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DraftKings FanDuel MLB Picks

We have a nine-game MLB DFS slate on Sunday, 3/31/19 beginning at 1:05 p.m EDT on DraftKings and an afternoon five-game slate beginning at 4:05pm EDT. There is also a 15-game all-day slate on FanDuel. Below is a list of our best pitchers, hitters, and stacks to target (Three Up) and fade (Three Down) in MLB DFS contests. Note that some of these plays are recommended for Cash and some are best reserved for GPP lineups on DraftKings and FanDuel.

Please note the advice below is relevant for daily fantasy purposes. A player or team might be better or worse from a fantasy perspective than in real life due to matchup, price, and lots of other factors. This is important to consider when constructing a roster. Remember that more than in other sports, variance is a huge part of baseball. Even Mike Trout can go 0-for-4 on a given night, and Max Scherzer can get lit up by a weak team.

Weather can also play a huge role in MLB DFS on a nightly basis, and lineups are constantly shifting. So always, always check the starting lineups and weather reports when playing for an MLB slate. If a game gets rained out, your player gets zero points!

BEST MLB DFS TOURNAMENTS FOR 3/31

Rally Cap: $8 entry, $150k guaranteed (DraftKings) – $25K to 1st!
Sunday Nifty Fifty-Five: $55 entry, $300k guaranteed (DraftKings)- $100K to 1st!
Sun. Squeeze: $4.44 entry, $125k guaranteed (FanDuel) – $25K to 1st!
Sun. Grand Slam: $44 entry, $125K guaranteed (FanDuel)- $25K to 1st!

Three Up for March 31, 2019

Best Pitcher

Walker Buehler vs. ARI ($10.1k DraftKings, $9.7k FanDuel)

Buehler dominated the Diamondbacks last season to the tune of a 2.19 ERA, .150 BAA and 14 strikeouts across 12.1 innings over two starts. He was also a shutdown pitcher at home, as evidenced by a 1.93 ERA, 84:16 K:BB, .172 BAA, .228 wOBA, 29.3 percent strikeout rate and 0.83 WHIP across 74.2 innings.

Then, Arizona is a less potent lineup this season without Paul Goldschmidt. Additionally, they were already a poor offensive team against right-handed pitching on the road in 2018 when Goldy was in the heart of the order. The D-Backs generated a .299 wOBA, 85 wRC+, -28.0 wRAA, along with a 24.5 percent strikeout rate versus righty arms outside of their home park.

Buehler finished 2018 on a stellar note as well, posting a 2.03 ERA, .229 wOBA and .164 BAA over 80 second-half innings. He then followed up with a solid spring and lines up as an excellent cash or GPP option.

Other pitchers to consider: Carlos Carrasco, J.A. Happ, Patrick Corbin, Michael Wacha, Jeff Samardzija

Best Hitter

Anthony Rizzo @ TEX ($4.8k DraftKings, $4.5k FanDuel)

Rangers starter Lance Lynn has struggled against left-handed hitters in recent seasons, and Rizzo has certainly been an example of such. The slugger owns a career .353/.500/.676 line over 43 plate appearances against Lynn, numbers that are partly comprised of seven extra-base hits and nine RBI. Then, Lynn allowed a .366 wOBA, 5.10 xFIP, 24.1 percent line-drive rate and 36.6 percent hard-contact rate to the 309 left-handed hitters he faced last season.

Rizzo countered with a .295 average, 21 home runs, .378 wOBA, .211 ISO, 24.4 percent line-drive rate and 34.8 percent hard-contact rate versus right-handed pitching last season. He also happens to thrive against Lynn’s two most frequently thrown pitches last season, the four-seam fastball and sinker. Rizzo generated a .362 wOBA versus the four-seam and a .476 wOBA against the sinker, pitches that Lynn allowed .349 and .364 wOBAs on, respectively.

Other hitters to consider: Christian Yelich, Aaron Judge, Giancarlo Stanton, Avisail Garcia, Trea Turner, Ryan Zimmerman, Kyle Schwarber

Best Stack

Cubs vs. Lance Lynn (RHP, TEX) 

As just outlined, Lynn can be had by lefty hitters, and in addition to Rizzo, the veteran right-hander is likely to see Kyle Schwarber, Jason Heyward and the switch-hitting Ben Zobrist on Sunday. Lynn posted a career-high 4.77 ERA and 1.53 WHIP last season with the Twins and Yankees, and he also stranded a career-low 69.3 percent of hitters.

Moreover, Lynn allowed more hard contact than at any other point in his career last season (35.4 percent). The Cubs also teed off on right-handed pitching for a .324 wOBA and 363 extra-base hits (201 doubles, 29 triples, 133 homers) in 2018, and Lynn gave up seven earned runs on five hits and three walks over just 1.2 innings in his one 2018 run-in with the Cubs.

Other stacks to consider: Yankees vs. Dylan Bundy (Orioles), Nationals vs. Zach Wheeler (Mets), Athletics vs. Tyler Skaggs (Angels)

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Three Down for March 31, 2019

Pitcher To Fade

Dylan Bundy at Yankees ($6.5k DraftKings, $6.8k FanDuel)

Bundy was touched up by the Yankees for a 9.00 ERA over nine innings across two starts last season, and his problems versus New York stretch beyond just 2018. In fact, Bundy has allowed a 6.18 ERA over 39.1 innings across nine appearances (seven starts) in the last three seasons versus New York. Then, the Orioles right-hander has generated a 7.20 ERA and .293 BAA in 10 Yankee Stadium frames over that span.

Bundy also particularly struggled on the road last season. He allowed a 5.64 ERA, a .370 wOBA, 41 extra-base hits, a 2.28 HR/9 and a 5.37 FIP while surrendering 38.0 percent hard contact over 75 road frames. Given the Yanks’ seemingly endless supply of sluggers, Bundy could well be in trouble early and often Sunday.

Hitter To Fade

Wil Myers vs. SF ($4.7k DraftKings, $3.6k FanDuel)

Myers has not enjoyed facing Giants starter Jeff Samardzija over his career. The Padres slugger owns a .136/.208/.136 line against the veteran right-hander over 25 plate appearances, a sample that includes eight strikeouts. The Padres-Giants tilt will unfold in pitcher-friendly Petco Park as well, which Samardzija has made a second home over the last three seasons. He boasts a 3-1 record, 3.09 ERA, .189 BAA and sparkling 34:4 K:BB over 35 frames there during that stretch.

It’s also worth noting Myers struggled against righties all of last season at Petco. That much was evidenced by his .277 wOBA and massive 31.2 percent strikeout rate against that handedness in his home park.

Stack To Fade

Orioles @ NYY (LHP J.A. Happ)

Not only does Orioles starter Dylan Bundy have a tough assignment against Yankees bats, but he’s also likely to get meager run support from his offense. That’s because Happ has enjoyed considerable success against Baltimore in recent seasons. The veteran southpaw stymied the O’s for a 1.55 ERA, .196 BAA and 37:8 K:BB over 29 innings over five 2018 starts.

Zooming out over the last three seasons overall, Happ boasts a 5-3 record, 2.55 ERA, .217 BAA and 70:15 K:BB over 67 innings across 11 starts against Baltimore. And, Happ truly thrives on the Yankee Stadium mound. The southpaw owns a perfect 7-0 mark with a 2.77 ERA and a .217 BAA there over the last three seasons in a 10-start sample.

Finally, no team was weaker versus lefties on the road last season than the Orioles — they posted an MLB-worst .268 wOBA and 66 wRC+ versus that handedness when traveling, along with a 24.8 percent strikeout rate.

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