We’re in the first big week of MLB DFS, and there’s a great slate on tap for Wednesday, 4/10/19. Below is a list of our best pitchers, hitters, and stacks to target (Three Up) and fade (Three Down) in MLB DFS contests. Note that some of these plays are recommended for Cash and some are best reserved for GPP lineups on DraftKings and FanDuel.
Please note the advice below is relevant for daily fantasy purposes. A player or team might be better or worse from a fantasy perspective than in real life due to matchup, price, and lots of other factors. This is important to consider when constructing a roster. Remember that more than in other sports, variance is a huge part of baseball. Even Mike Trout can go 0-for-4 on a given night, and Max Scherzer can get lit up by a weak team.
Weather can also play a huge role in MLB DFS on a nightly basis, and lineups are constantly shifting. So always, always check the starting lineups and weather reports when playing for an MLB slate. If a game gets rained out, your player gets zero points!
BEST MLB DFS TOURNAMENTS FOR 4/10
Relay Throw: $15 entry, $200k guaranteed (DraftKings) – $50,000 to 1st!
Power Alley: $44 entry, $50k guaranteed (DraftKings)
Rally: $9.99 entry, $100k guaranteed (FanDuel) – $20,000 to 1st!
Squeeze: $4.44 entry, $60k guaranteed (FanDuel)
Three Up for April 10, 2019
Jack Flaherty vs. LAD ($9.0k DraftKings, $8.2k FanDuel)
Taking a starter against the league-leading Dodgers offense is a risky proposition, but Cardinals third-year RHP Jack Flaherty may be up to the challenge. He held the Dodgers to 2 ER on 5 hits with 18 Ks over two meetings last year and is equipped to handle their lefty-heavy lineup. Lefties hit .191 with a modest 31.8% hard contact rate when facing Flaherty at Busch Stadium last year. The former first-round pick posted a stingy 2.93 ERA and 1.03 WHIP at home in 2018 and bounced back from a rough road outing in his season debut to blank the Padres over 5 IP at home last Friday. His fastball ranked 12 runs above average last year. Now, his velocity on that pitch is rising (93.9 MPH this season) at the ripe age of 23.
Jake Odorizzi @ NYM ($7.5k DraftKings, $7.4k FanDuel)
The Mets send another elite SP to the mound today, but the Twins counter with a burgeoning ace of their own. Jake Odorizzi found a recipe for success with a 3.77 ERA and .205 BAA last August. He limited damage with a 4.4% HR/FB ratio and 20.2% line drive rate during the second half of 2018 and got off to a good start in 2019. Odorizzi struck out 11 in a strong outing against Cleveland before getting knocked around by the Phillies last Friday. The important stat is that lefties are 0-for-20 with 11 Ks this year against Odorizzi, who is showcasing an improved curveball this year. Current Mets have a 23.2% K-Rate with 2 HR over 56 career at-bats against Odorizzi. As long as he can avoid damage from New York’s dangerous righties, he should continue to limit their LHBs and navigate that lefty-heavy lineup. Odorizzi is a GPP option with a floor of just 2.2 DraftKings points, but he does have a tempting ceiling of 26.2 DK points per FantasyLabs.
Other pitchers to consider: Noah Syndergaard, Robbie Ray, Collin McHugh, Frankie Montas
Rhys Hoskins vs. WAS ($5.3k DraftKings, $4.9k FanDuel)
With Bryce Harper drawing so much attention, Rhys Hoskins is flying under the radar for the first-place Phillies. Yet he’s displayed just as much upside and a higher floor than his high-profile teammate with a .367/.513/.933 slash line through nine games. Hoskins already has 4 HR and 9 RBI during the Phillies’ current homestand after launching 20 of his 34 HR at Citizens Bank Park last season. Nationals RHP Jeremy Hellickson was more vulnerable in RvR matchups last year, and he’s allowed 24 HR over 27 career starts (3.93 ERA) in Philadelphia.
David Peralta vs. TEX ($4.4k DraftKings, $3.8k FanDuel)
New Rangers SP Lance Lynn has been absolutely pummeled by lefties so far this season. He’s given up 10 hits and a 43.5% hard contact rate over 31 at-bats against LHBs this year after pitching around lefties with a 1.93 WHIP and 1.17 K/BB ratio against the platoon last season. Diamondbacks LHB David Peralta is off to a scorching start with a .413 average and 28.9% line drive rate so far this season. He’s 5-for-11 with a HR and 2 BB over 13 plate appearances against Lynn and could form the heart of a very productive D’Backs stack tonight at Chase Field. Note that Arizona leads the Majors with a collective .311 batting average at home and Peralta hit .341 at home last year.
Other hitters to consider: Christian Yelich, Anthony Rendon, Domingo Santana, Daniel Vogelbach, Christian Walker, Jarrod Dyson, Stephen Piscotty, George Springer, Wilmer Flores, Andrew McCutchen
Athletics vs. Josh Rogers (Orioles)
Instead of homer-prone Alex Cobb, the Orioles were going to start vulnerable Minor Leaguer Josh Rogers tonight. Now they’ve shifted yet again to veteran Dan Straily, who owns the lowest per-dollar rating by far on FantasyLabs and could be due for a shelling. Straily posted a weak 5.11 FIP last year and struggled against the platoon. This year, he’s given up 2 HR and 5 hits over just 9 at-bats against RHB.
Khris Davis is a boom-bust option to consider with the ability to go deep. Then, Stephen Piscotty is a prime option with the ability to thrive in RvR matchups. Chad Pinder has been rock-solid to open 2019, and Mark Canha will be able to use the platoon advantage. Matt Chapman is another dangerous RHB to consider, and Robbie Grossman has frequently been underpriced as Oakland’s primary leadoff man against RHP.
Other stacks to consider: Diamondbacks vs. Lance Lynn (Rangers), Mariners vs. Heath Fillmyer (Twins), Phillies vs. Jeremy Hellickson (Nationals)
Three Down for April 10, 2019
Pitcher To Fade
James Paxton @ HOU ($9.7k DraftKings, $9.8k FanDuel)
James Paxton is a talented LHP with great splits in recent seasons against the Astros. But Houston’s talent should prevail sooner or later, especially if Paxton continues his mediocre start to 2019. The Yankees’ new acquisition has given up 6 runs (5 ER) on 12 hits over 11 IP through two starts. He’s also yielding a 37.9% contact rate to the opposite field, indicating an intelligent approach from hitters to use the flamethrower’s speed to their advantage. George Springer, Carlos Correa, and Jose Altuve are a combined 23-for-76 (.303) with 3 HR and 7 BB in their careers against Paxton. That trio will likely be at the top of the order tonight at Minute Maid Park, where the Astros are hitting a scorching .306 so far this season.
Hitter To Fade
Anthony Rizzo vs. PIT ($4.7k DraftKings, $4.2k FanDuel)
It’s hard to take too much stock in a start against the league-worst Reds offense, but Jordan Lyles certainly held his own with 5 scoreless IP against Cincy last Thursday. The young RHP struggled in a trip to Wrigley Field last year but was able to hold Anthony Rizzo in check. Rizzo is 2-for-11 with 2 Ks in his career against Lyles, and the Cubs are a combined 9-for-45 (.200) against the righty in their careers. Lyles held LHBs to a .180 average and measly 13.4% line drive rate and barely allowed any hard-hit balls with a 6.7% line drive rate in his 2019 debut.
Stack To Fade
Rangers vs. ARI (LHP Robbie Ray)
Banking on the Rangers tonight would essentially be a bet on Robbie Ray remaining wild. The D’Backs southpaw has an unsustainable 22.2% BB rate with a flukey 28.6% ground ball rate through two starts this season. Now, he’ll make his home debut against a lefty-heavy Rangers lineup that posted a modest .307 wOBA against southpaws last season. Ray should have plenty of run support with inconsistent veteran Lance Lynn going for the visitors, and he still has great swing-and-miss stuff with a 93 MPH slider and an above-average cut fastball. Lefties recorded a weak 14.1% line drive rate against Ray last year. Thus, Joey Gallo, Nomar Mazara, and Rougned Odor are all likely to struggle if starting.