NBA DFS

The NBA DFS season rolls on Saturday, March 2, 2019, and we’ve got our best picks for your DraftKings and FanDuel lineups for tonight.

Please note the advice below is relevant for daily fantasy purposes. A player or team might be better or worse from a fantasy perspective than in real life due to matchup, price and lots of other factors. This is important to consider when constructing a roster.

Injuries play a huge role in NBA DFS on a nightly basis. Value plays on the various daily fantasy sites can arise at a moment’s notice so always, always check the starting lineups and injury news right before tipoff.

The Full Roster contests on FanDuel (FD) include a new scoring system in which the lowest score of the nine selected players is dropped, allowing users to take more risks with a punt play or two. Then, DraftKings (DK) has brought back its late swap for NBA contests.

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3/2/19 NBA DFS TOURNAMENT PICKS

Sat. Night Special: $15 entry, $400k guaranteed (DraftKings)- $100K to 1st!
Mid-Range Jumper: $44 entry, $30k guaranteed (DraftKings)- $5K to 1st!
Sat. Shot: $9.99 entry, $300k guaranteed (FanDuel) – $100K to 1st!
Sat Slam: $77 entry, $100k guaranteed (FanDuel) – $20K to 1st!

NBA DFS Best Picks & Plays for March 2, 2019

Best DFS Guards for March 2, 2019

Russell Westbrook at SA ($11.5k DraftKings, $11.7k FanDuel)

Paul George (shoulder) has already been ruled out for Saturday’s game. That enhances Westbrook’s already astronomical appeal even further. Westbrook boasts a 36.7 percent usage rate and is averaging 1.62 DK/1.59 FD points per minute without George on the floor this season. Furthermore, “Westy” is averaging over 65 FPs on both sites in two games versus the Spurs this season. Then, San Antonio is allowing 47.5 DK/46.8 FD points per game to PGs, along with the sixth-highest efficiency rating (27.3) to the position. Westbrook has been carrying a 60-fantasy-point floor recently; that could well rise significantly given his expected usage Saturday.

Mike Conley at DAL ($7.5k DraftKings, $8k FanDuel)

Conley sports a 29.7 percent usage rate and is averaging 1.20 DK/1.19 FD points per minute since Marc Gasol was traded to the Raptors. He’s also posted 50.8 DK/47.5 FD points across 35 minutes in his one prior encounter with the Mavericks this season. Dallas has been vulnerable to point guards all season and comes in allowing bottom-10 figures in DK points (48.2) and FD points (47.8) per game to ones. The Mavs are also yielding the sixth-most made threes (2.8) and fifth-most steals (1.9) per game to PGs. In turn, Conley is taking a robust 6.1 three-point attempts per contest and draining them at a 35.2 percent clip. He’s also averaging 1.4 steals per game, his best showing in that category since 2013-14.

Justise Winslow vs. BKN ($5k DraftKings, $6.3k FanDuel)

Goran Dragic (calf) is already listed as questionable for Saturday’s contest. An absence by the veteran would thrust Winslow right back into a full allotment of minutes as the starting point guard. Winslow still logged 31 minutes apiece in the last two games with Dragic in the lineup. Therefore, he remains in play at his prices even if Dragic does suit up. Then, the Nets came into Friday night’s action allowing 45.1 DK/44.5 FD points per game to PGs. They also bring a nice bump in pace for the Heat. Brooklyn is averaging 105.4 possessions per contest, the 10th-highest figure in the NBA. It’s also worth noting Winslow sports a 23.1 percent usage rate without Dragic on the floor this season, a number to keep in mind should the latter ultimately sit.

Other guards to consider: Luka Doncic, Stephen Curry, Ben Simmons, D’Angelo Russell, Devin Booker, Donovan Mitchell, Jrue Holiday, DeMar DeRozan

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Best DFS Forwards for March 2, 2019

LeBron James at PHO ($11.4k DraftKings, $12.3k FanDuel)

“The King” has weathered up-and-down games and a barrage of criticism this week. He racked up 64.0 DK/62.2 FD points versus the Pelicans on Wednesday and performed just as well in a Friday night loss to the Bucks. The Suns come into Saturday’s contest allowing 48.6 DK/47.4 FD points per game to power forwards. Phoenix is also allowing the third-most assists (4.0) and fifth-most steals (1.6) per game to fours, along with the sixth-highest shooting percentage (50.2) to the position. Those vulnerabilities give James even more paths to success. And it’s also worth noting the Suns allow the most points in the paint (52.8). LeBron counters by logging nearly half (48.7 percent) of his scoring in that part of the floor. At 30-32, the Lakers won’t discount this seemingly easy win.

LaMarcus Aldridge vs. OKC ($7.7k DraftKings, $8.3k FanDuel)

Aldridge is averaging 56.8 DK/57.6 FD points in two games versus the Thunder and has been a 53.1 percent shooter on his home floor of AT&T Center this season. His success against OKC isn’t exactly surprising when considering the Thunder allows bottom-10 figures in DK points (49.0), FD points (47.2), points (23.3) and offensive efficiency rating (25.9) per game to power forwards. They’re also just outside that designation in shooting percentage allowed (49.6). Then, Aldridge has scored over 35 DK points in seven of the last 10 games, a sample that includes three tallies of more than 40. Aldridge is also sporting a 28.0 percent usage rate and averaging 1.07 DK/1.10 FD points per game with Pau Gasol off the floor this season, and the latter was just bought out by the Spurs.

Terrence Ross at IND ($5k DraftKings, $5.3k FanDuel)

Ross is averaging career highs in multiple categories and has become a rock-solid source of offense off the bench for the Magic. The veteran is averaging just under 25 FPs on both sites for the season. What’s more, he’s eclipsed 30 FPs on four occasions over the last 10 games on DK and thrice over that span on FD. While he’s prone to an occasional clunker, his very reasonable prices more than account for that relatively infrequent occurrence. Ross is also averaging 30.5 DK/30.9 FD points in two games against the Pacers this season. Additionally, Magic starting two-guard Evan Fournier is questionable for Saturday’s game with an illness. His potential absence makes Ross all the more appealing. Finally, it’s worth noting Indiana is naturally more vulnerable defending shooting guards in the absence of Victor Oladipo (knee), and they’re now allowing 41.2 DK/40.2 FD points per contest to the position.

Other forwards to consider: Giannis Antetokounmpo, Kevin Durant, Julius Randle, Tobias Harris, Paul Millsap, Aaron Gordon, Kyle Kuzma

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Best DFS Centers for March 2, 2019

Nikola Jokic vs. NO ($10.2k DraftKings, $11.1k FanDuel)

Even in a tough matchup versus the Rudy Gobert and the Jazz in his most recent game, Jokic still managed to total 41.8 DK/37.1 FD. Those figures were actually his lowest of the last five games, a testament to how productive the big man has been. Jokic has given the Pelicans fits this season as well. He’s averaging 54.3 DK/52.8 FD points over three games against New Orleans while shooting 50.0 percent. The Pels are allowing 57.8 DK/57.3 FD points per game to fives, along with 54.6 percent shooting. They’re also tied with multiple teams for the sixth-highest offensive efficiency rating (35.0) allowed to centers, and they’re yielding the third-most points in the paint per game (64.0) over the last three. Jokic is scoring just under 57 percent of his points in that part of the floor and is also well-equipped to take capitalize on the significant bump in pace the Pelicans will bring (106.0 possessions per road game, sixth highest in the NBA).

Deandre Ayton vs. LAL ($7.1k DraftKings, $7.6k FanDuel)

Ayton has enjoyed his two prior run-ins with the Lakers this season, as he’s averaged 38.1 DK/37.9 FD points versus Los Angeles. The rookie will be poised to capitalize on Los Angeles’ season-long weakness against fives, one that’s exemplified by the fact they’re allowing the fourth-most DK (60.0) and FD (59.1) points per game to centers. Los Angeles also allows the fourth-most points (25.4), third-most rebounds (17.1) and third-highest offensive efficiency rating (35.6) to the position. Plus, they’re surrendering the fifth-most points in the paint (51.0) per contest. Ayton is amply capable of exploiting all of those weaknesses, especially considering he’s logging 72.1 percent of his points near the basket.

Jakob Poeltl vs. OKC ($3.6k DraftKings, $4.6k FanDuel)   

Poeltl drew the spot start Wednesday versus the Pistons and tallied 37.5 DK/38.3 FD points across 34 minutes. Pau Gasol is headed to Milwaukee, which should leave Poeltl with more playing time than the 15.2 minutes he’s been averaging thus far. The Thunder are only about league average versus centers, allowing 53.8 DK/52.8 FD per game to fives. OKC is also yielding the fifth-highest shooting percentage (55.7) to centers and yielding a bottom-10 figure in points in the paint per game (49.8). Poeltl is capable of capitalizing on both weaknesses: he’s shooting 63.4 percent and logging 83.2 percent of his scoring near the basket.

Other centers to consider: Nikola Vucevic, DeMarcus Cousins, Rudy Gobert, Jonas Valanciunas, Steven Adams, Bam Adebayo, JaVale McGee

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