We’re in the first big week of MLB DFS, and there’s a great slate on tap for Tuesday, 4/9/19. Below is a list of our best pitchers, hitters, and stacks to target (Three Up) and fade (Three Down) in MLB DFS contests. Note that some of these plays are recommended for Cash and some are best reserved for GPP lineups on DraftKings and FanDuel.
Please note the advice below is relevant for daily fantasy purposes. A player or team might be better or worse from a fantasy perspective than in real life due to matchup, price, and lots of other factors. This is important to consider when constructing a roster. Remember that more than in other sports, variance is a huge part of baseball. Even Mike Trout can go 0-for-4 on a given night, and Max Scherzer can get lit up by a weak team.
Weather can also play a huge role in MLB DFS on a nightly basis, and lineups are constantly shifting. So always, always check the starting lineups and weather reports when playing for an MLB slate. If a game gets rained out, your player gets zero points!
BEST MLB DFS TOURNAMENTS FOR 4/9
Starting Nine: $9 entry, $250k guaranteed (DraftKings) – $50,000 to 1st!
Power Alley: $44 entry, $100k guaranteed (DraftKings)
Stark Squeeze: $9.99 entry, $100k guaranteed (FanDuel) – $20,000 to 1st!
Lannister Squeeze: $7.77 entry, $77k guaranteed (FanDuel)
Three Up for April 9, 2019
Jacob deGrom vs. MIN ($11.6k DraftKings, $12.2k FanDuel)
His hot streak will eventually come to an end, but right now Jacob deGrom is the most consistent pitcher in baseball. He’s more consistent than Max Scherzer and more affordable than the Nats ace usually is on DraftKings. Tonight, deGrom looks to post an MLB-record 27th consecutive Quality Start. He should be able to achieve that goal in a National League stadium against a middling Twins lineup. He was other-worldly with a 1.54 ERA, .179 BAA, and 6.35 K/BB ratio at home last season. This season, deGrom owns a ridiculous 14.00 K/BB ratio with .174 BAA. Plus, he’s yet to give up a run in two road starts.
Joey Lucchesi @ SF ($9.2k DraftKings, $8.6k FanDuel)
The Giants have been an easy target early in the season. San Francisco is batting a collective .208 with the second-lowest wOBA (.258) in the N.L. so far this season. Padres lefty Joey Lucchesi is well-equipped to handle the Giants lineup, as he did on Opening Day with 7 Ks and 0 ER allowed over 5.1 innings. Lucchesi leans on an above-average slider (accounts for 60.3% of his pitches) that helped him generate plenty of swings and misses en route to a 26.5% K-Rate last year. He struck out 17 and allowed 4 ER over two starts against the Giants in 2018 and should feel confident pitching in spacious AT&T Park. Lucchesi owns the highest per-dollar rating of any pitcher for the night slate on DraftKings according to models on FantasyLabs.
Other pitchers to consider: Freddy Peralta, Aaron Nola, Zack Greinke, German Marquez, Derek Holland
Stephen Piscotty @ BAL ($4.6k DraftKings, $3.5k FanDuel)
Khris Davis will draw a lot of attention as Oakland’s lefty killer, but Stephen Piscotty is just as effective against the platoon. Piscotty went 4-for-4 with a HR, double, and 5 RBI when the A’s hosted Red Sox LHP Eduardo Rodriguez last week. He should hit in the heart of the order against Orioles second-year southpaw John Means. While Means has great swing-and-miss stuff, he’s also been prone to the long ball (22.5% HR/FB ratio over 26 MLB appearances). Piscotty has been patient with an 11.5% BB rate and shown pop with a .214 ISO mark in his career against lefties. So far this season, he’s 7-for-19 with 2 HR and .503 wOBA against the platoon.
Michael Conforto vs. MIN ($4.3k DraftKings, $3.7k FanDuel)
Many analysts expected great things from Michael Conforto this season, and he’s starting to live up to that hype. The smooth-swinging lefty is 13-for-37 (.351) on the season and found his power stroke with homers in consecutive games this weekend. Twins RHP Kyle Gibson allowed lefties to hit .265 with a 24.1% line drive rate last season and has given up 6 hits (including a HR) over just 11 at-bats against LHBs this year. Conforto offers a nice floor-ceiling combo as a potential pairing with deGrom.
Other hitters to consider: Christian Yelich, Cody Bellinger, Adalberto Mondesi, Manny Machado, Eric Thames, Chad Pinder, Mallex Smith, Domingo Santana, Robinson Cano, Alex Verdugo
Dodgers vs. Dakota Hudson
The upside here is tantalizing. Dakota Hudson, a second-year RHP, coughed up 3 HR over 4.1 IP in his first MLB start against the lefty-heavy Brewers lineup. Now, he faces a Dodgers team that is even more dangerous for RHPs that struggle against the platoon. The Dodgers top the Majors (by far) in batting average (.307) and wOBA (.414) so far this season with Cody Bellinger leading the way.
Bellinger is hitting .455 with 7 HR during a 10-game hitting streak to open the season. He’s the best floor-ceiling play, while Joc Pederson, Max Muncy, and Corey Seager have boom-bust appeal if the Dodgers offense gets rolling. Alex Verdugo could serve as a great value option if he gets a chance to start. Even in a RvR matchup, Enrique Hernandez will be worth a look if batting high in the order. Lastly, Justin Turner is a reliable Cash play per usual.
Other stacks to consider: Astros vs. Jonathan Loaisiga (Yankees), Mets vs. Kyle Gibson (Twins), Brewers vs. Matt Harvey (Angels)
Three Down for April 9, 2019
Pitcher To Fade
Stephen Strasburg @ PHI ($9.7k DraftKings, $10.5k FanDuel)
Those expecting Aaron Nola to get pummeled by the Nationals lineup in a second consecutive meeting could be sorely disappointed tonight. If Nola pitches well in an immediate chance for revenge, Stephen Strasburg will have an even tougher time navigating the dangerous Phillies lineups. Strasburg pitched well in consecutive starts against the Mets, but Bryce Harper and company present a bit more of a challenge. Strasburg coughed up 5 ER on 2 HR, then walked 5 with only 3 Ks, then lucked out a bit with 13 fly-ball outs over his last three starts against Philly last season. His approach leaves him vulnerable at Citizens Bank Park, which has the highest HR factor for LHBs in the Majors.
Hitter To Fade
Ronald Acuña Jr. @ COL ($5.2k DraftKings, $4.9k FanDuel)
The first game of this series featured plenty of offense, but good pitching might calm those bats in the second meeting at Coors Field. The Rockies are sending excellent RHP German Marquez to the mound. Marquez was particularly dominant against righties last season, holding them to a .186 average and .255 wOBA with a 35% K-Rate. He posted a 2.26 xFIP at Coors when facing righties by missing a ton of bats (13.2 K/9 ratio), and Acuña was less dangerous in RvR matchups during his rookie year.
Stack To Fade
Rockies vs. ATL (LHP Max Fried)
Marquez is a tough matchup for the Braves offense, and Max Fried could be a tough nut for the home team to crack at Coors tonight. Fried is coming off a masterful one-hit performance in which he elicited 11 ground-ball outs from the previously red-hot Cubs lineup. The third-year southpaw has allowed a measly 15.8% line drive rate and avoided giving up any homers over his first three appearances this season. His pinpoint control combined with great movement on a cut fastball should allow Fried to jam the Rockies righties inside and pitch to the bigger part of Coors Field by running balls away from lefties.