Please note the advice below is relevant for daily fantasy purposes. A player or team might be better or worse from a fantasy perspective than in real life due to matchup, price and lots of other factors. This is important to consider when constructing a roster.
Injuries play a huge role in NBA DFS on a nightly basis. Value plays on the various daily fantasy sites can arise at a moment’s notice so always, always check the starting lineups and injury news right before tipoff.
The Full Roster contests on FanDuel (FD) include a new scoring system in which the lowest score of the nine selected players is dropped, allowing users to take more risks with a punt play or two. Then, DraftKings (DK) has brought back its late swap for NBA contests.
4/24/19 NBA DFS TOURNAMENT PICKS
Fadeaway: $15 entry, $400k guaranteed (DraftKings)- $100K to 1st!
Spin Move: $44 entry, $25,200k guaranteed (DraftKings)- $5K to 1st!
Wed. Shot Presented by Hulu: $9.99 entry, $300k guaranteed (FanDuel) – $100K to 1st!
Wed. Slam: $55 entry, $30k guaranteed (FanDuel) – $4K to 1st!
NBA DFS Top Plays for April 24, 2019
Three Up for April 24, 2019
Kevin Durant vs. LAC ($8.2k DraftKings, $10.5k FanDuel)
Durant’s price on DK is especially appealing, but his cost on FD is justifiable as well. The All-Star forward has taken a major step forward in the last two games, scoring over 55 FPs in each. He’s shot between 50.0 and 62.5 percent in each game of the series, and his cost on DK actually came down $400 following his 52.75 fantasy-point effort in Game 4. Of the high-priced options on this slate, Durant could end up offering the most value on a fantasy-point-per-minute basis through highly efficient shooting and elevated usage against a team that hasn’t proven capable of truly stopping him.
Donovan Mitchell at HOU ($7.6k DraftKings, $9.2k FanDuel)
It’s desperation time again for the Jazz on Wednesday. Mitchell responded well in that scenario back on his home floor in Game 4. He tallied 47.25 DK/44.4 FD points across 40 minutes. That followed a tally of over 57 FPs on both sites in Game 3. Mitchell has put up a whopping 27 and 26 attempts in the last two games, respectively, and no fewer than 18 in any contest in the series thus far. While he did shoot very poorly in Games 1 and 2 at Toyota Center, the second-year guard essentially guarantees you massive volume if nothing else (32.7 percent usage rate in series), upping his chances of paying off what are still reasonable prices relative to upside.
Clint Capela vs. UTA ($6.7k DraftKings, $7.7k FanDuel)
Capela saw a downturn in production in Game 4, going just 1-for-6 from the field across 28 minutes. However, he’s thrived otherwise despite the difficult matchup versus Rudy Gobert, scoring over 30 FD points in each game and between 28.5 and 37.0 on DK. Capela has also amassed double-digit rebounds in three of the first four games and is now averaging just over 30 FPs against Utah in seven games this season. Capela is averaging nearly 40 FPs at home in the regular season and postseason and shapes up as a potentially excellent value play at his prices if he can bounce back from his outlier performance.
Three Down for April 24, 2019
James Harden vs. UTA ($10.4k DraftKings, $11.8k FanDuel)
This is simply a case of making an educated guess on Harden potentially not being able to fully pay off his elevated prices Wednesday. It’s certainly possible the Rockets eventually build a sizable second-half lead and the All-Star guard sees a slight downturn in minutes as a result. For example, Harden did see a relatively modest 33 minutes in Houston’s big Game 1 and Game 2 wins, and he somewhat under-delivered on his lofty prices in Game 4 with 42.75 DK/37.6 FD points in 38 minutes. With some blowout series-clinching wins over in the Eastern Conference the last two nights, a repeat out west is certainly possible, which would somewhat curtail Harden’s playing time.
Klay Thompson vs. LAC ($6.1k DraftKings, $6.7k FanDuel)
Thompson’s prices are reasonable, but his tallies in Games 1-3 would have still fallen short of 5x at those salaries. The two-guard remains a clear No. 3 option in the attack and sports a modest 17.9 percent usage rate in the series. While his shot attempts did spike to 20 in Game 4, Thompson took between 11 and 14 in Games 1-3. With the Warriors favored at between 14 and 15 points in Game 5 on their home floor, there’s also a very real possibility Thompson takes an early seat. As such, the money may be better spent elsewhere Wednesday.
Joe Ingles at HOU ($4.9k DraftKings, $5.7k FanDuel)
Ingles’ shooting has completely gone in the tank at the worst possible time. The normally sharpshooting Aussie has drained 32.0 percent of his attempts during the series, including 25.0 percent from three-point range. Ingles sporting an anemic 11.5 percent usage rate during the series and has yet to take double-digit shot attempts through his first four games. He’s now shooting just 38.3 percent in eight total games against Houston this season and postseason, so there’s more than just the current playoff sample to rely on. Even at his modest prices, the upside doesn’t seem to be there at the moment.