Please note the advice below is relevant for daily fantasy purposes. A player or team might be better or worse from a fantasy perspective than in real life due to matchup, price and lots of other factors. This is important to consider when constructing a roster.
Injuries play a huge role in NBA DFS on a nightly basis. Value plays on the various daily fantasy sites can arise at a moment’s notice so always, always check the starting lineups and injury news right before tipoff.
The Full Roster contests on FanDuel (FD) include a new scoring system in which the lowest score of the nine selected players is dropped, allowing users to take more risks with a punt play or two. Then, DraftKings (DK) has brought back its late swap for NBA contests.
3/16/19 NBA DFS TOURNAMENT PICKS
Saturday Special: $15 entry, $400k guaranteed (DraftKings)- $100K to 1st!
Spin Move: $44 entry, $50k guaranteed (DraftKings)- $10K to 1st!
Sat. Shot: $15 entry, $300k guaranteed (FanDuel) – $100K to 1st!
Sat. Slam: $77 entry, $100k guaranteed (FanDuel) – $20K to 1st!
NBA DFS Best Picks & Plays for March 16, 2019
Best DFS Guards for March 16, 2019
Stephen Curry at OKC ($9.2k DraftKings, $9.3k FanDuel)
Kevin Durant remains questionable for Saturday’s game due to his ankle issue. That potential absence puts Curry firmly in the spotlight. The superstar PG sports a massive 36.1 percent usage rate and is averaging 1.44 DK/1.31 FD points per minute without his fellow star on the floor this season. Curry also excelled during his one prior meeting with the Thunder, racking up 58.5 DK/55.1 FD points on Opening Night. The Thunder rank in the top half of the league in most categories versus PGs, but Curry transcends matchup, especially if he’s forced to take on even more responsibility.
Mike Conley at WAS ($7.9k DraftKings, $8.9k FanDuel)
Conley draws one of the best matchups in the NBA for point guards. The Wizards have allowed bottom-five figures in both DK (50.5) and FD (48.8) points per game to ones. They’re similarly ranked in points (25.1), assists (9.1), and made threes (2.8) per game surrendered to PGs, along with offensive efficiency rating (26.7). Conley racked up over 35 FPs on both sites in his one prior meeting with the Wizards as well. Plus, Washington brings a nice bump in pace for the normally deliberate Grizzlies. The Wizards are generating the fifth-most possessions per game (106.3), including 106.7 at home. Conley has scored over 45 FPs on both sites in three straight. The matchup Saturday should facilitate more of the same.
Frank Jackson vs. PHO ($4.8k DraftKings, $5k FanDuel)
Jackson continues to draw starts in place of Jrue Holiday (abdomen). The emerging guard has scored over 20 FPs on both sites in four of the last five, including one tally over 30. Those returns make his Saturday prices particularly appealing. The Suns set up as an enticing matchup. Phoenix is allowing over 40 FPs per game on both sites to SGs. They’re also surrendering the highest shooting percentage (46.8) and offensive efficiency rating (25.1) to twos. Jackson has shot an impressive 57.1 percent in two prior games versus the Suns this season. He should be in for another 30-minute-plus workload Saturday.
Other guards to consider: Russell Westbrook, Luka Doncic, Damian Lillard, Donovan Mitchell, DeMar DeRozan, Bradley Beal, Devin Booker, Collin Sexton, C.J. McCollum
Best DFS Forwards for March 16, 2019
Paul George vs. GS ($9.7k DraftKings, $10.2k FanDuel)
George is averaging over 45 FPs in two prior games against the Warriors this season. He may not have to worry about dealing with Kevin Durant (ankle) on Saturday, either. Golden State already comes in allowing plenty of production to small forwards anyhow. The Warriors are yielding the fourth-most DK (42.8) and sixth-most FD (42.0) per game to threes, along with the most points (23.0) and most made threes (3.2) to the position. George is shooting a stellar 44.3 percent from three-point range at home. Plus, he just racked up over 55 in a very tough matchup against the Pacers in his most recent contest Thursday.
LaMarcus Aldridge vs. POR ($8.4k DraftKings, $9.2k FanDuel)
Aldridge faces his old squad Saturday, a team against which he’s already averaged over 35 FPs on both sites over three prior games. The former Blazer big man was on a torrid stretch prior to a solid 18-point, 11-rebound double-double against the Knicks on Friday over just 27 minutes. Aldridge had scored over 22 points in seven straight, a sample that included three double-doubles. The Blazers make for an appealing matchup, considering they’ve allowed a bottom-10 offensive efficiency rating to PFs (25.5) and over 45 FPs per game on both sites to the position. Aldridge logs nearly half his scoring (47.9 percent) in the paint. That’s largely where Julius Randle bullied Portland for 45 points and 11 rebounds just last night.
Derrick Favors vs. BKN ($5.6k DraftKings, $6.5k FanDuel)
Favors’ prices continue to be very reasonably priced for a player with his upside. Most recently, the veteran has scored over 38 FPs on both sites in two straight. He’s also eclipsed the 30-mark on three other occasions and 50 in another instance over his last 10 games. He scored 24 DK points in 24 minutes in his one prior meeting against Brooklyn this season. And the Nets come in allowing over 48.4 DK/46.9 FD points per game to fours. They also yield the sixth-highest offensive efficiency rating to PFs (26.0) and the seventh highest in the paint (60.4). In turn, Favors makes most of his offensive living near the basket, logging 71.4 percent of his scoring there.
Other forwards to consider: Anthony Davis, Julius Randle, Trevor Ariza, Kelly Oubre, Jr., Cedi Osman, Paul Millsap, Bojan Bogdanovic, Thaddeus Young
Best DFS Centers for March 16, 2019
Rudy Gobert vs. BKN ($8k DraftKings, $9.4k FanDuel)
On the subject of the Nets’ vulnerability down low, Gobert checks in as one of the top options if you’re spending up at center Saturday. The “Stifle Tower” already eviscerated the Nets for over 55 FPs on both sites in their one prior meeting this season. The Nets have yielded the third-most DK (61.3) and FD (60.7) points per game to centers, as well as bottom-five or bottom-10 figures in every major category except steals. To top it off, Brooklyn yields the fifth-most points in the paint per game (51.0), while Gobert is generating nearly three-quarters of his points (73.6 percent) there. Then, the Nets’ pedestrian 44.0 road shooting percentage should afford Gobert even more opportunities than usual on the defensive glass.
Deandre Ayton at NO ($6.3k DraftKings, $7.3k FanDuel)
Ayton has been impressively consistent and productive throughout his rookie season. The 2018 top overall pick has been a better shooter on the road (59.1) and averaged over 35 FPs on both sites across just 30 minutes in two previous games against the Pels this season. New Orleans still ranks as a bottom-10 team in fantasy points (58.5 DK/58.2 FD) and offensive efficiency rating (35.8) allowed to centers. Plus, New Orleans is surrendering the sixth-most rebounds to the position (16.7), while Ayton is pulling down an impressive 10.4 boards per road tilt. Considering the Pelicans also yield the seventh-highest offensive efficiency in the paint (60.4), the rookie becomes an even more appealing play.
Joakim Noah at WAS ($5.2k DraftKings, $5k FanDuel)
Noah continues to deliver in his bench role, most recently rattling off 33.5 DK/35.1 FD points against the Hawks. The veteran had also eclipsed 30 FPs on both sites in six other games over the last nine. Those are all excellent returns on his current prices. Then, his matchup Saturday could hardly be better. The Wizards are allowing the most DK (51.9) and second-most FD (49.3) per game to fours. They’re also yielding bottom-10 figures in fantasy points per game to centers on both sites, and they surrender the highest offensive efficiency rating (64.4) in the paint. With Noah likely to see time at both positions and doing most of his scoring down low, he becomes one of the best potential dollar-for-dollar value plays Saturday.
Other centers to consider: Nikola Jokic, Jusuf Nurkic, DeMarcus Cousins, Steven Adams, Myles Turner, Jonas Valanciunas