Please note the advice below is relevant for daily fantasy purposes. A player or team might be better or worse from a fantasy perspective than in real life due to matchup, price, and lots of other factors. This is important to consider when constructing a roster.
Injuries play a huge role in NBA DFS on a nightly basis. Value plays on the various daily fantasy sites can arise at a moment’s notice, so always, always check the starting lineups and injury news right before tipoff.
The Full Roster contests on FanDuel include a new scoring system in which the lowest score of the nine selected players is dropped, allowing users to take more risks with a punt play or two. Then, DraftKings has brought back its late swap for NBA contests.
3/1/19 NBA DFS TOURNAMENT PICKS
Fadeaway: $15 entry, $400k guaranteed (DraftKings) – $100,000 to 1st!
Four Point Play: $4 entry, $100k guaranteed (DraftKings)
Shot: $15 entry, $333k guaranteed (FanDuel) – $100,000 to 1st!
Shot (Streak Eligible): $4.44 entry, $150k guaranteed (FanDuel)
NBA DFS Top Plays for March 1, 2019
Best Guards for March 1, 2019
Zach LaVine @ ATL ($7.7k DraftKings, $8.3k FanDuel)
Along with young teammate Lauri Markkanen, Zach LaVine flashed his incredible potential this week and last with a 42-point outing against the Celtics and a 30-point performance against the stingy Grizzlies. Tonight’s matchup is fantastic against a Hawks team that ranks second in pace and coughs up the most FTA (27.6) and most PPG (118.3) this season. LaVine averaged 25 PPG, 7.5 RPG, and 3.5 APG with a huge 35.2% usage rate over two meetings with the Hawks so far this season and has become more of a playmaker lately with a 27.1% assist rate over his last nine outings. Atlanta (-3) offers little resistance on the interior. LaVine is shooting a career-high 50.5% inside the arc. LaVine has a lofty projected ceiling of 57.1 DraftKings points tonight per models on FantasyLabs.
Eric Bledsoe @ LAL ($6.7k DraftKings, $7.2k FanDuel)
His price tag somehow barely increased after Eric Bledsoe dropped a triple-double in a 141-140 overtime win in Sacramento Wednesday. Bledsoe should definitely be worth the money in an even juicier matchup tonight, especially if Giannis Antetokounmpo (knee) remains restricted. Bledsoe has always been one of the best-conditioned guards in the league and should have no trouble handling increased usage as one of the focal points of Milwaukee’s second-ranked offense. He averages 1.53 FPs per minute (0.39) increase with a 4.7% increase in usage rate when Giannis is off the floor and sees a 7.1% increase in usage (to 30.2%) when Middleton also sits. Of course, the Lakers cough up the most FPPG (43.92) to PGs this season, and their defense is in shambles. The Lakers are giving up 121.2 PPG over their last 11 contests with LeBron James doing more finger-pointing than leading.
Tyler Johnson vs. NO ($5.0k DraftKings, $5.7k FanDuel)
The Suns snapped a 17-game losing streak on Monday when they edged the Heat 124-121. And they did it by playing team ball. They’ll have to do so again tonight if budding superstar Devin Booker (toe) is unable to play. Now, Tyler Johnson is shooting 38.5% from deep over six appearances with his new team and earning consistent playing time regardless of Booker’s status. The Suns would offer a number of values if Booker is out since New Orleans is sporting one of the worst defenses in the NBA with Anthony Davis only playing around 20 MPG since the break. The Pelicans yield 116.5 PPG, 27.1 APG, and 12.6 3PTM per game when playing on the road this season. Kelly Oubre Jr. ($6.2k, $7.3k) also stands out as a player with a chance to blow up in a high-scoring affair in Booker sits.
Other guards to consider: Kyrie Irving, D’Angelo Russell, Trae Young, Lou Williams, Khris Middleton, Elfrid Payton, Reggie Bullock, Marcus Smart
Best Forwards for March 1, 2019
LeBron James vs. MIL ($11.4k DraftKings, $12.4k FanDuel)
While his team continues to be weighed down with distractions, LeBron James is doing his best to follow up his claim to “activate” for a playoff push out of the ASB. He’s averaging 28.3 PPG, 9.3 RPG, and 9.8 APG while playing four more minutes per game (38.9) since the break. James is always matchup-proof, but the fact that Giannis Antetokounmpo could play 25 minutes or fewer tonight as he recovers from a sore knee would certainly make his life easier. Even with Giannis active, Milwaukee ranks 23rd in DvP against PFs over the last 14 days. James averaged 33.5 PPG on 57.5% FG shooting over four meetings with the Bucks last season. The Lakers (+4) are underdogs at home tonight, and LeBron is desperate for a win to preserve his playoff hopes.
Bobby Portis vs. BOS ($6.0k DraftKings, $6.7k FanDuel)
Bobby Portis has been somewhat inconsistent since joining the Wizards. Yet he’s established the type of per-dollar upside we seek in GPP formats. He may not be a popular mid-tier option tonight against a Celtics team that ranks fifth in defensive rating, but Boston is struggling on both ends right now and is vulnerable down low. The Celtics allow the second-highest FG shooting percentage (52.1) to PFs this season. Portis owns a 26.5% defensive rebounding rate and is averaging 15 PPG and 8.1 RPG over seven appearances since joining the Wizards. That rebounding ability will be key tonight since Boston averaged just 110.9 PPG and shot 46% from the floor while going 5-6 in February. Portis averaged 13.3 PPG on 52.4% FG shooting over four meetings with Boston last year and started in only one of those contests.
Bogdan Bogdanovic vs. LAC ($5.4k DraftKings, $6.4k FanDuel)
Sacramento went toe-to-toe with Milwaukee in an overtime thriller Wednesday. Buddy Hield carried his squad with a 31.7% usage rate. Yet Hield has struggled badly over three meetings with the Clippers this season, and new acquisition Harrison Barnes has been a bit timid (with a modest 15.4% usage rate) since joining the Kings. That leaves Bogdan Bogdanovic, who played a team-high 43 minutes Wednesday, to try and carry the Kings (-3.5) in a game with a projected total of 242 points.
On Wednesday, Bogdanovic dropped 28 points with a 127 offensive rating and seemed to break out of the shooting slump that caused his price tag to steadily decrease. He averages 1.04 FPs per minute with a 24.3% usage rate when Marvin Bagley (knee) is off the floor, and Bagley is doubtful tonight. This is a huge game for the Kings if they want to usurp the Clippers for the eighth and final playoff spot in the West.
Other forwards to consider: Kawhi Leonard, Lauri Markkanen, Kyle Kuzma, Jayson Tatum, Trevor Ariza, Harrison Barnes, Nikola Mirotic, Jabari Parker, Taurean Prince
Best Centers for March 1, 2019
Julius Randle @ PHO ($8.0k DraftKings, $8.8k FanDuel)
Everything the Pelicans do down the stretch is running through Julius Randle. (Anthony Davis is almost assuredly benched in crunch time.) The strong lefty is averaging 22.8 PPG with a 28.4% usage rate over his last nine appearances and has scored in double figures in a remarkable 32 straight outings. That streak should continue against the Suns’ 29th-rated defense tonight. Phoenix ranks 28th in opponents 2-point shooting percentage (54.4) and coughs up the third-most offensive RPG (11.4) this season. Randle went for 22 points and 15 rebounds in an easy 20-point win over the Suns in November but should be asked to do more with the Pelicans (-4) only slightly favored due to their recent dysfunction. Randle is the top-rated forward on DK in models on FantasyLabs with the potential for 5.9x salary returns.
Montrezl Harrell vs. SAC ($6.4k DraftKings, $6.9k FanDuel)
The Clippers’ interior defense remains porous with Ivica Zubac replacing turnstile Marcin Gortat as their starting center. When they struggle defensively, the Clips must turn to Montrezl Harrell off the bench to provide energy and the lateral quickness required in today’s NBA. Aside from a dud in a blowout loss to red-hot Denver, Harrell has produced double-digit points in 17 of his last 18 outings. After dropping 25 points over 29 minutes in a win over the Kings on Jan. 27, he’s now averaging 23.7 PPG on 77% FG shooting over three meetings with Sacramento. The Kings are back to leading the league in pace. They correspondingly give up the most RPG (48.6) this season. Harrell is projected for 36.1 FanDuel points tonight with the potential for 5.2x salary returns per FantasyLabs.
Brook Lopez @ LAL ($5.0k DraftKings, $6.2k FanDuel)
Neither of the centers mentioned above is eligible for the position on FanDuel, but Brook Lopez is a comparable mid-tier value on that site. Everything will change with the dynamic of the Bucks offense if Giannis Antetokounmpo remains on this minutes limit for multiple games. Even with Giannis healthy, Lopez is averaging 35.5 FD PPG over his last four appearances. The Lakers give up the second-most FPPG (49.57) to opposing centers this season. Plus, Lopez will be motivated to burn his former team. Nikola Mirotic ($4.8k, $5.8k) could also serve as a good value with upside if Giannis remains on a minutes limit.
Other centers to consider: Al Horford, John Collins, Cody Zeller, Willie Cauley-Stein