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MLB DFS Picks

We have a 15-game MLB DFS slate on Friday, 4/26/19 beginning at 7:05 p.m. EDT. Below is a list of our best pitchers, hitters, and stacks to target (Three Up) and fade (Three Down) in MLB DFS contests. Note that some of these plays are recommended for Cash and some are best reserved for GPP lineups on DraftKings and FanDuel.

Please note the advice below is relevant for daily fantasy purposes. A player or team might be better or worse from a fantasy perspective than in real life due to matchup, price, and lots of other factors. This is important to consider when constructing a roster. Remember that more than in other sports, variance is a huge part of baseball. Even Mike Trout can go 0-for-4 on a given night, and Max Scherzer can get lit up by a weak team.

Weather can also play a huge role in MLB DFS on a nightly basis, and lineups are constantly shifting. So always, always check the starting lineups and weather reports when playing for an MLB slate. If a game gets rained out, your player gets zero points!

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BEST MLB DFS TOURNAMENTS FOR 4/26

Mini Home Run Record Breaker: $7.62 entry, $200k guaranteed (DraftKings) – $50k to 1st!
Medium Home Run Record Breaker: $76.20 entry, $250k guaranteed (DraftKings)- $50K to 1st!
MLB Rally: $9.99 entry, $100k guaranteed (FanDuel) – $20K to 1st!
Grand Slam: $55 entry, $150K guaranteed (FanDuel)- $30K to 1st!

Three Up for April 26, 2019

Best Pitcher

Max Fried vs. COL ($8k DraftKings, $8.6k FanDuel)

Fried has been stellar thus far this season, posting a 1.39 ERA, 1.04 WHIP, .211 BAA and 86.5 percent strand rate. He’s also allowing a modest 30.8 percent hard contact rate and has four quality starts in as many trips to the mound. Friday, he’ll get a crack at a Rockies squad that’s generated a .255 wOBA, -11.2 wRAA, .200 average and 31.3 strikeout rate in 201 plate appearances versus southpaws on the road this season.

Fried owns a solid 3.18 ERA and has allowed just two home runs at SunTrust Park in 22.2 career innings there. He’s also allowed just one ball to leave the yard this season and has given up no more than two earned runs in any of his four starts. Moreover, Fried handcuffed hitters from both sides equally well, yielding just a .245 wOBA to same-handed bats and a .236 wOBA to righty hitters. With a .186 BAA and 0.75 WHIP through his first 12 home innings this season, Fried makes for a strong mid-tier cash game or GPP value play Friday.

Other pitchers to consider: Max Scherzer (vs. SD), James Paxton (at SF), Madison Bumgarner (vs. NYY), Robbie Ray (vs. CHC), Hyun-jin Ryu (vs. PIT), Marcus Stroman (vs. OAK)

Best Hitter

Nelson Cruz vs. BAL ($4.7k DraftKings, $3.5k FanDuel)

Cruz is yet to truly hit his stride. However, he could well be heating up after slugging a pair of homers a week ago against the Orioles and generating a mammoth 52.7 percent hard-contact rate over the last seven games. Friday, he draws a matchup that’s been very fruitful for him in the past. Cruz has punished Orioles starter Alex Cobb for a .348/.400/.696 line across 25 plate appearances. Moreover, half of his eight hits against Cobb have gone for extra bases (two doubles, two home runs).

Cruz owns a .296 average, .401 wOBA, .241 ISO, 26.8 percent line-drive rate, and 48.8 percent hard-contact rate versus right-handed pitching over a sample of 64 plate appearances this season. In turn, Cobb has opened the season by yielding a .597 wOBA, 42.1 percent line-drive rate and 52.6 percent hard-contact rate to right-handed hitters, with nine of the 10 hits he’s surrendered to that handedness having gone for extra bases.

Finally, the Orioles’ shoddy bullpen only adds to the appeal of targeting any hitter against them. Baltimore relievers check in allowing an MLB-high .388 wOBA and 28 home runs, along with a 6.61 ERA, and an MLB-high 6.22 FIP.

Other hitters to consider: Matt Carpenter, Paul Goldschmidt, Kendrys Morales, Xander Bogaerts, Christian Yelich, Lorenzo Cain, Mike Trout, Marcus Semien, Paul DeJong, Eddie Rosario, Max Kepler, Mitch Haniger, Trey Mancini, Joey Rickard

Best Stack

Cardinals vs. CIN (RHP Anthony DeSclafani) 

Current Cardinals own a .286/.342/.549 line against DeSclafani, a sample that includes 18 extra-base hits (nine doubles, one triple, eight home runs). DeSclafani has also started the season in dreadful fashion. He owns an 0-1 record and 5.59 ERA while also giving up five home runs over 19.1 innings. The Reds right-hander hasn’t had much good fortune at Busch Stadium over the last three seasons, either. He sports a 1-2 record, 6.00 ERA, and .306 BAA there over that span.

DeSclafani has traditionally had plenty of trouble versus left-handed hitters, and this season has been no different. The Reds right-hander has allowed a .308 average and .423 wOBA to that side of the plate, along with a 6.42 xFIP and 44.4 percent hard-contact rate. The Cardinals bring some potent lefty bats in the form of Matt Carpenter (career .409 average versus DeSclafani), Kolten Wong, and the switch-hitting Dexter Fowler. Additionally, right-handed hitters Harrison Bader (.667 average), Paul Goldschmidt (.615 average), and Marcell Ozuna (.357 average) have all enjoyed plenty of success versus DeSclafani.

Other stacks to consider: Twins (vs. BAL), Mariners (vs. TEX), Braves (vs. COL), Orioles (at MIN)

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Three Down for April 26, 2019

Pitcher To Fade

Alex Cobb at MIN ($5.2k DraftKings, $5.8k FanDuel)   

As highlighted in Cruz’s entry, Cobb has proven highly susceptible to right-handed hitters over a small sample this season. He hasn’t been much better versus lefty bats. Cobb has allowed a .357 average and .411 wOBA to left-handed hitters in the early going. And, he surrendered a .330 wOBA to lefty batters over a larger 2018 sample. Then, Cobb also sports a 5.40 ERA and .310 BAA over two Target Field starts during the last three seasons. Current Twins hitters also own a .295/.333/.552 line across 105 total at-bats versus Cobb.

The most concerning aspect for the veteran Friday is just how poor a matchup the Twins present for him. While Cobb has considerable trouble keeping the ball in the park, the Twins have pop up and down the lineup. They’ve racked up the third-most doubles (52), along with 93 extra-base hits overall. They also rank in the top five or 10 in wOBA (.347) and ISO (.227) while checking in with the fourth-lowest strikeout rate (19.3). That last figure drops to 18.4 percent against righties.

Hitter To Fade

Carlos Correa vs. CLE ($4.4k DraftKings, $3.6k FanDuel)

Correa has started to bounce back nicely after a slow start to the season. However, Friday doesn’t necessarily shape up as a night when he’ll further his success. The slugging shortstop has a dreadful .158 average and .200 OBP over 20 career plate appearances against Cleveland starter Corey Kluber. Moreover, nine of the 16 outs Correa has made against Kluber in his career have been strikeouts.

Kluber has certainly had a couple of hiccups this season. But Correa has sometimes struggled versus right-handed pitching, too. He owns a .212 average and 29.6 percent strikeout rate against righties, and as alluded to earlier, he’s also swung and missed plenty against Kluber.

Stack To Fade

Yankees at SFG (LHP Madison Bumgarner)

The Yankees came into Thursday night’s action with a middling .297 wOBA and 29.4 percent strikeout rate against southpaws. The former figure plummets to .251 when facing that handedness on the road. Then, although current Yankees hitters own a collective .279/.354/.493 line against Bumgarner, they’ll be without the two players largely responsible for propping up those numbers: Troy Tulowitzki (.355 average) and Giancarlo Stanton (.526 average).

Oracle Park’s pitcher-friendly dimensions also work in Bumgarner’s favor. The stadium sports a bottom-10 run factor (0.888), home-run factor (0.682), and doubles factor (0.764) in 2019. And although “MadBum” has uncharacteristically given up three homers there over 13 innings this season, he’s limited opposing hitters to a .213 average. Plus, he owns a 2.27 ERA and .205 BAA across 234.1 home frames over the previous three seasons while only yielding 18 round-trippers there during that stretch.