2021 NFL Week 17 Survivor Picks | Go For The Win With Patriots

Written By Nate Weitzer on December 28, 2021 - Last Updated on December 29, 2021

We’re entering the penultimate week of the first 18-week season in league history and while the NFL betting action is never-ending at online sportsbooks, this is also a massive time of the year for those taking part in season-long survivor pools.

If you still have your entry in a survivor pool alive, there’s no doubt it’s coming down to the wire. To this point, you’ve picked nothing but winners and are so close to a potential payday, so we’ll get into several games as ones to consider or avoid entirely when making your Week 17 NFL survivor picks.

NFL Week 17 Survivor Pool Picks

Jacksonville Jaguars at New England Patriots () – Sunday, 1 p.m. ET

The Patriots were served some humble pie by the Colts and Bills after running through their schedule for seven straight wins. Now they have an excellent get-right matchup against a backsliding Jaguars team that is likely angling towards earning the No. 1 overall pick rather than trying to win games after firing first-year head coach Urban Meyer amidst a scandalous season.

Jacksonville is 0-7 and scoring just 13.4 PPG on the road this season. The Jags score the fewest PPG (14.5) overall and rank 29th in third-down conversion rate (35.1%). The Jags defense allows the highest completion rate (69.8%) in the NFL and that should help conservative game manager Mac Jones move the Pats offense up and down the field.

New England’s defense is set to feast against rookie QB Trevor Lawrence, who has committed 19 turnovers this season and owns a 67.9 passer rating on the road. Jacksonville ranks 30th in DVOA pass offense and their middling run offense takes a huge hit with James Robinson (Achilles) done for the season.

Week 17 Survivor Lock: New England Patriots 

Patriots vs. Jaguars Betting Preview

New York Giants at Chicago Bears () – Sunday, 1 p.m. ET

With Daniel Jones (neck) shut down for the season, the Giants have entered the running as the worst team in football. They certainly have had one of the worst offenses over the past four weeks with Mike Glennon and rookie Jake Fromm trading reps. The G-Men are completing 50.9% of passes at 4.2 yards per completion with 51 yards lost on eight sacks over those four losses. They’re scoring 11.5 PPG and giving up 28 PPG in that span while consistently losing out on good field position.

The Bears lead the NFL with a 10.6% sack rate at home. Even without Khalil Mack (foot), they rank fourth in football with a 9.3% sack rate over their last four games. Chicago has been gashed by some good run offenses lately, but allows a below-average 4.2 YPC at home and ranks fourth against power-running plays per Football Outsiders.

Whether it’s steady veteran Nick Foles or exciting sophomore Justin Fields (ankle) starting at QB, the Bears should be able to move the ball against the Giants by riding workhorse back David Montgomery. The G-Men are having no such luck producing against anyone with their skill positions decimated and their first-string QB unavailable.

Week 17 Survivor Leverage Pick: Chicago Bears 

Giants vs. Bears Betting Preview

Detroit Lions at Seattle Seahawks () – Sunday, 4:25 p.m. ET

The Lions nearly pulled off an unlikely victory at Atlanta last week and they should get Jared Goff (COVID) back under center for this road tilt. D’Andre Swift (shoulder) has an outside shot to play and Jamaal Williams will be ready to handle more work after coming off the COVID List late last week. Even if those backs aren’t available, Craig Reynolds has shown good burst between the tackles and he can exploit a Seahawks team that gives up 114.6 rushing YPG this season.

Seattle’s secondary has struggled all season and been far worse since losing safety Jamal Adams (shoulder) for the year. The Seahawks cough up the second-most passing YPG (270.9) and yielding a 69% completion rate over three games since Adams went down.

Russell Wilson and his receivers are still working to get on track with Tyler Lockett coming off the COVID List and D.K. Metcalf battling multiple injuries. The Seahawks have found something on the ground with Rashard Penny, but Detroit just held the Falcons to 2.6 YPC and yields a below-average 4.2 YPC on the road.

The Lions have fought hard all year and the Seahawks have been playing with general malaise throughout a lost season. Seattle was just eliminated from contention last week and is only playing for pride.

Week 17 Land Mine Survivor Pick: Seattle Seahawks 

Lions vs. Seahawks Betting Preview

NFL Week 17 Betting Odds

2021 NFL Survivor Pool Rules

The format for survivor pools is pretty self-explanatory. In order to survive, you must pick one NFL team each week to win their game. The catch is that each team can only be used once, limiting the number of choices you have as the season progresses. The last person standing wins the jackpot, which usually consists of entry fees paid by everyone in the pool.

Each week, we offer multiple survivor selections of varying risks. This includes the pick we’re most confident in along with an option that could offer leverage to help you save the elite teams for a later game. Our third and final selection is a land mine pick, which indicates a team you may want to stay away from this week.

If you are interested in betting on sports, this information can still be valuable. Feel free to take this analysis and head over to some of the leading brands in the industry including DraftKings, FanDuel, or BetMGM, which have a huge range of betting options for every NFL game. Many of these sites also have free-to-play survivor pools, which don’t require an entry fee.

Play the survivor pool at DraftKings for a FREE chance at $1 million!

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Nate Weitzer

Nate Weitzer is a successful DFS player at DraftKings and FanDuel with numerous tournament wins in NBA and NFL contests. He's been writing about DFS for several years, specializing in NBA picks and advice while continuing to build his bankroll across the daily fantasy industry. When he's not playing DFS, Weitzer is often covering high school sports in the greater Boston area for outlets such as The Boston Globe, or playing basketball himself. Follow Nate on Twitter @Nweitzer7.

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