We have a three-game MLB DFS slate on Monday, 6/3/19 beginning at 9:40 p.m EDT. Below is a list of our best pitchers, hitters, and stacks to target (Three Up) and fade (Three Down) in MLB DFS contests. Note that some of these plays are recommended for Cash, and some are best reserved for GPP lineups on DraftKings and FanDuel.
Please note the advice below is relevant for daily fantasy purposes. A player or team might be better or worse from a fantasy perspective than in real life due to matchup, price, and lots of other factors. This is important to consider when constructing a roster. Remember that more than in other sports, variance is a huge part of baseball. Even Mike Trout can go 0-for-4 on a given night, and Max Scherzer can get lit up by a weak team.
Weather can also play a huge role in MLB DFS on a nightly basis, and lineups are constantly shifting. So always, always check the starting lineups and weather reports when playing for an MLB slate. If a game gets rained out, your player gets zero points!
BEST MLB DFS TOURNAMENTS FOR 6/3/19
Swing for the Fences: $12 entry, $200k guaranteed (DraftKings) – $50k to 1st!
Slap Hitter: $66 entry, $40k guaranteed (DraftKings)- $5K to 1st!
Mon. Squeeze: $5.55 entry, $100k guaranteed (FanDuel) – $20K to 1st!
Mon. Grand Slam: $44 entry, $50K guaranteed (FanDuel)- $10K to 1st!
Three Up for June 3, 2019
Aaron Nola at SDP ($9.6k DraftKings, $9.6k FanDuel)
Nola stands out on such a small slate, even with a questionable track record on the road this season. The veteran right-hander does have a pair of quality starts in his last three turns and draws a very favorable matchup against the Padres. San Diego has been one of the weakest teams against right-handed pitching in its home park all season. The Padres came into Sunday’s action with a .277 wOBA (third lowest in the majors) and 26.4 percent strikeout rate against right-handed pitching at Petco Park for the season.
Narrowing the focus down to just the last month helps to legitimize those numbers. San Diego has a .283 wOBA and even higher 26.9 percent whiff rate versus righties at home during that span. In turn, Nola has a 2.57 ERA and .187 BAA versus the Padres over the last three seasons and has held current San Diego hitters to a .170/.245/.277 line over 47 career at-bats. He’s been at his best against some of the more potent Padres as well, styming Manny Machado (0-for-6), Eric Hosmer (0-for-5) and Wil Myers (1-for-6).
Finally, consider Petco has the fifth-lowest run factor (0.790) and ninth-lowest home-run factor (0.806) in the majors, which naturally furthers Nola’s cause as a cash or GPP play Monday.
Other pitchers to consider: Robbie Ray (vs. LAD)
Andrew McCutchen at SDP ($5.4k DraftKings, $3.6k FanDuel)
McCutchen stands out in his own right among the hitters on the three-game slate, both for his track record against left-handed pitchers and against Padres starter Eric Lauer in particular. The veteran slugger sports a career .625 average across nine career encounters against Lauer and has yet to strike out against him. He’s also thrived versus lefties in general. McCutchen owns a .292 average, .371 wOBA, massive 42.1 percent line-drive rate and 39.5 percent hard-contact rate against southpaws on the season.
Lauer has solid numbers in pitcher-friendly Petco Park, but he’s clearly had more trouble against right-handed hitters. The southpaw has yielded a .263 average and 44.9 percent hard-contact rate to righty bats. What’s more, seven of the eight homers he’s surrendered this season have come off the bats of right-handed hitters. McCutchen also happens to thrive against Lauer’s top pitch, the four-seam fastball. “McCutch” owns a .311 average and .429 wOBA versus the four-seam this season.
Finally, consider McCutchen will also be catching the Padres bullpen on a downward spiral. San Diego relievers generated a 7.70 ERA and allowed a .394 wOBA over the previous week (107-batter sample) heading into Sunday’s action.
Other hitters to consider: Cody Bellinger, David Freese (at ARI), Rhys Hoskins, J.T. Realmuto, Jean Segura, Bryce Harper, Cesar Hernandez (all at SDP), Edwin Encarnacion, Kyle Seager, Tim Beckham, Daniel Vogelbach (all vs. HOU), Yuli Gurriel, Alex Bregman, Josh Reddick, Michael Brantley (all at SEA)
Astros at SEA (LHP Wade LeBlanc)
With just six teams in action Monday, there’s always the possibility that none of them truly blow up. However, the Astros would appear to have as good a chance as any. They take on a pitcher who’s struggled in left-hander Wade LeBlanc. And, several of their hitters have enjoyed past success against him. Current Houston bats own a collective .316/.380/.518 line against LeBlanc, a sample that includes 15 extra-base hits (11 doubles, four homers).
Even though two injured Astros — Carlos Correa and Jose Altuve — have a prominent part of those numbers, there are still several other active Houston hitters with a solid history against LeBlanc. That includes Yuli Gurriel (.308 career average), Jake Marisnick (.556 career average) and Josh Reddick (.467 average). LeBlanc has also owns an atrocious 8.31 ERA, .346 average and .436 wOBA allowed across 17.1 home frames. He’s particularly had trouble versus right-handed hitters there (.386 BAA, .494 wOBA), which spells trouble against the likes of Robinson Chirinos, Alex Bregman, Aledmys Diaz and Gurriel.
Other stacks to consider: Phillies (at SDP), SEA (vs. HOU)
Three Down for June 3, 2019
Pitcher To Fade
Corbin Martin at SEA ($7.1k DraftKings, $6.5k FanDuel)
Not only is LeBlanc a shaky proposition Monday, but his counterpart could also struggle. Martin has yet to exceed 5.1 innings in any start, and that was actually in his first one of the season. The right-hander has worked four innings or less in his subsequent three trips to the mound. That alone already serves to cap his value in both cash and GPPs, especially since he’s affordable but not dirt cheap.
Martin’s 3.3 HR/9 and 5.0 BB/9 are two other concerning metrics, even against a Mariners squad that hasn’t hit right-handed pitching particularly well at home this season. Despite those struggles, Seattle has plenty of pop in its lineup in the form of Edwin Encarnacion, Mitch Haniger, Kyle Seager, Domingo Santana and Daniel Vogelbach. Given the road matchup and his history of early exits, it’s best to steer clear of Martin.
Hitter To Fade
Corey Seager vs. ARI ($4.3k DraftKings, $3.5k FanDuel)
Seager is having a lackluster season overall. It doesn’t figure to get much better Monday. Seager will draw a same-handed matchup against Robbie Ray, who’s gotten the best of him more often than not in past encounters. The Dodgers’ shortstop owns a .115/.207/.192 line against Ray over 29 encounters. What’s more, 15 of the 23 outs he’s made against Ray have come on strikeouts. Then, Seager has been largely ineffective against southpaws this season. He’ll head into Monday’s action with a .211 average, .269 wOBA and anemic .028 ISO in 85 plate appearances versus lefty arms.
Then there’s the matter of Ray’s effectiveness in same-handed matchups. The D-Backs starter has limited lefty bats to a .143 average and .163 wOBA when facing them at Chase Field thus far. He’s held that handedness to a .258 wOBA overall while also generating a 2.80 xFIP and 11.57 K/9. Given all the factors just cited and Seager’s near five-percent jump in strikeout rate this season, I see him as a fade candidate.
Stack To Fade
Dodgers at ARI (LHP Robbie Ray)
Not only is Seager’s outlook against Ray bleak, but so is that of the Blue Crew as a whole. Ray has a multi-season track record of success versus the Dodgers. He owns a 5-1 record, 2.82 ERA, .197 BAA and jaw-dropping 102:30 K:BB across 67 innings over 11 starts against Los Angeles in the last three campaigns. Zooming out to a career-long view for current Dodgers hitters, they own a collective .233 average versus Ray over 159 total at-bats. That sample also includes a whopping 70 strikeouts.
Ray has been effective at home as well. He owns a 3.32 ERA, .216 BAA and .273 wOBA allowed across 19 home frames. He’s been especially difficult on lefty bats there in a small sample. As just mentioned in Seager’s entry above, Ray boasts a .143 BAA and .163 wOBA in same-handed matchups at Chase Field. That’s particularly relevant when considering whether to fade the normally potent Dodgers, considering how left-heavy their lineup is (Seager, Cody Bellinger, Max Muncy, Alex Verdugo, Joc Pederson).
The Dodgers naturally have the talent to potentially go off in any given game. However, given that many of their bats are on the pricey side and Ray’s history against them, I’d stick to a one-off or two at most as far as rostering them Monday.