Please note the advice below is relevant for daily fantasy purposes. A player or team might be better or worse from a fantasy perspective than in real life due to matchup, price and lots of other factors. This is important to consider when constructing a roster.
Injuries play a huge role in NBA DFS on a nightly basis. Value plays on the various daily fantasy sites can arise at a moment’s notice so always, always check the starting lineups and injury news right before tipoff.
The Full Roster contests on FanDuel (FD) include a new scoring system in which the lowest score of the nine selected players is dropped, allowing users to take more risks with a punt play or two. Then, DraftKings (DK) has brought back its late swap for NBA contests.
2/27/19 NBA DFS TOURNAMENT PICKS
Mini Leap Million: $15 entry, $450k guaranteed (DraftKings)- $100K to 1st!
Medium Leap Million: $88 entry, $200k guaranteed (DraftKings)- $50K to 1st!
Wed. Shot: $15 entry, $333k guaranteed (FanDuel) – $100K to 1st!
Wed. Slam: $55 entry, $100k guaranteed (FanDuel) – $20K to 1st!
NBA DFS Best Picks & Plays for February 27, 2019
Best DFS Guards for February 27, 2019
James Harden at CHA ($11.2k DraftKings, $12k FanDuel)
Harden saw his streak of 30-point efforts snapped Monday night against the Hawks. Even so, he retains sky-high upside, especially versus a Hornets team that’s been vulnerable to shooting guards all season. Charlotte is allowing the fourth-most DK (44.1) and FD (43.3) points per game to SGs, along with the third-most assists (5.2) and sixth-most made threes (3.1). The Hornets are also allowing the highest shooting percentage (46.5) to SGs — including 37.8 percent from distance — and the fourth-highest offensive efficiency rating (24.6) to the position. Naturally, all those numbers spell potential trouble against the elite Harden.
D’Angelo Russell vs. WAS ($8.7k DraftKings, $9.1k FanDuel)
Russell continues to spearhead the Nets’ attack on most nights. That’s held true even with the recent returns of Caris LeVert and Allen Crabbe from injuries. The dynamic point guard is averaging just under 40 FPs on both sites for the season. Plus, he’s eclipsed 45 FPs on both in four of his last five contests. The Wizards have been a target for point guards all season. Washington is yielding bottom-five or bottom-10 figures in DK points (50.9), FD points (49.3), points (25.5), rebounds (6.4), assists (9.0), made threes (3.1), and offensive efficiency rating (27.6) to ones. Then, the Wizards continues to allow the highest three-point percentage (40.0) on the road in the NBA. In turn, Russell is taking a career-high 7.6 three-point attempts per game and draining them at a 37.2 percent clip.
Elfrid Payton at LAL ($5.2k DraftKings, $6.2k FanDuel)
Payton has battled through multiple injuries this season. However, he’s been productive whenever on the floor. Recent games serve as fitting examples. Payton has scored 38.25/38.5 DK points and 36.8/37.5 FD points in his last two contests. The first figure in each of those tallies came against the same Lakers squad he’ll face Wednesday. Los Angeles has been much more vulnerable versus point guards in Lonzo Ball’s extended absence. Although the Lakers check in about middle-of-the-pack in DK (46.3) and FD (45.4) points allowed per game to PGs for the season, they’re giving up the fifth-most DK and second-most FD points to the position over the last 10 games. Payton is also shooting a career-best 34.8 percent from three-point range. He could well see an uptick in usage Wednesday if Anthony Davis continues his abbreviated minutes.
Other guards to consider: Zach LaVine, Mike Conley, Jrue Holiday, De’Aaron Fox, Lou Williams, Eric Bledsoe, Brandon Ingram, Buddy Hield, Derrick Rose, Reggie Jackson, Tomas Satoransky, Dion Waiters, Eric Gordon, Kyle Huerter
Best DFS Forwards for February 27, 2019
LeBron James vs. NO ($11.1k DraftKings, $12k FanDuel)
James evoked plenty of controversy Monday with his perceived lack of effort and post-game comments. That could leave him especially focused in a favorable matchup Wednesday versus the floundering Pelicans, whom he just lit up for 64.75 DK/64.4 FD points two games ago. LeBron has shot an impressive 52.4 percent at Staples Center this season, including 35.2 percent from three-point range. In turn, the Pelicans have allowed the fourth-most points (23.5) per game to power forwards, along with the seventh-highest shooting percentage (49.8) to the position and the fourth-highest three-point percentage (37.1) overall. New Orleans also yields a bottom-half figure of 50.1 points in the paint per contest, while James logs nearly half his scoring (48.6 percent) in that area of the floor.
Marvin Bagley III vs. MIL ($6.7k DraftKings, $8k FanDuel)
Bagley’s DK price remains surprisingly stagnant. Even with his FD salary bump, he’s still worth the investment. The 2018 second overall pick has comfortably eclipsed 45 FPs on both sites in each of his first three games coming out of the All-Star break. Bagley is now in the starting five, pushing his already solid value through the roof. The young big draws a good matchup on paper versus the Bucks as well, despite the presence of Giannis Antetokounmpo down low. Milwaukee is surrendering 47.3 DK and 45.1 FD points per game to fours. Bagley also totaled 22.0 DK/21.7 FD points in 22 minutes during one prior game versus the Bucks. Given that he’s sporting a 26.1 percent usage rate and 1.31 DK/1.36 FD points per minute in his first three games with the first unit, Bagley is playable in both Cash and GPPs Wednesday.
Derrick Favors vs. LAC ($4.6k DraftKings, $6.4k FanDuel)
Favors is another particular DK bargain and remains viable on FD as well. The veteran totaled a solid 27.5 DK/25.0 FD points over 22 minutes in one prior meeting against the Clippers this season. Favors has offered strong returns on multiple occasions recently, scoring 29.5 to 45.5 DK points in three of his last four and 28.5 to 45 FD points in four of the last five. Then, Los Angeles continues to sport one of the most permeable frontcourts in the NBA. The Clippers are allowing bottom-10 figures in both DK (49.0) and FD (48.4) points to fours, along with bottom-five figures in steals (1.8) and blocks (1.6). Moreover, the Clips are yielding the second-highest offensive efficiency rating (63.6) in the paint; Favors counters by logging 71.4 percent of his scoring in that part of the floor.
Other forwards to consider: Lauri Markkanen, Julius Randle, John Collins, Montrezl Harrell, Khris Middleton, Bobby Portis, Danilo Gallinari, Al Horford, Kyle Kuzma, Andrew Wiggins, Nikola Mirotic, Jeremy Lamb, Joe Ingles, JaMychal Green
Best DFS Centers for February 27, 2019
Karl-Anthony Towns at ATL ($10.6k DraftKings, $11.2k FanDuel)
Towns bounced back from what was reportedly a life-threatening car accident late last week to explode for 72.8 DK/68.7 FD points against the Kings on Monday. KAT’s one prior encounter versus the Hawks this season also bears mentioning. He trampled Atlanta to the tune of 70.3 DK/69.3 FD points across 42 minutes. Towns has proven capable of hitting that 70-fantasy-point ceiling on multiple occasions this season. A matchup versus a Hawks squad yielding 56.6 DK and 56.9 FD points per game to fives — as well as the third-highest shooting percentage (57.0) to the position — is a recipe for one of his better returns. Plus, the fact Atlanta yields bottom-five figures in both steals (2.0) and blocks (2.7) per game to centers dovetails well with Towns averaging career bests in both categories.
Jonas Valanciunas vs. CHI ($7.4k DraftKings, $8.1k FanDuel)
Valanciunas has excelled since arriving in Memphis, enjoying a level of usage that wasn’t possible when he was part of a much more talented roster in Toronto. The veteran big man has scored at least 37 FPs on both sites in three of his first four games in a Grizzlies uniform. Curiously, the one game in which he fell short of that total was still a solid performance, and it came against the same Bulls squad he’ll face Wednesday. Valanciunas generated 28.75 DK/27.9 FD points versus Chicago across just 23 minutes. He’s also sporting a team-high 33.6 percent usage rate and averaging 1.56 DK/1.57 FD points per minute since joining Memphis. Then, the Bulls come in allowing bottom-five or bottom-10 figures in DK points (58.5), FD points (58.4), rebounds (16.9), and blocks (2.7) to centers, along with the ninth-highest offensive efficiency rating (60.0) in the paint.
Brook Lopez at SAC ($4.5k DraftKings, $6k FanDuel)
Lopez remains very reasonably priced on DK for a player who’s scored over 30 FPs in three of the last seven contests, and over 26 in two others during that span. The floor-spacing big is more aggressive than ever on offense this year, taking a career-high 6.6 three-point attempts per game and draining them at a 36.4 percent clip. The Kings are yielding plenty to centers this season as well. They surrender 57.2 DK and 55.9 FD points per game to fives, along with the most rebounds (19.7) and fifth-highest offensive efficiency rating (35.2) to the position. Lopez has now taken double-digit shot attempts in seven straight, a particularly appealing level of usage considering his current prices.
Other centers to consider: Clint Capela, Myles Turner, Cody Zeller, Enes Kanter, Jarrett Allen, Joakim Noah, Thomas Bryant