 wOBA, along with a 46.9 percent hard-contact rate.

Meanwhile, Flaherty has had the most difficulty against left-handed hitters. He’s allowed a .331 wOBA to that handedness, including a .356 figure on the road. Seven of the 11 homers he’s yielded this season have come off lefty bats as well, the byproduct of a 47.9 percent hard-contact rate surrendered to that handedness. Considering all of the numbers just cited, as well as the fact Rizzo owns respective wOBAs of .389 and .433 against Flaherty’s top two pitches (four-seam fastball and slider), I see the Cubs slugger as a cash or GPP play.

Other hitters to consider: Charlie Blackmon, Nolan Arenado, David Dahl, Daniel Murphy, Trevor Story (all at NYM), Cody Bellinger, Max Muncy (vs. SFG), Brandon Belt, Joe Panik, Brandon Crawford (vs. LAD), Paul Goldschmidt (at CHC), *Rangers bats of both handedness (vs. OAK), Khris Davis, Stephen Piscotty, Matt Chapman, Matt Olson (at TEX)

Best Stack

Rangers vs. OAK (RHP Paul Blackburn)   (*NOTE: Blackburn has now been announced as the starter for the first game, with Chris Bassitt taking the hill in the nightcap. This downgrades the Rangers bats a bit in my opinion, although they should still be considered. However, also consider the alternate stacks listed below a bit more strongly)

A spot starter who hasn’t pitched in the Majors all season taking the hill at Globe Life Park in warm weather typically makes for a good target to stack against. Those are the circumstances at play Saturday night, as Paul Blackburn will make the start for the A’s in the second game of a doubleheader. The right-hander has had more trouble with the long ball than usual this season at Triple-A Las Vegas, yielding 10 homers over across 11 starts on his way to a slightly elevated 4.55 ERA.

The Rangers have hit right-handed pitching hard at home all season (.335 wOBA). They’ve been even better over the last month at Globe Life, as evidenced by a .283 average and .346 wOBA versus righties during that stretch at home. Blackburn particularly struggled against left-handed hitters last season, yielding a .317 average and .354 wOBA to that handedness. That could particularly be a boon for the fantasy fortunes of Shin-Soo Choo, Nomar Mazara, Ronald Guzman, and Rougned Odor, along with the switch-hitting Asdrubal Cabrera and Danny Santana, if in the lineup for the nightcap.

Finally, bullpen fatigue must also be taken into account when evaluating the second game of any twin bill. There’s certainly a chance Oakland is a bit short-handed on the back end of the staff by the time Saturday night rolls around. What’s more, the A’s bullpen has struggled throughout the past month on the road, yielding a 5.80 ERA and .328 wOBA.

Other stacks to consider: Athletics (at TEX), Rockies (at NYM), Angels (vs. SEA)


Three Down for June 8, 2019

Pitcher To Fade

Steven Matz vs. COL ($6.8k DraftKings, $7.6k FanDuel)   

Matz has often traveled a treacherous road against the Rockies. Even with Saturday’s game unfolding at Citi Field and not Coors, I still recommend staying away from the Mets’ right-hander. Colorado bats have pounded on Matz for a collective .390/.440/.701 line over 77 career at-bats. That sample includes 14 extra-base hits (over 30 hits total) and 19 RBI. Six Rockies regulars own a .357 average or higher against Matz for their careers.

Matz has been very effective at home this season, but he’s had plenty of trouble there against lefty bats over a small sample. That could bode well for the likes of Charlie Blackmon (who also owns an eye-popping .615 career average against Matz), David Dahl (.667 career average against Matz), Daniel Murphy (.417 average against Matz), and even Tony Wolters if he’s in the lineup. Then, Colorado’s powerful right-handed bats Nolan Arenado (.357 career against Matz) and Trevor Story (.400 career against Matz) have enjoyed success against the right-hander over their careers.

Hitter To Fade

Manny Machado vs. WAS ($3.4k DraftKings, $3.1k FanDuel)

Machado runs into some personal kryptonite in the form of Max Scherzer on Saturday night. The Nationals’ fireballer is one puzzle Machado has never quite solved. He sports an anemic .129/.129/.290 line against Scherzer over 31 career plate appearances and 15 strikeouts. Machado has also struggled against right-handed pitching overall this season. He carried a .222 average (including .200 at home) and .274 wOBA versus that handedness into Friday night’s action.

In turn, Scherzer has stymied righty bats to the tune of a .213 average and .242 wOBA thus far. He owns a mammoth 37.6 percent strikeout rate versus that handedness overall, a figure that bumps to 39.3 percent on the road. Scherzer is also inducing an elevated 46.2 percent groundball rate from right-handed hitters, dampening Machado’s prospects further. Finally, in addition to Petco Park‘s pitcher-friendly metrics, this right-hander has the ability to neutralize Machado’s considerable proficiency against the four-seam fastball. While the Padres slugger owns an outstanding .446 wOBA against the pitch, Scherzer significantly offsets that with a .277 wOBA allowed and 36.4 percent strikeout rate when throwing it.

Stack To Fade

Cardinals at CHC (LHP Jon Lester)   

The Cardinals offense has underperformed the majority of the season. A matchup against a pitcher that knows St. Louis hitters particularly well and has often gotten the best of them isn’t a recipe for a breakout. That’s exactly what’s on tap Saturday night with Jon Lester taking the hill for the Cubs. The veteran southpaw has been spectacular on his home turf of Wrigley Field. He sports a 1.76 ERA and .303 wOBA allowed across 30.2 home frames. Lester has been tough against both sides of the plate there as well.

The Cardinals have been good against left-handed pitching on the road this season, but Lester could well be an exception. He’s consistently done well when facing the likes of Harrison Bader (.222 BAA), Matt Carpenter (.209 BAA), Dexter Fowler (.200 BAA) and Paul DeJong (.231 BAA) and Jose Martinez (.200 BAA). Then, one of the most successful St. Louis bats against Lester, Yadier Molina, is on the injured list with a thumb injury. The Cards offense doesn’t exactly come in running hot, either. St. Louis has scored fewer than five runs in eight of its last 10 games.

Finally, the Cubs bullpen won’t exactly be an easy target when Lester exits. Chicago relievers have yielded a miserly .288 wOBA at home over the last month.

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