Please note the advice below is relevant for daily fantasy purposes. A player or team might be better or worse from a fantasy perspective than in real life due to matchup, price, and lots of other factors. This is important to consider when constructing a roster.
Injuries play a huge role in NBA DFS on a nightly basis and players are always candidates to rest towards the end of the regular season. Value plays on the various daily fantasy sites can arise at a moment’s notice, so always, always check the starting lineups and injury news right before tipoff.
The Full Roster contests on FanDuel include a new scoring system in which the lowest score of the nine selected players is dropped, allowing users to take more risks with a punt play or two. Then, DraftKings has brought back its late swap for NBA contests.
4/13/19 NBA DFS TOURNAMENT PICKS
Playoff Spectacular: $10 entry, $400k guaranteed (DraftKings) – $100,000 to 1st!
Four Point Play: $4 entry, $60k guaranteed (DraftKings)
Shot: $7.77 entry, $333k guaranteed (FanDuel) – $100,000 to 1st!
Shot: $4.44 entry, $40k guaranteed (FanDuel)
NBA DFS Top Plays for April 13, 2019
Best Guards for April 13, 2019
Steph Curry vs. LAC ($8.3k DraftKings, $9.8k FanDuel)
The playoffs bring favorable pricing for a number of stars on DraftKings, especially those who took some rest over the final week of the regular season. Steph Curry left Tuesday’s win over New Orleans with an ankle tweak but is expected to be a full go in Game 1 against the Clippers tonight. With a 232-point Over/Under, this is the most appealing game to target on Saturday’s four-game slate. The Clippers allowed an eye-popping 131.6 PPG over their final four contests. That was despite battling for playoff seeding. Then, they’ve given up 122 PPG while dropping three of four meetings with the Warriors this season. Curry put up 32.3 PPG on 54% FG shooting in those contests, posting his highest offensive rating (142) against any Western Conference foe. He shot 44.4% from downtown at home this year and is hitting 43.7% of his 3-point attempts since getting new contact lenses in early March.
Lou Williams @ GSW ($6.2k DraftKings, $6.7k FanDuel)
The Clippers have overcome long odds all season, so it wouldn’t be a tremendous surprise if Lou Williams carried their offense enough to keep Game 1 competitive at Oracle Arena. The likely Sixth Man of the Year throttled down over the final few games of the regular season. But prior to that, he rocked a team-high 34.8% usage rate since Tobias Harris was dealt to the Sixers in February. Williams sees a rise in usage (33.4%) in road games and averaged 21 PPG with a 35.2% usage rate over three meetings with Golden State this season. His role as a reserve may allow him to avoid the lockdown coverage of Klay Thompson at times. Williams is ultimately capable of getting buckets against any defender. He is a clear bargain at this price tag on FanDuel.
Jamal Murray vs. SA ($6.0k DraftKings, $7.8k FanDuel)
Jamal Murray entered a groove in the final weeks of the regular season and will look to carry that over against a Spurs team that is nowhere near its usual defensive standards. San Antonio finished the season ranked 19th in defensive rating and gave up 8.0 more PPG (114) on the road this year. Denver won both home games against the Spurs this season while Murray averaged 22.5 PPG and 8.5 APG with a 31.2% usage rate. After losing stellar defender Dejounte Murray (ACL) for the year, the Spurs coughed up the fourth-most PPG (21.74) to PGs this season. Murray has never shied away from taking big shots for Denver. He saw his usage rate rise to 25.5% over the final six weeks of the season. Look for him to be aggressive in his first postseason start.
Other guards to consider: DeMar DeRozan, Jimmy Butler, Evan Fournier, D.J. Augustin, Derrick White, Pat Beverley, Bryn Forbes, Gary Harris
Best Forwards for April 13, 2019
Kawhi Leonard vs. ORL ($7.9k DraftKings, $9.3k FanDuel)
Another clearly underpriced star on DraftKings is Kawhi Leonard. He is almost certain to exceed value this evening at a price that still reflects his tendency to rest. Those days are over, but the load management will presumably give him more energy to face a stout Magic defense. They’ve been vulnerable against talents of his caliber. Leonard only averaged 18 PPG over three meetings with the Magic this year but played only 28.9 MPG in those contests. He averaged 27.7 PPG and 4.6 APG while shooting 45.5% from the floor in his last playoff action with the Spurs in 2017. Leonard shot 50.6% from the floor with a 31.9% usage rate over just 17 appearances after the ASB. Thus, he should be ready to roll in his Toronto playoff debut.
Draymond Green vs. LAC ($5.7k DraftKings, $7.7k FanDuel)
Draymond Green lives for the playoffs. His lackadaisical play this season has been emblematic of the Warriors’ disinterested approach in pursuit of yet another title. But he should turn it up for Game 1 at home. He certainly flashed his upside in this matchup with 10 points, 10 rebounds, 9 assists, 5 steals, and 3 blocks in a 131-104 win over the Clippers last Sunday. The Clips rank 23rd in DvP against PFs and yield the most BPG (6.1) and sixth-most SPG (8.3) this season. Draymond posted playoff career-highs of 10.6 RPG, 8.1 APG, and 2 SPG while playing 39 MPG last year. The GSW emotional leader will get all the run he can handle if this game remains competitive.
Montrezl Harrell @ GSW ($5.6k DraftKings, $6.7k FanDuel)
In Cash games, it makes sense to simply lean toward the Warriors-Clippers contest. Again, it boasts the highest point total of the slate. If you’re able to pay up for another mid-tier option, Montrezl Harrell should provide solid returns. His energy on both ends has been a huge boon for a Clippers team that was gashed in the paint throughout the first half of the season. Harrell averaged 18.4 PPG and 6.1 RPG while seeing a bump in usage rate (26.5%) during the second half. It was Harrell (25 points, 8 rebounds, 4 blocks) and Lou Williams (25 points, 6 assists) that came off the bench and carried the Clips to their only win over the Dubs this season on Nov. 12. He may not start, but Harrell will likely see heavy minutes off the bench in a fast-paced contest at Oracle.
Other forwards to consider: Ben Simmons, Pascal Siakam, Danilo Gallinari, Paul Millsap, Andre Iguodala, Mike Scott, Wilson Chandler
Best Centers for April 13, 2019
Nikola Jokic vs. SA ($9.0k DraftKings, $10.6k FanDuel)
It’s almost as if DraftKings is tempting more action by making some of the most appealing plays affordable on the first NBA DFS playoff slate of the year. Nikola Jokic is obviously the top option at center with Joel Embiid (knee) questionable. Jokic got plenty of rest down the stretch and will be ready to log around 40 minutes if necessary as the Nuggets look for their first playoff win since 2013. He posted relatively modest averages of 16.8 PPG, 8.5 RPG, and 8.5 APG over four meetings with the Spurs this year but shot 69.8% from the field in those contests. Jokic averaged more PPG (21.9) with a significant bump in usage rate (29.2%) at home this year. He is set up to exceed his recent production by a wide margin with more at stake tonight.
Boban Marjanovic vs. BKN ($3.5k DraftKings, $5.5k FanDuel)
Since Embiid is in danger of missing the Sixers’ entire first-round series against Brooklyn, we can presume Boban Marjanovic is in line for a Game 1 start. The Nets have given up some huge games to big men this season, including a 39-point, 13-rebound, 6-assist line from Embiid on March 28. While Marjanovic is nowhere near the same type of skilled big man, he displayed good court vision with 6 assists to go along with 18 points and 8 rebounds in the Sixers’ regular-season finale. Marjanovic posted 16 points over 18 minutes in his sole appearance against Brooklyn this year and will be a reliable Cash play if Embiid is out.
This slate could revolve around picking the right values in the absence of Embiid. Marjanovic will be a chalk play and the right choice at close to the minimum price. But you can find some GPP options at forward from the Sixers roster. Jonah Bolden (knee) has been hobbled and might not be ready to step up. This opens the door for rookie Zhaire Smith to log meaningful minutes. Smith is an athletic wing out of Texas Tech, who is averaging 13 points, 4.2 rebounds, and 3.2 assists per 36 minutes and logged double-digit points in each of the Sixers’ final two games. Mike Scott is a bit more reliable as a seasoned pro. While Embiid’s absence would make Ben Simmons a virtual must-play, it would also give those forwards appeal as punts.
Other centers to consider: Nikola Vucevic, DeMarcus Cousins, Jarrett Allen