Please note the advice below is relevant for daily fantasy purposes. A player or team might be better or worse from a fantasy perspective than in real life due to matchup, price and lots of other factors. This is important to consider when constructing a roster.
Injuries play a huge role in NBA DFS on a nightly basis. Value plays on the various daily fantasy sites can arise at a moment’s notice so always, always check the starting lineups and injury news right before tipoff.
The Full Roster contests on FanDuel (FD) include a new scoring system in which the lowest score of the nine selected players is dropped, allowing users to take more risks with a punt play or two. Then, DraftKings (DK) has brought back its late swap for NBA contests.
3/9/19 NBA DFS TOURNAMENT PICKS
Saturday Special: $15 entry, $400k guaranteed (DraftKings)- $100K to 1st!
Spin Move: $44 entry, $70k guaranteed (DraftKings)- $10K to 1st!
Sat. Shot: $9.99 entry, $300k guaranteed (FanDuel) – $100K to 1st!
Sat. Slam: $66 entry, $100k guaranteed (FanDuel) – $20K to 1st!
NBA DFS Best Picks & Plays for March 9, 2019
Best DFS Guards for March 9, 2019
Damian Lillard at PHO ($8.8k DraftKings, $10.3k FanDuel)
Lillard is fresh off a jaw-dropping 70-plus fantasy-point effort on both sites Thursday versus the Thunder. Plus, he’s averaging well over 40 FPs in two prior games against the Suns on 50.0 percent overall shooting and a 50.0 percent success rate from three-point range. Phoenix comes in allowing bottom-10 figures in DK points (49.4), FD points (48.4) and points (24.1) to PGs. That’s along with the fifth-highest offensive efficiency rating (26.4) to the position. Finally, the Suns are yielding the fourth-highest three-point percentage (36.7) overall while Lillard is taking 7.9 threes per game and draining them at 36.6 percent.
D’Angelo Russell at ATL ($8.1k DraftKings, $9.1k FanDuel)
Russell is already averaging over 45 FPs on both sites against the Hawks this season. He drained an impressive 61.5 percent of his attempts against Atlanta in the process. The Hawks have been generous to PGs all season and allow the most DK (51.8) and FD (51.3) points per game to the position. They’re also yielding bottom-five or bottom-10 figures in points (25.1), assists (8.9), made threes (2.8), and steals (2.1) per contest to ones. And don’t forget the second-highest shooting percentage (47.5) and the highest offensive efficiency rating (29.5). It’s also worth noting Russell has been a sharper shooter on the road — 44.5 FG percentage and 39.0 from distance.
Tomas Satoransky at MIN ($5.6k DraftKings, $6.3k FanDuel)
Satoransky is priced very reasonably for a player who’s flashed a ceiling north of 40 fantasy points on multiple occasions this season. The emerging point guard generated one such performance in his most recent game against the Mavs, totaling 44.5 DK/43.1 FD points. He also shot a blistering 75.0 percent against this same T-Wolves squad two games ago. Minnesota has allowed the most assists per game (9.4) to point guards, along with the highest three-point percentage (37.4) overall. In turn, Satoransky has logged double-digit dimes in two of his last five games and is shooting an impressive 42.0 percent from distance in the Wizards’ fast-paced attack.
Other guards to consider: Kyrie Irving, Bradley Beal, Devin Booker, Trae Young, Rajon Rondo, Eric Bledsoe, Jeff Teague
Best DFS Forwards for March 9, 2019
Giannis Antetokounmpo vs. CHA ($11.3k DraftKings, $12.1k FanDuel)
Not much needs to be said to justify drafting “The Greek Freak.” He’s averaging 57.1 DK and 55.7 FD points per contest on the season. Moreover, Antetokounmpo has averaged over 60 FPs on both sites in three prior games against the Hornets this season. Charlotte is ill-equipped to defend Giannis down low with the likes of Marvin Williams and Cody Zeller. The Hornets come in allowing the sixth-most DK (49.2) and eighth-most FD (47.6) points per game to PFs. They’ve also surrendered bottom-10 figures in rebounds (11.7) and assists (4.2) per game to fours, along with the fifth-highest offensive efficiency rating (26.2). Then, the recent spike in points in the paint allowed per game Charlotte has experienced (56.0 over their last three, compared to 49.3 for the season) could also serve Antetokounmpo well. He’s logging 64.9 percent of his scoring in that part of the floor.
John Collins vs. BKN ($7.2k DraftKings, $7.9k FanDuel)
Collins jumped back into action versus the Spurs on Wednesday, totaling 34.5 DK/32 FD points over 25 minutes after missing the previous three games due to illness. He’s had an extra couple of days to recover and will face a Nets team he’s already touched up for a 45.0 FP average in two previous games this season. Brooklyn has been susceptible to power forwards and scoring in the paint all season. The Nets allow 48.0 DK and 46.5 FD points per game to fours. Then, they’re yielding the sixth-most points in the paint per game (51.3) and a bottom-10 offensive efficiency rating (60.6) in that part of the floor. Collins is capable of capitalizing, as he’s logged an average of 12.7 points in the paint per game, 65.3 percent of his scoring.
Frank Kaminsky at MIL ($4.4k DraftKings, $4.4k FanDuel)
After being kept in mothballs for a significant chunk of the season, a refreshed Kaminsky has been given extended run in three of the past four games. He’s produced handsomely. The fourth-year big scored over 25 DK points and over 21 FD points in each of those contests. That’s despite playing no more than 28 minutes in any of them. While he did see his playing time drop to 15 minutes Friday versus the Wizards, his price relative to recent production is such that he’s still worth a shot in GPPs if you need to save at the position. The Bucks have been middle-of-the-pack against PFs with 47.9 DK and 45.7 FD points allowed per game. Then, they’re tied with the Hawks for second-most made threes (2.5) yielded to the position per contest. Kaminsky is draining a career-best 39.0 percent from three.
Other forwards to consider: LeBron James, Khris Middleton, Kelly Oubre, Jr., Jayson Tatum, Jeremy Lamb, Bobby Portis, Taj Gibson
Best DFS Centers for March 9, 2019
Karl-Anthony Towns at WAS ($10.4k DraftKings, $11.6k FanDuel)
Towns tallied 55.5 DK/52.5 FD points versus this same Wizards squad three games ago. Washington has been vulnerable to centers throughout the season and allows over 57 fantasy points per game to the position on both sites. The Wizards are also yielding a bottom-10 offensive efficiency rating (35.2) and the second-highest shooting percentage (58.3) to centers. All those metrics spell trouble against Towns. He boasts a stellar 26.7 Player Efficiency Rating (PER), is shooting 52.2 percent for the season, and averages nearly 12.0 points per game in the paint.
Jusuf Nurkic vs. PHO ($7k DraftKings, $9k FanDuel)
Nurkic has scored over 40 FPs on both sites in two of the last three games. Moreover, he faces one of the most enticing NBA matchups for centers. Phoenix is yielding bottom-five or bottom-10 figures to centers in multiple categories, including fantasy points (over 61 per game allowed to fives on both sites). Additionally, no team has yielded more points in the paint per game (52.8) than the Suns. In turn, Nurkic is scoring 66.7 percent of his points in that part of the court. The much-improved Portland starter sports a robust 23.2 percent usage rate as well and is shooting a solid 52.2 percent at home.
Brook Lopez vs. CHA ($5.4k DraftKings, $6.2k FanDuel)
The floor-spacing Lopez has been sharp in three prior meetings against the Hornets this season, draining 56.5 percent of his attempts, including 38.5 percent of his tries from distance. He’s also scored at least 30 DK and FD points in five of his last seven. The Hornets have been generous to fives all season while allowing 57.6 DK/57.8 FD points per game to the position, along with a bottom-10 figure in rebounds (16.6) and the most blocks (2.9). The latter figure is particularly noteworthy in Lopez’s case. He’s averaging a career-high 2.4 rejections.
Other centers to consider: Al Horford, Deandre Ayton, Alex Len, Jarrett Allen