Please note the advice below is relevant for daily fantasy purposes. A player or team might be better or worse from a fantasy perspective than in real life due to matchup, price and lots of other factors. This is important to consider when constructing a roster.
Injuries play a huge role in NBA DFS on a nightly basis. Value plays on the various daily fantasy sites can arise at a moment’s notice so always, always check the starting lineups and injury news right before tipoff.
The Full Roster contests on FanDuel (FD) include a new scoring system in which the lowest score of the nine selected players is dropped, allowing users to take more risks with a punt play or two. Then, DraftKings (DK) has brought back its late swap for NBA contests..
4/30/19 NBA DFS TOURNAMENT PICKS
Playoff Special: $18 entry, $444k guaranteed (DraftKings)- $100K to 1st!
Spin Move: $44 entry, $25,200k guaranteed (DraftKings)- $5K to 1st!
Tues. Shot Presented by Hulu: $15 entry, $400k guaranteed (FanDuel) – $100K to 1st!
Tues. Slam: $55 entry, $35k guaranteed (FanDuel) – $7K to 1st!
NBA DFS Top Plays for April 30, 2019
Three Up for April 30, 2019
James Harden at GSW ($10.1k DraftKings, $11.8k FanDuel)
He may have been terribly inefficient in Game 1, but Harden still found his way to well over 50 FPs on both sites. That speaks to how safe a play he is, even at his current prices. Harden’s usage rate in the postseason sits at an otherworldly 38.5 percent. He’ll naturally be the heart and soul of the Rockets again in Game 2. And this is already a pivotal one for Houston. The Warriors played good defense against shooting guards all season, but Harden is a near lock for 20 shot attempts at minimum and solid complementary contributions across the stat sheet.
Kevin Durant vs. HOU ($9.1k DraftKings, $11.4k FanDuel)
Durant’s elevated play continued in Game 1 on Sunday. He amassed 35 points across 43 minutes. The All-Star forward is now boasting a 32.6 percent usage rate this postseason and has put up over 20 shot attempts in five straight postseason contests. He’s drained 46.3 percent of his attempts against the Rockets this season over four total games. Then, Durant has shot better than 40.0 percent from three-point range in three of his last four contests dating back to the first round. In short, the ability to pile up production in a hurry is certainly there. With the Warriors eager to take a 2-0 lead into enemy territory, look for Durant to potentially deliver on the 50-plus fantasy-point ceiling he’s sported in multiple games lately.
Draymond Green vs. HOU ($6.6k DraftKings, $8.1k FanDuel)
Green makes this category thanks to the excellent value he represents and the degree to which he’s stepped up his play since DeMarcus Cousins went down with his quadriceps injury in Game 1 of the first round. The do-it-all forward has scored 59.5/40.3 DK points and 56.8/39.3 FD points in each of his last two games. And he’s bumped up his offensive involvement with double-digit shot attempts in three of the last five playoff contests. What’s more, he’s continued to offer his above-average numbers elsewhere on the stat sheet. Green has pulled down between six and 14 rebounds in five straight games while also dishing out between six and 10 assists in six of the last seven.
Three Down for April 30, 2019
Clint Capela at GSW ($6k DraftKings, $7.5k FanDuel)
Capela essentially disappeared in Game 1 on Sunday. He posted just four points over 27 minutes. While he actually has an impressive track record against the Warriors this season, Capela has simply not been a major part of the offensive attack for multiple postseason games now. He’s taken seven or fewer attempts in four of his last five games. That number bottomed out at two in Game 1 against the Warriors. He also logged a playoff-low 27 minutes, as Golden State’s decision to play small ball throughout a significant portion of the game marginalized Capela. While the talent for a resurgence is certainly there, there’s no guarantee Capela will be involved enough to warrant his mid-tier prices.
Eric Bledsoe vs. BOS ($5.8k DraftKings, $7.4k FanDuel)
Bledsoe went just 1-for-5 from the field on his way to six points in Game 1. That brings his shooting percentage to 40.6 percent against the Celtics over four games overall this season. Much like Capela, the veteran point guard doesn’t lack for the talent to put up significantly more than the 18.0 DK/19.4 FD points he put up in Game 1. But he’s averaged only 8.0 shot attempts versus Boston in their aforementioned four encounters. Given how well prepared the Celts were for Game 1 and Bledsoe’s spotty track record against them, I see him as a stay-away candidate.
Brook Lopez vs. BOS ($5k DraftKings, $5.8k FanDuel)
Lopez was another Bucks player who pulled a complete disappearing act in the Game 1 upset loss. The veteran’s struggles against the Celtics are nothing new, however. He shot an unsightly 28.0 percent, including 22.2 percent from three-point range, versus Boston across four contests this regular season and postseason. Plus, Al Horford is a defensive force down low for Boston when he’s on. Game 1 served as a shining example. Lopez is also always a candidate to run into foul trouble. He’s now taken single-digit shot attempts in four out of the Bucks’ five playoff games.