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MLB DFS

We have an 11-game MLB DFS Draftkings slate and 10-game FanDuel slate on Sunday, 5/26/19 beginning at 1:05 p.m EDT. Below is a list of our best pitchers, hitters, and stacks to target (Three Up) and fade (Three Down) in MLB DFS contests. Note that some of these plays are recommended for Cash, and some are best reserved for GPP lineups on DraftKings and FanDuel.

Please note the advice below is relevant for daily fantasy purposes. A player or team might be better or worse from a fantasy perspective than in real life due to matchup, price, and lots of other factors. This is important to consider when constructing a roster. Remember that more than in other sports, variance is a huge part of baseball. Even Mike Trout can go 0-for-4 on a given night, and Max Scherzer can get lit up by a weak team.

Weather can also play a huge role in MLB DFS on a nightly basis, and lineups are constantly shifting. So always, always check the starting lineups and weather reports when playing for an MLB slate. If a game gets rained out, your player gets zero points!

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BEST MLB DFS TOURNAMENTS FOR 5/26

Extra Inning: $10 entry, $150k guaranteed (DraftKings) – $25k to 1st!
Pitcher’s Mound: $60.60 entry, $300k guaranteed (DraftKings)- $100K to 1st!
Sun. Rally: $9.99 entry, $65k guaranteed (FanDuel) – $15K to 1st!
Sun. Grand Slam: $55 entry, $100K guaranteed (FanDuel)- $20K to 1st!

Three Up for May 26, 2019

Best Pitcher

Jake Odorizzi vs. CWS ($8.2k DraftKings, $8.7k FanDuel)

Odorizzi has exceeded expectations all season and has been excellent at his pitcher-friendly home park of Target Field. Sunday, he faces a White Sox squad that’s struggled against right-handed pitching, particularly on the road. Chicago comes in with a 25.9 percent strikeout rate versus righties outside of its home park. And they’ve struggled even more recently versus right-handers when traveling. The Sox sport a 28.7 percent strikeout rate and have a middling .303 wOBA against that handedness on the road during May (400 plate appearances).

Odorizzi has been nearly unhittable at home. He carries a 1.45 ERA, .188 BAA, and .225 wOBA allowed across 31 home innings this season. He also sports an elite 0.87 WHIP, 27.1 percent strikeout rate, and 96.5 percent strand rate at Target Field. Current White Sox hitters haven’t had much success against Odorizzi, either. They boast a collective .200/.277/.227 line with zero home runs and 21 strikeouts over 75 career at-bats against him.

Finally, consider Target Field’s appeal as a pitcher’s park. Coming into Saturday’s action, it carries the third-lowest run factor (0.721) and fifth-lowest home-run factor (0.678).

Other pitchers to consider: Justin Verlander (vs. BOS), Domingo German (at KCR), Jose Quintana (vs. CIN)

Best Hitter

Kris Bryant vs. CIN ($5.2k DraftKings, $4.3k FanDuel)

Bryant has looked much more like himself in May after a particularly poor start to the season. Moreover, Sunday he faces a pitcher against whom he’s enjoyed considerable success in Reds starter Tanner Roark. Bryant owns a .500 average against Roark over 14 career plate appearances. Additionally, Bryant has a .289 average and 20 extra-base hits (11 doubles nine homers) against right-handed pitching, along with an eye-popping .482 wOBA and .268 ISO against that handedness at Wrigley Field.

Roark has actually been very effective versus right-handed hitters this season. However, Bryant certainly has the ability to serve as an exception. In addition to his impressive metrics against righties that were just cited, Bryant also happens to hit Roark’s two most frequently thrown pitches, the slider and sinker, extremely well. Bryant owns a .340 wOBA versus the former and has compiled a .434 figure against the latter, giving him even more chance of success versus Roark.

Other hitters to consider: Alex Bregman, Carlos Correa, Robinson Chirinos, Josh Reddick, Michael Brantley (vs. BOS), Cody Bellinger, Chris Taylor, Justin Turner (all at PIT), Nolan Arenado, Trevor Story, Ian Desmond, David Dahl (all vs. BAL), Renato Nunez, Jonathan Villar, Hanser Alberto, Trey Mancini (all at COL), Aaron Hicks, Gary Sanchez, Luke Voit, D.J. LeMahieu (at KCR), Yasmani Grandal, Ryan Braun (vs. PHI)

Best Stack

Astros vs. BOS (LHP Eduardo Rodriguez) 

Red Sox southpaw Eduardo Rodriguez has often come unraveled on the road this season. He also has seen a pair of potent Astros bats do damage against him. Houston shapes up as an appealing stack Sunday even without George Springer and Jose Altuve in the lineup Sunday. Rodriguez carries a .333 BAA, .413 wOBA, 1.93 WHIP and 5.00 xFIP on the road. He’s allowing a .510 wOBA to left-handed hitters and a .391 wOBA to righty bats outside of Fenway Park.

The Astros have eviscerated left-handed pitching at Minute Maid Park to the tune of a .380 wOBA and .233 ISO. Current Houston hitters own a .333/.411/.604 line against Rodriguez over 48 collective at-bats. Carlos Correa and Alex Bregman (.800 and .500 averages, respectively, against Rodriguez) are highly appealing options. However, given how much trouble Rodriguez has encountered in same-handed matchups on the road, Michael Brantley and Josh Reddick are also in play if in the lineup.

Other stacks to consider: Twins (vs. CWS), Dodgers (at PIT), Rockies (vs. BAL), BAL (at COL), Yankees (at KCR)

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Three Down for May 26, 2019

Pitcher To Fade

Chris Archer vs. LAD ($6.3k DraftKings, $6.8k FanDuel)   

Archer has slipped considerably since starting his first full Pirates season off in strong fashion. He’s allowed six earned runs apiece in two of his last three starts and currently carries a career-high 5.55 ERA and 1.43 WHIP. While he’s been better at home overall, he’s still allowing a 5.25 xFIP, 22.0 percent line-drive rate and 40.3 percent hard-contact rate at PNC Park. And he sees a near five-percent drop in strikeout rate when compared to the road (21.7 percent, compared to 26.2 percent).

The Dodgers check in with the fourth-highest hard-contact rate against right-handed pitching on the road (40.8 percent) but also have the fourth-lowest BABIP (.271), which has partly capped their success. However, given Archer’s propensity for allowing hitters to square up against him frequently, there could be trouble against a powerful Los Angeles lineup that boasts five of eight regulars with hard-contact rates of 42.1 percent or higher versus righties outside of Dodger Stadium. What’s more, six of the players likely to be in L.A.’s lineup Sunday have double-digit walk rates versus right-handers on the road, while Archer sports an ugly 4.5 BB/9 for the season.

Hitter To Fade

Manny Machado at TOR ($4k DraftKings, $3.3k FanDuel)

Machado draws a matchup against an old AL foe in Marcus Stroman. The Blue Jays’ veteran right-hander has frustrated Machado to the tune of a .182 average and .174 on-base percentage across 23 plate appearances. That sample only includes a pair of extra-base hits (one double, one home run) and five strikeouts. Then, Stroman owns a 2.43 ERA over 40.2 home innings and has also held righty bats to a .213 average and .272 wOBA at Rogers Centre.

Machado has also enjoyed more success against lefties this season. The Padres’ prized offseason acquisition has just a .242 average, .098 ISO and .288 wOBA against righties, along with a -4.2 wRAA. And finally, Machado simply hasn’t enjoyed his time at Rogers Centre over the last three seasons despite its reputation as a hitter’s park. Machado owns an unsightly .141/.236/.283 line in 92 at-bats there over that span, a sample that includes 25 strikeouts.

Stack To Fade

Blue Jays vs. SDP (RHP Chris Paddack)   (With Paddack now scratched, recommend the Red Sox as a fade with Justin Verlander on the mound for the Astros)

Chris Paddack has been one of the best young pitchers in the National League. The Blue Jays have been one of the most inept teams against right-handed pitching at home. Those two factors are a recipe for avoiding going overweight on Toronto bats Sunday. Paddack boasts an impressive .183 BAA and 2.75 ERA on the road. He owns a 1.93 ERA and 0.76 WHIP overall. Then, the Blue Jays have a .201 average, .273 wOBA, and 24.2 percent strikeout rate against righties at Rogers Centre.

The Blue Jays have a solid mix of righty bats and switch hitters, but Paddack has flummoxed hitters from both sides of the plate. He’s allowed a .274 wOBA to lefty bats and a .133 wOBA in same-handed matchups. He has also gotten away with allowing some very hard contact to right-handed hitters on the road, but he’s offset that with a mammoth 36.8 percent strikeout rate and minuscule 0.48 WHIP versus that handedness when traveling. With Toronto’s propensity for strikeouts, Paddack makes for a bad matchup overall.

UPDATE: Paddack has been scratched from Sunday’s start with a stiff neck. LHP Robbie Erlin will get the start.

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