The MLB season is rolling, and there’s a great DFS slate on tap for Wednesday, 5/8/19. Below is a list of our best pitchers, hitters, and stacks to target (Three Up) and fade (Three Down) in MLB DFS contests during the afternoon.
Please note the advice below is relevant for daily fantasy purposes. A player or team might be better or worse from a fantasy perspective than in real life due to matchup, price, and lots of other factors. This is important to consider when constructing a roster. Remember that more than in other sports, variance is a huge part of baseball. Even Mike Trout can go 0-for-4 on a given night, and Max Scherzer can get lit up by a weak team.
Weather can also play a huge role in MLB DFS on a nightly basis, and lineups are constantly shifting. So always, always check the starting lineups and weather reports when playing for an MLB slate. If a game gets rained out, your player gets zero points!
BEST MLB DFS TOURNAMENTS FOR 5/8/19
Wednesday Web Gem: $12 entry, $200k guaranteed (DraftKings) – $50,000 to 1st!
Power Alley: $44 entry, $100k guaranteed (DraftKings)
Supreme Squeeze: $5.55 entry, $100k guaranteed (FanDuel)
Rally: $9.99 entry: $100k guaranteed (FanDuel)
Three Up for May 8, 2019
Chris Sale at BAL ($10.4k DraftKings, $11.0k FanDuel)
Chris Sale appears to have fixed the issues that led him to a stunning 0-5 start with a bloated ERA. He’s allowed just 4 ER over his last three starts and, more importantly, has flashed electric stuff once again with a 39.8% K-Rate during that span. Current Orioles are 21-for-107 (.196) with an incredible 47.8% K-Rate in their careers against Sale. Baltimore has struggled against LHPs for years and ranks 23rd in wOBA (.296) with the third-lowest BB/K ratio (0.25) against southpaws this season.
Kyle Hendricks vs. MIA ($8.4k DraftKings, $8.2k FanDuel)
After being solid for several seasons, Kyle Hendricks is becoming exceptional. He struck out a career-high 11 in a tough matchup against Arizona (then struggled against the D’Backs) and came up with a complete-game gem against the Cardinals that required just 81 pitches. Hendricks is having success despite posting a .342 BABIP and 62.5% strand rate, so positive regression could be hitting his box scores like a ton of bricks right now. Up next is an anemic Marlins offense with the lowest wOBA (.269) and ISO mark (.097) against RHPs on the season. Hendricks has a great floor-ceiling combination in this relatively safe matchup.
Other pitchers to consider: Clayton Kershaw, Matt Boyd, Sonny Gray, Jon Gray, Kyle Gibson
Nolan Arenado vs. SF ($5.5k DraftKings, $4.9k FanDuel)
Derek Holland comes off the DL for the Giants in a brutal matchup at Coors Field. Holland owns a 10.00 ERA and .385 BABIP over his last two starts in Colorado and faces a Rockies offense that’s been rolling. While it’s a bit expensive to stack the heart of that order, Nolan Arenado stands out as a fantastic stand-alone play where affordable. The smooth-swinging RHB is 13-for-40 (.371) with an impressive 1.307 OPS off southpaws this year and is scorching the ball with a 60% hard contact rate and 33.3% HR/FB so far in May. Arenado is also 4-for-10 with 2 HR and 5 BB in his career against Holland.
Other hitters to consider: George Springer, Javier Baez, Michael Chavis, Daniel Murphy, Eddie Rosario, Hunter Dozier, Nick Senzel, Steven Duggar, Jorge Soler, Eugenio Suarez, Ian Desmond, Yasiel Puig, Chris Iannetta
Astros vs. Jorge Lopez (Royals)
Jorge Lopez has given up 4 ER in four consecutive starts and now faces an Astros team that is leading the Majors with a collective .312 average and .400 wOBA over the past week. Lopez has posted a 24% line drive rate and 88% Z-Contact Rate over two-plus seasons in the Majors and is posting a 17.1% HR/FB ratio over seven starts this year.
Lefties are 21-for-75 (.304) with a 30.8% LD Rate against Lopez this season. Michael Brantley could lead an Astros stack with Josh Reddick providing some value if he’s starting. Lopez remains vulnerable in RvR matchups and the ‘Stros have a pair of RHBs with tremendous upside in Alex Bregman and George Springer. If you need more salary relief, Jose Altuve is a bit underpriced as he works his way back to full health.
Other stacks to consider: Rockies vs. Derek Holland (Giants), Royals vs. Brad Peacock (Astros), Cubs vs. Jose Urena (Marlins)
Three Down for May 8, 2019
Pitcher To Fade
Mike Foltynewicz at LAD ($9.0k DraftKings, $7.8k FanDuel)
He was pitching at an all-star level last season, but Mike Foltynewicz has yet to regain his form in 2019. Through two starts, he’s allowing a 2.53 HR/9 ratio and 41% hard contact rate. The Dodgers have the highest collective average (.278) and wOBA (.359) in the N.L. at home. They’re posting a 19.1% HR/FB ratio at home and have arguably the best LHB in the game in Cody Bellinger. Foltynewicz owns a 4.67 FIP in his career against the platoon and has coughed up 7 ER over his last two starts (11.1 IP) against the Dodgers.
Hitter To Fade
Mike Trout at DET ($5.6k DraftKings, $4.8k FanDuel)
Mike Trout has historically been less dangerous against LHPs in terms of power numbers and hard contact created. He’s facing one of the most talented young LHPs in the Majors tonight in Matt Boyd. The Tigers southpaw is breaking out with a 2.10 FIP and 11.57 K/9 ratio through seven starts this year. He’s holding RHBs to a modest .253 wOBA this season, and Trout is 0-for-3 in a very limited sample against Boyd. He’s only 7-for-33 (.212) against lefties this year and owns a human .812 OPS on the road.
Stack To Fade
Red Sox vs. BAL (RHP Andrew Cashner)
The Red Sox offense has turned a corner and is rolling. Meanwhile, Orioles RHP Andrew Cashner has been inconsistent to say the least. But the 32-year-old has shown he still has something in the tank with a 2.92 ERA over two starts at Camden Yards this year. Cashner is only allowing an 11.3% line drive rate, and his changeup rates 5.6 runs above average. Despite giving up 3 ER over 5 IP in a start at Fenway Park last month, he’s held current Red Sox to a collective .194 average (13-for-67) with 11 Ks in their careers.