Please note the advice below is relevant for daily fantasy purposes. A player or team might be better or worse from a fantasy perspective than in real life due to matchup, price, and lots of other factors. This is important to consider when constructing a roster.
Injuries play a huge role in NBA DFS on a nightly basis and rotations can always shift in the postseason. Value plays on the various daily fantasy sites can arise at a moment’s notice, so always, always check the starting lineups and injury news right before tipoff.
The Full Roster contests on FanDuel include a new scoring system in which the lowest score of the nine selected players is dropped, allowing users to take more risks with a punt play or two. Then, DraftKings has brought back its late swap for NBA contests.
5/3/19 NBA DFS TOURNAMENT PICKS
Playoff Spectacular: $18 entry, $500k guaranteed (DraftKings) – $100,000 to 1st!
Four Point Play: $4 entry, $75k guaranteed (DraftKings)
Shot: $15 entry, $400k guaranteed (FanDuel) – $100,000 to 1st!
Shot: $4.44 entry, $75k guaranteed (FanDuel)
NBA DFS Top Plays for May 3, 2019
Three Up for May 3, 2019
Giannis Antetokounmpo @. BOS ($10.2k DraftKings, $11.3k FanDuel)
Giannis Antetokounmpo can match Nikola Jokic‘s floor, and his upside exceeds that of the Nuggets superstar. “The Greek Freak” is not going to repeat his poor Game 1 performance no matter how Game 3 unfolds in Boston. More likely than not, he’s going to produce a huge line in a close victory or defeat. Khris Middleton is still in an appealing price range on DraftKings, but the rest of the Bucks supporting cast represents volatile plays against a fired-up Celtics team that ranked seventh in defensive rating this season. Giannis has always given Boston problems, averaging 31 PPG over four regular-season meetings after averaging 25.7 PPG, 9.6 RPG, and 6.3 APG in a seven-game first round series against the Celtics last year.
Damian Lillard vs. DEN ($9.3k DraftKings, $9.9k FanDuel)
It will be hard to create the optimal lineup without taking either Kyrie Irving or Damian Lillard tonight. Both elite guards are coming off down games, but both are fully capable of huge bounce-back efforts at home. Irving has been far more volatile than Lillard, whose projection is 50.6 DraftKings points with a ceiling of 66.5 DK points per FantasyLabs. Lillard posted a 127 offensive rating while shooting 41% from downtown at home this season and is averaging 36.3 PPG while shooting 51.2% from 3-point range at home in these playoffs. C.J. McCollum has proven to be just as much of a problem for Denver. Hence, the Nuggets won’t be able to sell out against Lillard. He’s one of the safer plays on the board along with his pick-and-roll partner, Enes Kanter.
Malik Beasley at POR ($3.8k DraftKings, $4.4k FanDuel)
Already one of the best options to save salary on these short playoff slates, Malik Beasley becomes a locked-in value play with Jamal Murray (thigh) noticeably hobbled down the stretch of Game 2. Beasley averaged 11.3 PPG with a .584 effective field goal percentage this season. Yet he’s playing big minutes in this series despite shooting poorly (8-for-23) because he’s one of the best defensive options against Portland’s deadly backcourt. Beasley averaged 17.6 points per 36 minutes and posted a 127 offensive rating this season for a Nuggets team that ranked sixth in offensive rating.
Three Down for May 3, 2019
Nikola Jokic at POR ($10.3k DraftKings, $11.6k FanDuel)
It’s not that Nikola Jokic is unlikely to produce tonight, just that his price tag is inflated relative to his upside in postseason contests. Jokic is always a triple-double threat because of his incredible court vision. But defenders are simply more focused in the playoffs, leaving fewer cutters open for assists. Portland allowed the fewest defensive RPG (32.6) overall this season and the fewest APG (22.2) in home games. Kanter got Jokic into foul trouble in Game 2 and nearly fouled the big man out down the stretch. Jokic was also generally less productive on the road this year with a 114 offensive rating (124 at home) while shooting 28.6% from 3-point range.
C.J. McCollum vs. DEN ($6.6k DraftKings, $7.4k FanDuel)
Surprisingly enough, the Western Conference game has a lower point total (215.5) tonight and a much better chance of going Under given the way these teams battled in Game 2. Denver played at the fourth-slowest pace in the NBA and averaged 107.2 PPG on the road while the Blazers (-4) were lights out at home. C.J. McCollum emerged out of that slugfest on Wednesday with 8 points in the fourth quarter but finished with a modest 20 points on 8-for-20 FG shooting. He essentially topped out with 6 rebounds and 6 assists (6.3% defensive rebounding rate and 13.2% assist rate this year) and is unlikely to supplement his scoring with many peripheral stats tonight. With Maurice Harkless (ankle) potentially limited, McCollum could actually see a lower usage rate since Rodney Hood and Seth Curry would share the court more often.
Jamal Murray at POR ($6.4k DraftKings, $7.7k FanDuel)
Jamal Murray came up well short of value in Game 2 and was clearly hampered by a thigh injury. He’s only had one day to rest that injury and may not be able to go full speed in Game 3 at Portland. The Blazers defense was elite at home, and Murray scored 10 points on putrid 2-for-13 shooting in his sole appearance (Nov. 30) at the Moda Center this season. Eric Bledsoe is a more reliable option priced right below Murray, and Terry Rozier offers the potential for 6x salary returns if you need a cheap guard.