Patriots Vs Jaguars: NFL Betting Trends, Stats And Computer Predictions – Week 17

Written By PlayPicks Staff on December 27, 2021

The Jacksonville Jaguars (2-13) will look to break a seven-game skid when they meet the New England Patriots (9-6) in Week 17. The Patriots, listed at -17 on the spread, play host to the Jaguars, +700 to win, on January 2, 2022 at 1:00 PM ET on CBS. The matchup’s over/under is currently set at 41.5.

The insights in the article below reflect odds as of January 2, 2022 at 12:49 PM ET. Check out the table below for the latest odds for this outing and get up to $1,000 Risk Free Bet at BetMGM today!

Patriots Vs Jaguars Odds

Computer Pick

Computer picks for Patriots vs Jaguars
ATS pick Over/Under pick
Patriots (-17) Over (41.5)

Predictions are calculated by a data-driven algorithm (raw power score) that ranks head-to-head matchup results within a closed network of games. Prediction confidence is determined by the delta between each team’s raw power score.

Team Stat Rankings

Patriots Jaguars
Off. Points per Game (Rank) 25.9 (11) 14.5 (32)
Def. Points per Game (Rank) 17.3 (1) 26.4 (27)
Off. Yards per Play (Rank) 5.6 (15) 5.0 (24)
Def. Yards per Play (Rank) 5.1 (4) 5.6 (20)
Turnovers Allowed (Rank) 20 (15) 26 (31)
Turnovers Forced (Rank) 27 (5) 7 (32)

Patriots Betting Insights

  • New England is 9-6-0 against the spread this year.
  • New England has played 15 games this year, and seven of them have gone over the total.
  • New England and its opponent have broken the 41.5-point mark eight times this season.
  • The point total average for Patriots games this season is 44.5, 3.0 points higher than the over/under for this matchup.

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Jaguars Betting Insights

  • Jacksonville has covered the spread four times in 15 games.
  • Jacksonville has played 15 games this season, and four of them have gone over the total.
  • Jacksonville’s games have finished with over 41.5 points scored eight times this year.
  • This season, Jaguars games have resulted in an average scoring total of 46.1, which is 4.6 points higher than the over/under for this matchup.

Patriots Players to Watch

  • Mac Jones has thrown for 3,313 yards (220.9 ypg) to lead New England, completing 67.2% of his passes and recording 18 touchdown passes compared to 12 interceptions this season.
  • Damien Harris has carried the ball 182 times for a team-high 857 yards on the ground and has found the end zone 12 times as a runner.
  • Rhamondre Stevenson has piled up 465 yards on 110 attempts, scoring three times.
  • Jakobi Meyers’ team-high 723 yards as a receiver have come on 71 catches (out of 110 targets) with one touchdown.
  • Kendrick Bourne has caught 47 passes while averaging 46.7 yards per game and scoring five touchdowns.
  • Hunter Henry has a total of 480 receiving yards so far this year, hauling in 42 passes and scoring nine touchdowns.
  • Matthew Judon has racked up 12.5 sacks to pace the team, while also picking up 13.0 TFL and 57 tackles.
  • Kyle Dugger, New England’s tackle leader, has 90 tackles, 5.0 TFL, and three interceptions this year.
  • J.C. Jackson has picked off a team-high seven passes. He also has 50 tackles, 1.0 TFL, and 21 passes defended to his name.

Jaguars Players to Watch

  • Trevor Lawrence has thrown for 3,225 yards (215.0 ypg) to lead Jacksonville, completing 58.7% of his passes and recording nine touchdown passes and 14 interceptions this season. He is also the team’s top rusher, racking up 301 yards (20.1 ypg) on 61 carries with two touchdowns.
  • Dare Ogunbowale has taken 23 carries and totaled 71 yards with one touchdown.
  • Marvin Jones Jr.’s 698 receiving yards (46.5 yards per game) lead the team. He has 64 receptions on 106 targets with three touchdowns.
  • Laviska Shenault Jr. has collected 544 receiving yards (36.3 yards per game) on 56 receptions.
  • Laquon Treadwell has racked up 323 reciving yards (32.3 ypg) this season.
  • Josh Allen has 5.5 sacks to lead the team, and also has 9.0 TFL, 60 tackles, and one interception.
  • Jacksonville’s tackle leader, Damien Wilson, has 99 tackles, 5.0 TFL, and 2.0 sacks this year.
  • Tyson Campbell has a team-leading two interceptions to go along with 60 tackles, 1.0 TFL, and nine passes defended.

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