We have an 11-game MLB DFS slate on Sunday, 4/7/19 beginning at 1:05 p.m EDT and an additional 15-game all-day slate on FanDuel also beginning at 1:05pm EDT. Below is a list of our best pitchers, hitters, and stacks to target (Three Up) and fade (Three Down) in MLB DFS contests. Note that some of these plays are recommended for Cash and some are best reserved for GPP lineups on DraftKings and FanDuel.
Please note the advice below is relevant for daily fantasy purposes. A player or team might be better or worse from a fantasy perspective than in real life due to matchup, price, and lots of other factors. This is important to consider when constructing a roster. Remember that more than in other sports, variance is a huge part of baseball. Even Mike Trout can go 0-for-4 on a given night, and Max Scherzer can get lit up by a weak team.
Weather can also play a huge role in MLB DFS on a nightly basis, and lineups are constantly shifting. So always, always check the starting lineups and weather reports when playing for an MLB slate. If a game gets rained out, your player gets zero points!
BEST MLB DFS TOURNAMENTS FOR 4/7
Rally Cap: $8 entry, $125k guaranteed (DraftKings) – $20K to 1st!
Full Count: $55 entry, $300k guaranteed (DraftKings)- $100K to 1st!
Sun. Squeeze: $4.44 entry, $125k guaranteed (FanDuel) – $20K to 1st!
Sun. Grand Slam: $55 entry, $150K guaranteed (FanDuel)- $30K to 1st!
Three Up for April 7, 2019
Mike Clevinger vs. TOR ($9.9k DraftKings, $10.8k FanDuel)
Clevinger put together a 7-3 record, 3.14 ERA, .237 BAA, and 114:29 K:BB across 106 innings at Progressive Field last season. Then, he started off 2019 with a seven-inning, one-hit gem against the White Sox last Monday. The right-hander was especially effective against right-handed bats last season, and the Blue Jays are heavy on those. Clevinger posted a .258 wOBA, .211 BAA, and mammoth 29.3 percent strikeout rate versus righties in 2018.
In turn, the Blue Jays have opened the new season struggling against right-handed pitching. Toronto currently sports a .253 wOBA, 65 wRC+, -10.8 wRAA, and 25.4 percent strikeout rate against righties over 224 plate appearances. Then, the Jays are averaging an anemic 2.8 runs per game over their first 10 contests, making them even more appealing targets. Given the matchup and Clevinger’s ability to keep hitters guessing, I see the Indians’ righty as a solid cash or GPP play.
Other pitchers to consider: Max Scherzer (at NYM), Chris Sale (at ARI), Brad Peacock (vs. OAK), Brad Keller (at DET)
Kris Bryant at MIL ($4.8k DraftKings, $4.2k FanDuel)
Bryant comes into Sunday’s matchup against Zach Davies with a career .371/.405/.657 line against the Brewers’ right-hander over 37 career plate appearances. That line is partly comprised of two doubles, a triple, and two home runs, along with just four strikeouts. Bryant had also started the season hitting safely in six of his first seven games before an 0-for-5, four-strikeout night Saturday.
Six of the eight homers Davies allowed in an injury-shortened 2018 came off right-handed bats, good (or bad) for 1.46 HR/9 to righties. He also yielded a bloated 40.0 percent hard-contact rate to righties, including 44.0 percent at Miller Park. Unsurprising given those numbers, 11 of the 37 hits Davies surrendered to righty bats in 2018 went for extra bases. Despite Bryant’s rough night Saturday, I see him as worthy of rolling out in GPPs due to his track record against Davies and his upside.
Other hitters to consider: Adam Eaton, Justin Turner, Anthony Rizzo, Max Muncy, A.J. Pollock, Mike Trout, Justin Bour, Joey Gallo, Andrelton Simmons, Nomar Mazara, Asdrubal Cabrera
Rangers at Angels (RHP Chris Stratton)
Chris Stratton has had trouble with left-handed hitters throughout his career, allowing them a .284 average, .354 wOBA, 4.85 xFIP, and 26.6 percent line-drive rate. The Rangers happen to have a few that could do serious damage when they connect, including Rougned Odor, Joey Gallo, Nomar Mazara, Ronald Guzman, and Shin-Soo Choo. Stratton will be facing all of those sluggers for the first time. The unfamiliarity could certainly lead to some trouble for him.
Then, the Rangers have already started the season battering right-handed pitching on the road. Texas boasts a .296 average and the third-highest wOBA (.373) in the Majors versus righties on the road thus far, along with an MLB-high 49.0 percent hard-contact rate. Given that Stratton already started the season off in rocky fashion (four earned runs on seven hits and two walks across 4.1 innings in his first start) and the Rangers packing plenty of firepower, I see them as a solid GPP stack Sunday.
Other stacks to consider: Mariners at White Sox (RHP Ivan Nova), Diamondbacks vs. Red Sox (RHP Hector Velazquez), Angels vs. Rangers (RHP Shelby Miller)
Three Down for April 7, 2019
Pitcher To Fade
Shelby Miller at Angels ($6.9k DraftKings, $6.3k FanDuel)
Current Angels hitters have a collective .309/.352/.407 line lifetime versus Miller. Two of the most successful have been Andrelton Simmons (.600 average) and Mike Trout (.667 average), while Justin Bour (.500 average) and Jonathan Lucroy (.300 average) have also given Miller plenty of trouble.
Miller has had trouble anywhere he’s pitched over the last three seasons, generating a 5-18 record, 6.35 ERA and .302 BAA over that span. Both sides of the plate have hit him hard. He’s allowed a .310/.394/.519 line to lefty bats and a .291/.338/.450 line to right-handed hitters during that span. He’s exhibited significant control problems as well, and those surfaced again in his first start of the season versus the Astros. Miller issued five walks over just 3.2 innings, which led to an elevated pitch count of 88 and an early exit.
Given the track record of multiple Angels against him and Miller’s issues consistently locating, I see Miller as a fade Sunday.
Hitter To Fade
Brandon Nimmo vs. WAS ($3.5k DraftKings, $2.8k FanDuel)
Nimmo has started off the season in nightmarish fashion, hitting .077 (2-for-26) over his first seven games. The 26-year-old currently sports a mammoth 46.7 percent strikeout rate over that span as well. His matchup Sunday doesn’t exactly inspire confidence that he’ll be able to snap out of his funk. Nimmo will face off against Max Scherzer, a formidable challenge in and of itself.
Considering Nimmo also sports a .154 average against Scherzer over 19 plate appearances — a sample that includes 11 strikeouts — his prospects look even bleaker. Then, Scherzer also held lefty bats to a .173 BAA, .242 wOBA, and 0.89 WHIP on the road last season while generating a 30.8 percent strikeout rate.
Stack To Fade
Marlins at ATL (LHP Sean Newcomb)
Sean Newcomb mastered the Marlins last season to the tune of a 4-0 record, 0.75 ERA, and .139 average across 24 innings. Miami posted an MLB-low .283 wOBA against left-handed pitching last season as well, along with a 22.2 percent strikeout rate. Newcomb started the season with four scoreless innings against the Cubs, but control problems stranded him at 91 pitches and led to his early exit.
The Marlins could help avoid a repeat, considering they sport the third-lowest walk rate (4.0 percent) versus left-handed pitching in the early going of 2019. Then, with the exception of Brian Anderson, current Marlins have historically hit brick walls against Newcomb. Even factoring in Anderson’s .417 average versus Newcomb over 14 plate appearances, current Miami hitters have a collective .157/.295/.176 line over 51 career at-bats against the Braves lefty.
Other stacks to fade: Mets vs. Nationals (RHP Max Scherzer), Athletics at Astros (RHP Brad Peacock)