NBA DFS picks

The NBA DFS postseason rolls on Tuesday, May 7, 2019, and we’ve got our top picks to play (Three Up) and fade (Three Down) for your playoff DraftKings and FanDuel lineups for tonight.

Please note the advice below is relevant for daily fantasy purposes. A player or team might be better or worse from a fantasy perspective than in real life due to matchup, price and lots of other factors. This is important to consider when constructing a roster.

Injuries play a huge role in NBA DFS on a nightly basis. Value plays on the various daily fantasy sites can arise at a moment’s notice so always, always check the starting lineups and injury news right before tipoff.

The Full Roster contests on FanDuel (FD) include a new scoring system in which the lowest score of the nine selected players is dropped, allowing users to take more risks with a punt play or two. Then, DraftKings (DK) has brought back its late swap for NBA contests..

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Pull Up Jumper: $10 entry, $50k guaranteed (DraftKings)- $10K to 1st!                                                                             
Playoff Special: $18 entry, $500k guaranteed (DraftKings)- $100K to 1st!
75K Tue. Snot: $9.99 entry, $75k guaranteed (FanDuel) – $15K to 1st!                                                                                     
350K Tue. Shot: $15 entry, $350k guaranteed (FanDuel) – $100K to 1st!

NBA DFS Top Plays for May 7, 2019

Three Up for May 7, 2019

Kawhi Leonard vs. PHI ($9.5k DraftKings, $10.2k FanDuel)

Leonard has essentially been unstoppable throughout the series against the 76ers. He’s shot no worse than 54.2 percent in any of the four games and drained 42.9 percent or better of his three-point attempts in three of those contests. What’s more, Leonard has a pair of double-doubles and has been solid as a facilitator as well. With a 32.2 percent usage rate thus far this postseason and a 56.6 percent success rate from the floor overall in seven games against Philly this season, he’s worth every dollar of his elevated salary.

Jimmy Butler at TOR ($7.8k DraftKings, $9.8k FanDuel)

Butler has been doing his best to keep up with Leonard’s impressive exploits. The veteran wing has over 50 FPs on DK in each of the last three games. Plus, he has eclipsed the mark in two of those contests on FD as well. What’s more, after taking just 12 shot attempts in Game 1, Butler has put up between 15 and 22 over the subsequent trio of games. He’s been particularly efficient with those opportunities over the last two, draining 54.5 percent of his tries. Butler has also been offering excellent complementary production on the glass, bringing down between nine and 11 rebounds in Games 2-4. With another high-usage game very likely in a pivotal contest, Butler is almost underpriced, especially on DK.

Jamal Murray vs. POR ($6.5k DraftKings, $8.1k FanDuel)

Murray sports a particularly appealing salary on DK, and his FD price isn’t unreasonable by any means. The third-year guard has scored 40 or more FPs on both sites in three of the first four games of the series. That sample includes one tally over 50. He’s racked up 34 points apiece in each of the last two and has averaged 26.0 shot attempts in those contests (one of them Friday’s quadruple-overtime loss). Murray is now averaging just under 40 FPs in seven total games against Portland this season and postseason. Plus, he averaged 18.9 points, 4.9 assists and 4.2 rebounds in the 47 regular-season games he played on one day of rest this season, his best scoring tally in any time interval between contests.


Three Down for May 7, 2019

Joel Embiid at TOR ($9.2k DraftKings, $10.8k FanDuel)

Embiid will naturally get his production, but he’s had a hard time paying off his lofty prices in this Raptors series. Embiid has scored under 40 FPs on DK and FD in three and two games, respectively. He took only seven shot attempts in Game 4 as well, the second time he put up that modest number this round. He also ran into foul trouble Sunday and shot just 7-for-25 in the first two games of the series at Scotiabank Arena (site of Tuesday’s contest). Given the matchup issues, I can see Embiid struggling again and not maximizing his value.

Tobias Harris at TOR ($6.7k DraftKings, $7.6k FanDuel)

Like Embiid, Harris has had trouble consistently finding the net in this series. The star forward has shot under 35.0 percent in three of the four games and has fallen short of 40 FPs on both sites on three occasions as well. The Raptors are now allowing the third-lowest offensive efficiency rating (22.6) to power forwards including the postseason, dampening Harris’ upside further. While he should naturally remain a critical component of Philly’s attack, Harris could well continue his trend of not quite maximizing his return based on salary, especially considering he shot just 9-for-28 in the first two games at Scotiabank Arena.

Enes Kanter at DEN ($6.1k DraftKings, $7.2k FanDuel)

Kanter has certainly had strong moments in the postseason and the series against the Nuggets, specifically. However, he’s clearly laboring with his ailing shoulder, which he reinjured in the epic quadruple-overtime battle in Game 3. Kanter then gutted it out Sunday for Game 4, but he put up a series-low five shot attempts and scored under 20 FPs on both sites despite pulling down 10 rebounds. That low degree of involvement on the offensive end could certainly be a reflection of his injury. This makes him a risky proposition at his mid-tier salaries in Game 5.