NBA Betting

The NBA DFS season rolls on Tuesday, 2/26/19, and we’ve got our best picks for your DraftKings and FanDuel lineups tonight.

Please note the advice below is relevant for daily fantasy purposes. A player or team might be better or worse from a fantasy perspective than in real life due to matchup, price, and lots of other factors. This is important to consider when constructing a roster.

Injuries play a huge role in NBA DFS on a nightly basis. Value plays on the various daily fantasy sites can arise at a moment’s notice, so always, always check the starting lineups and injury news right before tipoff.

The Full Roster contests on FanDuel include a new scoring system in which the lowest score of the nine selected players is dropped, allowing users to take more risks with a punt play or two. Then, DraftKings has brought back its late swap for NBA contests.

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2/26/19 NBA DFS TOURNAMENT PICKS

Fadeaway: $15 entry, $500k guaranteed (DraftKings) – $100,000 to 1st!
Four Point Play: $4 entry, $125k guaranteed (DraftKings)
Shot: $7.77 entry, $333k guaranteed (FanDuel) – $100,000 to 1st!
Shot: $4.44 entry, $75k guaranteed (FanDuel)

NBA DFS Top Plays for February 26, 2019

Best Guards for February 26, 2019

Kyrie Irving @ TOR ($8.8k DraftKings, $9.7k FanDuel)

Kyrie Irving is confident. He’s confident the Celtics can win a seven-game series against anyone despite their recent struggles. He’s confident he can will his team to victory and score against any defense in the NBA, because he can. Irving is averaging 30.3 PPG and 11.7 PPG while shooting 60% (39-for-65) from the floor over three meetings with Toronto’s eighth-rated defense. His quickness negates the shot-blocking ability of Serge Ibaka and Pascal Siakam, and his improved arsenal in the paint makes it extremely difficult for the smaller Kyle Lowry to contain him. This is a statement game for the sputtering Celtics, so look for Irving to put the team on his back and deliver an All-Star-caliber performance.

Dennis Smith Jr. vs. ORL ($6.7k DraftKings, $7.4k FanDuel)

Surprisingly, Dennis Smith Jr. struggled in an easy matchup against the T-Wolves, then went off for 19 points and 13 assists against the Spurs to provide huge returns on DraftKings on Sunday. Perhaps he’ll ride that momentum into another tough matchup on paper against the Magic. Orlando yields the sixth-fewest PPG (106.8) and ninth-fewest APG (23.1) this season. Yet they rank 20th in DvP against PGs over the last 14 days. Smith Jr. owns a 26.5% usage rate and has seen a huge jump with a 38.4% assist rate over nine appearances with the Knicks. The franchise hopes he can be a long-term solution at PG, and he has the keys to the offense. We also like Kadeem Allen ($4.3k, $3.5k) as a great punt play on FanDuel with the potential for even bigger salary returns if the Knicks are blown out.

Terrence Ross @ NYK ($5.3k DraftKings, $5.8k FanDuel)

If you want a safe play at the SG position, consider Knicks wing Damyean Dotson ($4.4k, $5.6k) or a key piece of the Celtics roster in Jaylen Brown ($4.6k, $4.9k). But if you want to swing for the fences in GPP formats, Terrence Ross is your guy. The sharpshooter is coming off a 28-point performance Sunday in Toronto against his former team. He posted a lofty 37.5% usage rate in that contest and could be gunning for glory again tonight in the famous Madison Square Garden. Ross has posted a usage rate over 30% in six of his last nine outings and is shooting a solid 39.2% from three on the road. The Knicks rank 26th in opponents 3-point shooting (36.8%) and 26th in overall defensive rating. The Knicks also happen to cough up the most 3PTM (2.85) per game and sixth-most FPPG (36.62) to SGs.

Other guards to consider: Russell Westbrook, Jamal Murray, Jaylen Brown, Damyean Doston, Malik Beasley, Danny Green, Kadeem Allen

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Best Forwards for February 26, 2019

Kawhi Leonard vs. BOS ($9.2k DraftKings, $9.6k FanDuel)

Assuming he suits up for this potential ECF preview, Kawhi Leonard offers a ton of salary relief respective to the top option at SF tonight in Paul George. Leonard has appeared in all three meetings with Boston this season and produced totals of 31, 31, and 33 points against the Celtics’ vaunted defense. Toronto needs him to create offense against a team that can lock up Lowry and deny Pascal Siakam easy driving lanes. Leonard averages 27 PPG and shooting 49.9% from the floor when playing at home this season. And he shoots 52.4% from the floor when playing on two days rest. He’s been sitting since Saturday and should be ready to lead the Raptors (-4) in a close contest.

Paul Millsap vs. OKC ($6.2k DraftKings, $8.4k FanDuel)

In Denver’s massive offensive performance against the Clippers Sunday, Paul Millsap contributed one of his best lines (21 points, 16 rebounds, 3 steals, 2 blocks) of the season. He could see more usage in tonight’s premier matchup with the Thunder with physical center Steven Adams looking to lock up Nuggets superstar Nikola Jokic. Millsap’s usage remains relatively modest, but he’s playing 26.2 MPG and posting an efficient 112 offensive rating in 2019. He’s really ramped up with 63 points and 42 points over his last three appearances, posting a double-double in each game. Millsap has also been far more productive at home, where he averages 14.2 PPG and shoots 54% from the field. He’s an appealing mid-tier option on DraftKings but a bit pricey on FD.

Gordon Hayward @ TOR ($4.3k DraftKings, $5.3k FanDuel)

If you’re too wary to use Gordon Hayward in all formats tonight, Jonathan Isaac ($5.8k, $6.5k) and Jayson Tatum ($5.9k, $6.7k) are mid-tier options with far less risk. Still, Hayward can provide huge returns relative to his salary if his shots are falling in Toronto tonight. He was finally returning to All-Star form with averages of 21 PPG and 4.3 APG, while shooting 63% (19-for-30) from the floor and 9-for-13 (69%) from deep, over three appearances leading into the ASB. Yet he tweaked his ankle in practice and missed a game before providing a modest 5 points over 24 minutes in a shocking loss to the Bulls. That relative dud should push the masses off Hayward, who could pay off as a contrarian GPP play in a game with a 226-point Over/Under.

Other forwards to consider: Paul George, Jonathan Isaac, Jayson Tatum, Kevin Knox, Jerami Grant

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Best Centers for February 26, 2019

Steven Adams @ DEN ($5.6k DraftKings, $6.6k FanDuel)

Nikola Jokic has been on an incredible run, but we’re willing to fade the superstar center tonight in part because of the defensive prowess of Steven Adams. Adams is in a far more affordable price range. Plus, he is a good bet to meet value in a contest with the highest Over/Under (237.5) on this three-game slate. He’s averaging 15 PPG and 10.3 RPG on the road this season and has produced two double-doubles with a combined 38 points and 28 rebounds over two meetings with the Nuggets this season. Denver is allowing the fourth-most FPPG (46.06) to centers this season. Jokic is asked to do so much on offense that he lacks the energy to lock down defensively at times. We also like taking a chance on Marc Gasol ($5.7k, $5.7k) in GPPs or riding the hot streak with Al Horford ($6.3k, $8.0k) on DK.

Mitchell Robinson vs. ORL ($5.4k DraftKings, $6.5k FanDuel)

Finally free to play big minutes in the middle, Mitchell Robinson exceeded expectations with 15 points, 14 rebounds, and 5 blocks in Sunday’s surprising win over the Spurs. The Knicks remain home tonight and could once again be without DeAndre Jordan (ankle). As a tanking team, the Knicks would be wise to give Robinson more run over Jordan anyway. The rookie is certainly exciting fans with his incredible shot-blocking ability. Robinson averages 12.4 points, 9.7 rebounds, and 4.4 blocks per 36 minutes, so playing around 30 minutes once again would all but ensure he meets or exceeds value. Just keep an eye on Jordan’s status for this one.

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