NBA DFS

The NBA DFS season rolls on Monday, 4/1/19, and we’ve got our best picks for your DraftKings and FanDuel lineups tonight.

Please note the advice below is relevant for daily fantasy purposes. A player or team might be better or worse from a fantasy perspective than in real life due to matchup, price, and lots of other factors. This is important to consider when constructing a roster.

Injuries play a huge role in NBA DFS on a nightly basis and players are always candidates to rest towards the end of the regular season. Value plays on the various daily fantasy sites can arise at a moment’s notice, so always, always check the starting lineups and injury news right before tipoff.

The Full Roster contests on FanDuel include a new scoring system in which the lowest score of the nine selected players is dropped, allowing users to take more risks with a punt play or two. Then, DraftKings has brought back its late swap for NBA contests.

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4/1/19 NBA DFS TOURNAMENT PICKS

Fadeaway: $15 entry, $300k guaranteed (DraftKings) – $100,000 to 1st!
Four Point Play: $4 entry, $70k guaranteed (DraftKings)
Shot: $15 entry, $200k guaranteed (FanDuel) – $50,000 to 1st!
Shot: $5.55 entry, $40k guaranteed (FanDuel)

NBA DFS Top Plays for April 1, 2019

Best Guards for April 1, 2019

Devin Booker vs. CLE ($10.1k DraftKings, $11.5k FanDuel)

The Suns have not been contenders for years, so gunning for points in a lost season is nothing new to Devin Booker. He dropped 48 points in that role on Saturday against the Grizzlies’ second-ranked scoring defense. Now, he’ll face a Cleveland team that ranks dead last in defensive rating. Cleveland yields the third-most 3PTM (2.69) per game to SGs and ranks 29th in overall 3-point defense (37.6%). Booker just wrapped up an incredible March in which he averaged 34 PPG on 49% FG shooting, and his usage rate has skyrocketed 41.2% over his last five appearances. With Deandre Ayton (ankle) ruled out, Booker has slate-winning upside with a remarkable ceiling of 83.4 DraftKings points per FantasyLabs. Plus, he’s still rather affordable on that site with the potential for 6x salary returns.

Sterling Brown vs. BKN ($4.1k DraftKings, $4.2k FanDuel)

Both Giannis Antetokounmpo (ankle) and Khris Middleton (groin) sat out last night’s game. Then, Eric Bledsoe was active but never checked into the game. Bledsoe leads the Bucks with a 31.6% usage rate and averages 0.29 more FPs per minute (1.47) when both those stars are off the floor in addition to injured rotational players Nikola Mirotic and Malcolm Brogdon. If both Giannis and Middleton are inactive again, you could gamble on Bledsoe seeing some playing time tonight. But be warned: this is a fluid situation.

The better options are found in the value realm: Pat Connaughton, Bonzie Colson, Tim Frazier, and Sterling Brown, who is coming off a huge 27-point game Sunday night. Brown averages 16 points per 100 possessions with a 111 offensive rating on the year. Plus, he matches up well against a Nets team that ranks 26th in DvP against SGs over the last 14 days. He’s a virtual lock to meet or exceed value once again if at least two of Milwaukee’s three main scorers sit.

Trey Burke vs. PHI ($4.0k DraftKings, $3.6k FanDuel)

Guard is a great position at which to save tonight. The Mavericks offer a couple of options provided Luka Doncic (thigh) misses another game. Tim Hardaway Jr. (leg) has already been ruled out the rest of the season, but Trey Burke is paying off as a midseason trade acquisition for Dallas. The gifted scorer dropped 25 points with 8 assists over 30 minutes off the bench last night. Now, he will look to create against a high-scoring Sixers team. Burke is averaging 18.3 points and 4.7 assists per 36 minutes since joining the Mavs. And Philadelphia allows the most APG (9.97) to PGs this season. The Sixers yield 114.5 PPG on the road and will lack rim protection with Joel Embiid (rest) not expected to play.

Other guards to consider: Damian Lillard, D’Angelo Russell, Jimmy Butler, Andrew Wiggins, Emmanuel Mudiay, Dion Waiters, Walter Lemon, Tim Frazier

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Best Forwards for April 1, 2019

Ben Simmons @ DAL ($9.0k DraftKings, $10.0k FanDuel)

The Sixers are the fourth-highest scoring team in the NBA and will continue to run most of their offense through Ben Simmons with Embiid on the shelf. Simmons posted a triple-double (20 points, 13 rebounds, 11 assists) in his sole meeting with Dallas this season and is averaging 18.4 PPG, 8.5 RPG, and 7.8 APG over his last 13 appearances. The Mavericks rank 24th in DvP against PGs over the last 14 days and will be even more vulnerable if Doncic is unavailable tonight. Simmons is hardly wearing down at the end of a long season, yet defenders are losing interest. That provides him with easy penetration or passing lanes. Since the Sixers are averaging 27.8 APG in 2019 and Simmons averages 0.23 assists per minute when Embiid is off the floor, he’s a very high-floor play tonight, with a projection of 47.2 DraftKings points per FantasyLabs.

Kelly Olynyk @ BOS ($5.5k DraftKings, $4.7k FanDuel)

Both Kelly Olynyk and Bam Adebayo are locked-in options tonight given Miami’s injury situation up front. That said, Olynyk is dramatically cheaper on FanDuel. The former Celtic is averaging a modest 10 PPG and 5.8 RPG over his last five appearances but should be forced into playing big minutes with Josh Richardson (heel) and Justise Winslow (thigh) out. Derrick Jones Jr. (personal) is also questionable. Olynyk sees a slight uptick in usage rate (to 20%) when those players are off the floor, and he’s flashed upside in the right matchups. Boston is the type of team that would necessitate Olynyk playing more minutes alongside Adebayo. That’s because the Celtics often use Jayson Tatum as a new-age PF and could play Al Horford (knee) limited minutes tonight.

Jonah Bolden @ DAL ($4.5k DraftKings, $4.5k FanDuel)

Several Sixers are in line to step up with Joel Embiid (rest) on the shelf over the next couple of games. While Jonah Bolden clearly doesn’t have the same upside as Tobias Harris, Jimmy Butler, or Ben Simmons, he can provide a nice floor-ceiling combination as a value play. The 6-foot-10 UCLA product went for 19 points, 8 rebounds, 3 assists, and 3 blocks over 31 minutes in a start for Embiid on Saturday. After holding his own against Karl-Anthony Towns and the T-Wolves, Bolden should be primed to capitalize on a matchup against the Mavs. After all, Dallas coughs up the sixth-most FPPG (49.64) to centers over the last 14 days. Bolden is averaging 12 points, 9.4 rebounds, 2.3 assists, and 3.5 STL/BLK per 36 minutes this year and is an even better value play on FanDuel due to his defensive prowess.

Other forwards to consider: Pascal Siakam, Tobias Harris, Bojan Bogdanovic, Bam Adebayo, Al-Farouq Aminu, Pat Connaughton, Dragan Bender, Luke Kornet, Richaun Holmes, Bonzie Colson

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Best Centers for April 1, 2019

Andre Drummond @ IND ($9.7k DraftKings, $10.7k FanDuel)

Blake Griffin (knee) is expected to miss tonight’s tilt in Indiana. That means Andre Drummond will have to step up in a big way if Detroit wants to earn a key road win. Drummond sees a 3.3% increase in usage rate (to 26.2%) and averages 0.12 more FPs per minute (1.26) when Griffin is off the floor. He averages a ridiculous 0.52 rebounds per minute under those circumstances, and the Pacers yield 43.6 RPG at home this season. While Indiana is a tough defensive team with good DvP numbers against centers, they’ve had few answers for Drummond. The Pistons center is averaging 19 PPG, 14 RPG, and 3 BPG over two meetings with Indiana this season and 17.3 PPG and 16.8 RPG over four meetings with the Pacers last year. Drummond has more upside than Towns with a ceiling of 72.7 DK points according to models on FantasyLabs.

Enes Kanter @ MIN ($6.6k DraftKings, $6.4k FanDuel)

Karl-Anthony Towns has been a monster for Minnesota lately. But even the Timberwolves’ Iron Man can slow down at times. Due in part to his increased workload on offense, Towns and his T-Wolves are allowing the eighth-most FPPG (47.2) and fifth-most RPG (15.94) to centers over the last 14 days. In turn, expect Enes Kanter to be a huge part of the game plan for Portland. They’ll look to wear Townes down or get him in foul trouble. Kanter is coming off a 20-point, 15-rebound performance against the Pistons on Saturday. And he now owns a 23% usage rate to go along with a 23.6% defensive rebounding rate since joining the Blazers. He’s averaging 20.4 points per 36 minutes with his new team and is in line to get that type of run with Jusuf Nurkic (leg) done for the season.

Other centers to consider: Karl-Anthony Towns, Rudy Gobert, Mitchell Robinson, Dwight Powell

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