Please note the advice below is relevant for daily fantasy purposes. A player or team might be better or worse from a fantasy perspective than in real life due to matchup, price, and lots of other factors. This is important to consider when constructing a roster.
Injuries play a huge role in NBA DFS on a nightly basis and rotations can always shift in the postseason. Value plays on the various daily fantasy sites can arise at a moment’s notice, so always, always check the starting lineups and injury news right before tipoff.
6/7/19 NBA DFS TOURNAMENT PICKS
California vs. Canada Showdown: $25 entry, $1M guaranteed (DraftKings) – $200,000k to 1st!`
Four Point Play: $4 entry, $200k guaranteed (DraftKings)
Game 4 Final Shot: $15 entry, $600k guaranteed (FanDuel) – $100,000 to 1st!
Shot: $4.44 entry, $150k guaranteed (FanDuel)
NBA DFS Top Plays for June 7, 2019
Three Up for June 7, 2019
Steph Curry vs. TOR ($17.7k (C) DraftKings, $11.8k DK, $16.0k FanDuel)
With Klay Thompson (hamstring) out in addition to Kevin Durant (calf), the Warriors had to lean even more heavily on Steph Curry throughout Game 3. He posted his highest usage rate (37.7%) of the series and scored a playoff career-high 47 points in a losing effort. Thompson is expected to return for Game 4, but might not be as effective in terms of running around screens to get loose. Golden State will continue to try and free Curry up on off-ball screens and give the best shooter in history the green light. Curry shot 44.4% from downtown at home this season and is 19-for-43 (44.2%) from deep over his last three playoff home games. His usage is the single most bankable asset in single-game contests and that gives him the highest floor of any player.
Fred VanVleet at GSW ($6.0k DraftKings, $9.5k FanDuel)
Let the public chase spiked production from Kyle Lowry and Danny Green in Game 3, while you stand pat with steady Fred VanVleet. The savvy guard quietly posted a team-high 142 highest offensive rating while connecting on 3 of 6 attempts from downtown, adding three steals to meet value in a seventh consecutive playoff appearance. VanVleet is averaging 34.8 MPG this series because he’s the Raptors best defensive option against Curry. As an indication of VanVleet’s two-way value, he’s posting a net +73 plus/minus rating over his last six appearances. He remains a great value on DraftKings and is only slightly cheaper than Lowry on FanDuel, but could play a bigger role with the Warriors likely to key in on Lowry. Green’s production came almost exclusively on 3-pointers and that is tough to bank on in a virtual must-win game for the Warriors.
Serge Ibaka at GSW ($4.4k DraftKings, $8.0k FanDuel)
Nick Nurse was able to outmaneuver the Bucks by utilizing the Raptors superior depth and he’s at it again in the NBA Finals. Instead of Fred VanVleet, it was Serge Ibaka serving as the interchangeable option off the bench to tip the scales and allow Toronto to pull away for a franchise-defining Game 3 win. Ibaka made the most of his 21 minutes with 6 points, 5 rebounds, 6 blocks, and 2 steals to exceed value in a second consecutive appearance. He was somewhat reluctant to shoot from the perimeter, but is a great value option on FanDuel due to his defensive prowess. Ibaka’s defensive versatility forced Warriors HC Steve Kerr to move away from DeMarcus Cousins and that should earn him more minutes as the series progresses.
Three Down for June 7, 2019
Draymond Green vs. TOR ($15.6k (C) DraftKings, $10.4k DK, $13.5k FanDuel)
Draymond Green came up well short of value in Game 3 and could struggle again in Game 4. The absence of Thompson and Durant boosts the value of an elite scorer like Curry, but actually hurts Green. When Thompson and KD were off the floor this year, Green average 0.07 fewer FPs per minute (0.96) with a modest 16.1% usage rate. With Thompson out on Wednesday, Green posted his lowest assist total (4) of these playoffs. Thompson may be active tonight, but the Warriors offense is unlikely to be free-flowing enough for Green to flirt with double-digit assists. He’s committed at least four turnovers in four straight games and owns a -18 plus/minus rating over his last four appearances against Toronto.
DeMarcus Cousins vs. TOR ($6.8k DraftKings, $11.0k FanDuel)
We were wrong to overreact to a big Game 2 line from DeMarcus Cousins. It appears that he’s not close to fully recovered from a partially torn quad, which is to be expected from a 270-pound behemoth. Because he was a step slow, Cousins struggled defensively and finished with a -12 plus/minus over 19 ineffective minutes in Game 3. He’s admitted in the past that Marc Gasol is one of his toughest opponents and now the Raptors can throw the agile Serge Ibaka onto the court to deny Cousins any dribble penetration. Andrew Bogut proved to be a more effective big in the Warriors Steph Curry-centric offense, posting 6 points and 7 rebounds over 21 minutes on Wednesday. So Cousins is tough to pay up for on FanDuel in a shaky timeshare.
Danny Green at GSW ($4.8k DraftKings, $7.5k FanDuel)
As mentioned above, Danny Green could be a popular play since he connected on 6 of 10 attempts from long range to key a Raptors win Wednesday. He has been much more useful in this series compared to his struggles against the Bucks, but has only converted two 2-point field goals with 12 rebounds and 3 assists over three games. That type of peripheral production won’t get it done and Green could lay an egg in the scoring department if Klay Thompson is healthy enough to key a defensive revival for the Warriors. Golden State allowed fewer 3PT attempts (32.3) per game at home and should run Green and Lowry off the line tonight to force those guards into tougher shots.