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Goldschmidt

We have an eight-game MLB DFS slate on Saturday, 6/1/19 beginning at 7:15 p.m EDT. Below is a list of our best pitchers, hitters, and stacks to target (Three Up) and fade (Three Down) in MLB DFS contests. Note that some of these plays are recommended for Cash, and some are best reserved for GPP lineups on DraftKings and FanDuel.

Please note the advice below is relevant for daily fantasy purposes. A player or team might be better or worse from a fantasy perspective than in real life due to matchup, price, and lots of other factors. This is important to consider when constructing a roster. Remember that more than in other sports, variance is a huge part of baseball. Even Mike Trout can go 0-for-4 on a given night, and Max Scherzer can get lit up by a weak team.

Weather can also play a huge role in MLB DFS on a nightly basis, and lineups are constantly shifting. So always, always check the starting lineups and weather reports when playing for an MLB slate. If a game gets rained out, your player gets zero points!

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BEST MLB DFS TOURNAMENTS FOR 6/1/19

Bat Flip: $18 entry, $200k guaranteed (DraftKings) – $50k to 1st!
Slap Hitter: $66 entry, $50.4k guaranteed (DraftKings)- $5K to 1st!
Sat. Squeeze: $5.55 entry, $100k guaranteed (FanDuel) – $20K to 1st!
Sat. Grand Slam: $77 entry, $100K guaranteed (FanDuel)- $20K to 1st!

Three Up for June 1, 2019

Best Pitcher

Zack Greinke vs. NYM ($9.2k DraftKings, $10k FanDuel)

Greinke allows you to save a few bucks compared to more expensive options such as Justin Verlander or Clayton Kershaw, and he arguably offers as much upside as a cash or GPP option. He also draws a very favorable matchup against a Mets squad that’s struggled versus right-handers on the road. Coming into Friday night’s action, New York sported a middling .300 wOBA and -15.5 wRAA against righties when traveling, along with a 23.4 percent strikeout rate. Their struggles have only been amplified recently. During May, the Mets have an NL-low .286 wOBA versus that handedness outside of Citi Field.

Then, Greinke counters with a stellar collection of home metrics at Chase Field. The veteran sports a 1.75 ERA, .197 BAA, and .225 wOBA allowed across 36 home frames. He’s allowed just two homers overall at home as well, and he’s especially dominated lefty bats there. That side of plate owns an anemic .153 average and .166 wOBA against Greinke at Chase (60-batter sample). That bodes particularly well for him versus one of the Mets’ most potent healthy bats in Michael Conforto. The rest of the current New York hitters haven’t done very well against Greinke irrespective of handedness. They have a collective .185 average and .246 on-base percentage against him across 124 career at-bats.

Other pitchers to consider: Jack Flaherty (vs. CHC), Justin Verlander (at OAK), Clayton Kershaw (vs. PHI)

Best Hitter

Paul Goldschmidt vs. CHC  ($4.2k DraftKings, $3.7k FanDuel)

Goldschmidt is still not quite firing on all cylinders in his new St. Louis digs. However, he’s been recently shifted into the No. 3 spot by manager Mike Shildt for more RBI opportunities. Additionally, he’ll face a pitcher today against whom he’s frequently thrived: southpaw Jose Quintana. “Goldy” boasts a career .546 average versus the Cubs lefty over 12 career plate appearances. That sample includes a pair of home runs.

Goldschmidt is struggling against left-handed pitching thus far, but that’s an outlier. He sports a career .321 average, .423 wOBA, and .263 ISO against southpaws. Meanwhile, Quintana has done a good job keeping the ball in the park this season but has surrendered a .383 wOBA and six of his seven homers on the season to right-handed hitters on the road. He’s also allowing a 43.8 percent hard-contact rate to the platoon when traveling. And Goldschmidt boasts a 50.0 percent hard-contact figure against left-handers at Busch Stadium over a modest sample of 17 plate appearances.

Finally, it’s worth noting that Cubs relievers have yielded a .327 wOBA to right-handed hitters on the road in 2019, furthering the slugger’s case.

Other hitters to consider: Mike Trout, Kole Calhoun, Albert Pujols (all at SEA), Willson Contreras, Anthony Rizzo (at STL), Jose Martinez, Dexter Fowler, Paul DeJong, Marcell Ozuna (all vs. CHC), Cody Bellinger, Joc Pederson, Max Muncy, Enrique Hernandez (all vs. PHI), Mitch Haniger, Tim Beckham, Edwin Encarnacion, Mallex Smith, Kyle Seager (all vs. LAA)

Best Stack

Mariners vs. LAA (LHP Andrew Heaney) 

There aren’t actually an abundance of stacks that stand out Saturday night, as even the Rockies draw a tough matchup against the improved Marcus Stroman. However, the Mariners have potential to pile up some runs versus Andrew Heaney, who just made his first start of the season against the Rangers last Sunday. Current Seattle hitters have enjoyed plenty of success versus the left-hander. They own a collective .311/.333/.557 line against him over 61 career at-bats. Eight of the 19 hits they’ve managed in that sample have gone for extra bases.

Seattle has punished left-handed pitching at home this season to the tune of a .356 wOBA and 32 extra-base hits. That includes 13 home runs, the highest figure in the AL. Naturally, this team-level success means plenty of individual players have thrived against southpaws. Among Mariners regulars projected to be in Saturday’s lineup, seven have wOBAs between .319 and .804 (Shed Long over just five PAs) against lefties at home. One of the two who doesn’t is Kyle Seager, who just made his season debut earlier this week. However, he owns a career .400 average versus Heaney across 15 career plate appearances.

Given their general track record against lefties this season at T-Mobile Park, I like Mitch Haniger, Tim Beckham, Edwin Encarnacion, and the same-handed Mallex Smith as part of a potential Seattle GPP stack Saturday in addition to Seager.

Other stacks to consider: Cardinals (vs. CHC), Dodgers (vs. PHI)

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Three Down for June 1, 2019

Pitcher To Fade

Cole Irvin at LAD ($6.8k DraftKings, $8.1k FanDuel) 

This spot was originally reserved for Zach Eflin. However, the right-hander was placed on the injured list Friday with a back injury. Irvin is getting the promotion in his place, and I see him as even more of a fade candidate. To begin with, the left-hander will be facing one of the most powerful offenses in the Majors in the Dodgers. Then, Los Angeles checked into Friday night’s action with a .328 wOBA versus southpaws at home this season. Narrowing the focus to just May, the Blue Crew owns a .288 average and .344 wOBA against lefties at Dodger Stadium, along with an NL-high 48.8 percent hard-contact rate.

Irvin has been adequate in three starts this season, but he does have a 6.17 ERA, .331 wOBA, 38.2 percent line-drive rate and 48.6 percent hard-contact rate allowed across 11.2 road frames thus far. Also working against him Saturday is the fact Dodger Stadium has a top-half home-run factor (1.124) and that half of the eight position players projected to be in the starting lineup for Los Angeles own wOBAs of .388 or higher against left-handed pitching at home this season.

Hitter To Fade

Bryce Harper at LAD ($4.3k DraftKings, $4.1k FanDuel)

Harper always carries plenty of GPP upside. It just so happens that it doesn’t usually manifest itself against Dodgers starter Clayton Kershaw. The Phillies slugger carries a career .115/.179/.269 line against Kershaw over 28 career appearances, including 15 strikeouts. Moreover, although Harper actually boasts impressive numbers in same-handed matchups overall this season, the majority of his success against lefties has come at home. When traveling, Harper owns a .219 average, .274 wOBA, and 35.3 percent strikeout rate against left-handed pitching.

It’s also worth noting that while Harper does own an impressive .388 wOBA versus Kershaw’s most frequently thrown pitch, the slider, he also has trouble making consistent contact against it. Harper has a 35.9 percent whiff rate against the pitch while Kershaw has a 27.0 percent strikeout rate when utilizing it. Additionally, the pitch that’s given Harper the most trouble in terms of contact, the curve (40.9 percent strikeout rate), is the one that Kershaw boasts his highest whiff percentage (44.8) on.

Stack To Fade

Athletics vs. HOU (RHP Justin Verlander) 

The mere fact Verlander takes the hill for the Astros on Saturday is reason enough to avoid the Athletics. However, there’s also the matter of Oakland simply not hitting well against right-handed pitchers in its home park this season. The A’s came into Friday night’s action with a .293 wOBA and -18.0 wRAA versus righties at the Coliseum this season. Narrowing the focus to just May, Athletics bats have struck out at a slightly higher clip (21.7 percent) during the month at home against righty arms (as opposed to 19.9 percent for the season).

Verlander’s track record speaks for itself. He boasts a .150 BAA, .259 wOBA, and 2.70 ERA across 43.1 road frames this season. He’s limiting both sides of the plate to sub-.300 wOBAs on the road as well, and he’s really done a number on left-handed hitters when traveling. Verlander is limiting lefty bats to a .123 average and .226 wOBA on the road (downgrading the outlook for Matt Olson and switch-hitters Robbie Grossman and Jurickson Profar) and also boasts double-digit K/9 against either handedness outside of Minute Maid Park. Furthermore, the Coliseum should work heavily in his favor, considering it sported the league’s fifth-lowest run factor (0.784) and seventh-lowest home-run factor (0.759) coming into Friday’s action.

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