nba finals picks game 3

The NBA Finals roll on Wednesday, 6/5/19, and we’ve got our top picks for starting (Three Up) and fading (Three Down) in your DraftKings and FanDuel lineups for the exciting single-game slate.

Please note the advice below is relevant for daily fantasy purposes. A player or team might be better or worse from a fantasy perspective than in real life due to matchup, price, and lots of other factors. This is important to consider when constructing a roster.

Injuries play a huge role in NBA DFS on a nightly basis and rotations can always shift in the postseason. Value plays on the various daily fantasy sites can arise at a moment’s notice, so always, always check the starting lineups and injury news right before tipoff.

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6/5/19 NBA DFS TOURNAMENT PICKS

California vs. Canada Clash: $25 entry, $1.25M guaranteed (DraftKings) – $250,000k to 1st!`
Four Point Play: $4 entry, $200k guaranteed (DraftKings)
Game 3 Final Shot: $18.88 entry, $700k guaranteed (FanDuel) – $200,000 to 1st!
Shot: $4.44 entry, $150k guaranteed (FanDuel)

NBA DFS Top Plays for June 5, 2019

Three Up for June 5, 2019

Kawhi Leonard at GSW ($17.7k (C) DraftKings, $11.8k DK, $16.0k FanDuel)

In Game 1, the Warriors sold out to stop Kawhi Leonard, allowing Pascal Siakam to get loose for 32 points. The defending champs changed their defensive game plan in Game 2 to contain Siakam and other role players. In turn, they allowed Leonard 34 points, 14 rebounds, and 60 DraftKings points (56.3 FanDuel points) on a 34.1% usage rate. That’s a huge increase from the 21.3% usage rate he posted in Game 1. Kawhi uncharacteristically shot 8-for-20 from the floor and 2-for-9 from deep in the home loss. Still, he went 16-for-16 at the FT line and remains the Raptors’ most reliable option by far. The playoff veteran should carry his team in Game 3 on the road, where he posted a higher true shooting percentage (.611) this season.

DeMarcus Cousins vs. TOR ($7.2k DraftKings, $9.0k FanDuel)

After logging just eight minutes in Game 1, following a 25-day rehab from a partially torn quad, DeMarcus Cousins was arguably the difference in the Warriors’ Game 2 win. The big man started and piled up 11 points, 10 rebounds, 6 assists, and 2 blocks over 28 minutes. His ability to bang on the boards proved invaluable on both ends. Meanwhile, his deft passing made up for an expected lack of athletic bounce following his injury. Cousins saw a 2.7% increase in usage rate when Kevin Durant (calf) was off the floor this year and a 6.1% increase (to 35.1%) when KD and Klay Thompson (hamstring) were sitting. Cousins averaged 1.42 FPs per minute this year and has a good chance at 6x salary returns if he’s able to continue ramping up his conditioning.

Fred VanVleet vs. GSW ($6.2k DraftKings, $8.5k FanDuel)

The Warriors’ increased defensive pressure left the Raptors searching for answers in Game 2. Pascal Siakam and Kyle Lowry were unable to find many driving lanes, and few members of Toronto’s supporting cast appeared willing to step up. Except for Fred VanVleet. A former bigtime college point guard at Wichita State, VanVleet was not afraid to take big shots, including a key 3-pointer to end the Warriors’ ridiculous 20-0 run in the third quarter and pull the Raptors off the mat. VanVleet is 12-for-25 (48%) from the floor with a 19.5% usage rate so far this series. Plus, he’s 17-for-29 (58.6%) from 3-point range over his last five playoff tilts. Most importantly, VanVleet played 38 minutes in Game 2, often sharing the court with struggling SG Danny Green. With Klay Thompson banged up, the Warriors should use Game 2 hero Quinn Cook even more with their small-ball lineups. That secures more playing time for VanVleet and makes Cook an intriguing GPP value.

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Three Down for June 5, 2019

Draymond Green vs. TOR ($15.9k (C) DraftKings, $10.6k DK, $13.0k FanDuel)

Draymond Green is the ultimate gamer with a competitive edge that can’t be tamed. That competitive spirit has allowed him to post some huge lines in playoff games on the road, but his fire has not been needed as often in home games. He’s averaging 12 PPG, 10.6 RPG, and 7.6 APG over his last three playoff home games. Those numbers are solid but lesser than his averages in his last five road playoff games (16 PPG, 11.6 RPG, 9 APG). Green’s assist numbers will likely drop if Klay Thompson is not at full strength. Many of his assists come easy when he can whip a pass behind a screener to Thompson for a quick-release jumper. Toronto’s done a good job forcing Green into tough decisions when he drives, as he’s committed 11 turnovers through two games. He’s always at risk for foul trouble with the tall task of containing Leonard and Siakam on his plate.

Pascal Siakam at GSW ($14.1k (C) DraftKings, $9.4k DK, $13.0k FanDuel)

We listed Pascal Siakam as a fade for Game 1 and looked foolish when he dropped a game-high 32 points to lead the Raptors. But his historic 14-for-17 FG shooting was clearly unsustainable. He came back to earth by shooting 5-for-18 with just 12 points in Game 2. Siakam torched teams in the bottom half of the league this year, but the best defenses can key in on his still-developing game and force him into contested shots. The Warriors did that expertly in Game 2 and should maintain their balanced defensive approach in Game 3. It’s definitely worth noting Siakam saw a precipitous drop in his shooting percentage from long range (27.3%) in road games this year. He’s just 6-for-31 (19.4%) from deep and is averaging just 13.1 PPG over his last six road playoff games.

Kyle Lowry at GSW ($7.6k DraftKings, $11.5k FanDuel)

While he quieted his detractors with a great finish to the ECF against the Bucks, Kyle Lowry is a bit overmatched in this series. Steph Curry has outplayed him on both ends in 16 of 17 career meetings. With help from his teammates, Curry has held Lowry to 14.25 PPG on 20-for-58 (34.5%) FG shooting over their last four matchups. With Leonard leading the way and Siakam breaking out, Lowry’s usage rate (19.7%) has declined this season. Correspondingly, his points are way down (14 PPG) and his peripheral stats have decreased as well (5 RPG, 6.4 APG) in these playoffs. With Fred VanVleet taking on a larger role, Lowry’s prospects decrease further.

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