Bills Vs Patriots: NFL Playoffs Betting Trends, Stats And Computer Predictions

Written By PlayPicks Staff on January 10, 2022

The Buffalo Bills will meet the New England Patriots in the AFC Wild Card round. The Patriots (+175 on the moneyline to win) will visit the Bills (-4.5) on January 15, 2022 at 8:15 PM ET on CBS. Sportsbooks have set the matchup’s total at 42.5.

The betting insights in the following article reflect odds as of January 15, 2022 at 7:48 PM ET. Check out the table below for the latest odds for this matchup and get up to $1,000 Risk Free Bet at FanDuel today!

Bills Vs Patriots Odds

Computer Pick

Computer picks for Bills vs Patriots
ATS pick Over/Under pick
Patriots (+4.5) Over (42.5)

Predictions are calculated by a data-driven algorithm (raw power score) that ranks head-to-head matchup results within a closed network of games. Prediction confidence is determined by the delta between each team’s raw power score.

Team Stat Rankings

Bills Patriots
Off. Points per Game (Rank) 28.4 (3) 27.2 (6)
Def. Points per Game (Rank) 17.0 (1) 17.8 (2)
Off. Yards per Play (Rank) 5.7 (10) 5.7 (10)
Def. Yards per Play (Rank) 4.6 (1) 5.1 (3)
Turnovers Allowed (Rank) 22 (13) 23 (17)
Turnovers Forced (Rank) 30 (3) 30 (3)

Bills Betting Insights

  • Buffalo’s record against the spread is 9-7-1.
  • Against the spread as 4.5-point favorites or more, the Bills are 6-5-1.
  • Out of 17 Buffalo games so far this year, eight have gone over the total.
  • In nine games this season, Buffalo and its opponent have combined to score more than 42.5 points.
  • The total for this game is 42.5, 5.0 points fewer than the average total in Bills games thus far this season.

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Patriots Betting Insights

  • New England’s record against the spread is 10-7-0.
  • The Patriots have covered every time (1-0) as a 4.5-point underdog or greater this year.
  • There have been nine New England games (out of 17) that hit the over this year.
  • New England’s games have finished with over 42.5 points scored 10 times this season.
  • This season, Patriots games have resulted in an average scoring total of 44.1, which is 1.6 points higher than the over/under for this matchup.

Bills Players to Watch

  • Josh Allen leads Buffalo with 4,407 yards (259.2 ypg) on 409-of-646 passing with 36 touchdowns and 15 interceptions this season. He also has 763 rushing yards on 122 carries while scoring six touchdowns on the ground.
  • Devin Singletary has carried the ball 188 times for a team-high 870 yards on the ground and has found the end zone seven times as a runner.
  • Stefon Diggs’ leads his squad with 1,225 yards as a receiver. He’s racked up that yardage on 103 catches (out of 164 targets) and scored 10 touchdowns.
  • Cole Beasley has hauled in 82 receptions totaling 693 yards, finding the end zone one time as a receiver so far this campaign.
  • Emmanuel Sanders has a total of 626 receiving yards so far this year, grabbing 42 passes and scoring four touchdowns.
  • Mario Addison has racked up 7.0 sacks to pace the team, while also picking up 8.0 TFL and 29 tackles.
  • Buffalo’s top-tackler, Tremaine Edmunds, has 108 tackles, 7.0 TFL, and one interception this year.
  • Micah Hyde has picked off a team-leading five passes. He also has 74 tackles, 4.0 TFL, 1.0 sack, and 10 passes defended to his name.

Patriots Players to Watch

  • Mac Jones leads New England with 3,801 yards on 352-of-521 passing with 22 touchdowns compared to 13 interceptions this season.
  • Damien Harris has run for 929 yards on 202 carries so far this year while scoring 15 times on the ground.
  • Rhamondre Stevenson has piled up 133 carries and totaled 606 yards with five touchdowns.
  • Jakobi Meyers paces his squad with 866 receiving yards on 83 receptions with two touchdowns.
  • Kendrick Bourne has 55 receptions (on 70 targets) for a total of 800 yards (47.1 yards per game) and five touchdowns this year.
  • Hunter Henry’s 75 targets have resulted in 50 grabs for 603 yards and nine touchdowns.
  • Matthew Judon has 12.5 sacks to lead the team, and also has 14.0 TFL and 60 tackles.
  • Ja’Whaun Bentley, New England’s top tackler, has 109 tackles, 5.0 TFL, and 1.0 sack this year.
  • J.C. Jackson leads the team with eight interceptions, while also collecting 58 tackles, 2.0 TFL, and 23 passes defended.

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