NBA Betting

The NBA DFS season rolls on Wednesday, Feb. 13, 2019, and we’ve got our best picks for your DraftKings and FanDuel lineups for tonight.

Please note the advice below is relevant for daily fantasy purposes. A player or team might be better or worse from a fantasy perspective than in real life due to matchup, price and lots of other factors. This is important to consider when constructing a roster.

Injuries play a huge role in NBA DFS on a nightly basis. Value plays on the various daily fantasy sites can arise at a moment’s notice so always, always check the starting lineups and injury news right before tipoff.

The Full Roster contests on FanDuel (FD) include a new scoring system in which the lowest score of the nine selected players is dropped, allowing users to take more risks with a punt play or two. Then, DraftKings (DK) has brought back its late swap for NBA contests.

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2/13/19 NBA DFS TOURNAMENT PICKS

Wednesday Shootaround: $12 entry, $400k guaranteed (DraftKings)- $100K to 1st!
Rotation Player: $66 entry, $150k guaranteed (DraftKings)- $50K to 1st!
Wed. Shot: $9.99 entry, $333k guaranteed (FanDuel) – $50K to 1st!
Wed. Slam: $55 entry, $100k guaranteed (FanDuel) – $20K to 1st!

NBA DFS Best Picks & Plays for February 13, 2019

Best DFS Guards for February 13, 2019

James Harden at MIN ($11.8k DraftKings, $12.8k FanDuel)

Harden is now just one 30-point performance away from tying Wilt Chamberlain for the second-longest such streak in NBA history. He’s averaging well over 60 FPs on both sites and racked up 51 DK and 49.8 FD points in his one prior meeting against the T-Wolves on 47.1 percent shooting, including 42.9 percent from three-point range. Minnesota continues to be vulnerable to two-guards, allowing the fifth-most DK (43.5) and sixth-most FD (42.0) points per game to the position. They’re also yielding the third-most points (24.1) and third-most rebounds (6.7). Then, the T-Wolves are allowing the sixth-highest three-point percentage (35.8) on their home floor. That could certainly lead to plenty of happy returns for Harden.

D’Angelo Russell at CLE ($8.5k DraftKings, $9k FanDuel)

Russell averaged over 40 FPs on both sites in two prior games against the Cavaliers. Plus, the surging point guard is a better shooter on the road this season, draining 44.4 percent of his attempts, including 39.2 percent from three. Those numbers are significant improvements on his 43.0 percent and 35.9 percent figures in those categories at home. Then, Cleveland continues to be one of the most generous teams in the NBA to PGs. The Cavs are allowing them the highest shooting percentage (48.3) and the second-highest offensive efficiency rating (28.9). Cleveland is also yielding the third-most DK (50.6) and second-most FD (49.6) points per game to ones, along with bottom-10 figures in points (24.9), rebounds (6.5), assists (8.7), and made threes (2.9). Russell brings a 60-fantasy-point ceiling, excellent for his current price.

Jamal Murray vs. SAC ($6.2k DraftKings, $7k FanDuel)

Murray seems to be a tad underpriced Wednesday, especially on DK. The third-year guard has found the Kings a welcoming bunch this season on two occasions. Sacramento allowed Murray to drain 52.9 percent of his attempts this year, including 50.0 percent from three. Murray has also scored at least 40 FPs on both sites in two of his first three games since returning from an ankle injury. The Kings continue to be viable candidates to target with point guards. They’re allowing the sixth-most DK (49.8) and fifth-most FD (48.7) points per game to ones. Those figures are the byproducts of bottom-10 figures yielded in points (24.0), rebounds (6.5), assists (8.7), made threes (2.8), and steals (2.0) per game to the position. That leaves the talented and versatile Murray no shortage of paths to fantasy success.

Other guards to consider: Zach LaVine, Kyle Lowry, Lou Williams, C.J. McCollum, Derrick Rose, Terry Rozier, Buddy Hield, Klay Thompson, Jeff Teague, J.J. Redick, Jordan Clarkson, Tim Hardaway, Jr., Patrick Beverley, Collin Sexton, Joe Harris, Gerald Green

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Best DFS Forwards for February 13, 2019

Kevin Durant at POR ($9.3k DraftKings, $9.9k FanDuel)

Durant has already enjoyed plenty of success versus the Trail Blazers this season, and Portland continues to be highly vulnerable to small forwards. That makes for an enticing DFS combination Wednesday. Durant is averaging over 50 FPs on both sites in three games against Portland this season and shooting an impressive 54.0 percent in those contests. Durant is a 50.0 percent shooter on the road overall, and the Blazers come in allowing 41.6 DK and 41.5 FD points per game to threes. They’re also yielding the sixth-most rebounds (8.4) per contest to SFs, the fourth-highest three-point percentage (39.6), and the second-highest offensive efficiency rating (23.2) to the position. All those represent weaknesses Durant is apt to exploit, leaving him poised for one of his famed ceiling games at a four-figure price. 

Tobias Harris at NY ($6.8k DraftKings, $7.2k FanDuel)

Harris has hit the ground running in Philly. Despite a quiet 10 points and 8 rebounds against Boston last night, he scored over 30 FPs in his first two contests as a Sixer. Wednesday, he’ll draw an enticing matchup at excellent prices. The Knicks have been a doormat for power forwards throughout the season. Their multitude of weaknesses includes allowing the fourth-most DK (50.2) and third-most FD (48.6) points per game to PFs. They’re also yielding bottom-10 metrics in points (22.9), assists (4.1), made threes (2.3) and blocks (1.6) per game to fours. Meanwhile, Harris boasts an impressive 18.8 PER (Player Efficiency Rating) and career highs in FG shooting (49.8) and three-point shooting percentage (44.0). Finally, the Knicks’ NBA-low 43.5 percent shooting at home should certainly afford Harris his fair share of opportunities on the defensive glass.

Justin Holiday at CHI ($4.7k DraftKings, $5k FanDuel)

Holiday comes at a nice discount on both sites Wednesday. The veteran wing is beginning to hit his stride in Memphis now that the starting two-guard job appears to be in his grasp. He’s scored 23.0 to 37.75 DK points/21.3 to 39.8 FD points in four of his last five games. A matchup against his old Chicago teammates brings both extra motivation and an appealing matchup. The Bulls are allowing bottom-10 figures in DK points (42.6), FD points (41.1), rebounds (6.8), and made threes (3.2) per game to SGs. They’re also yielding the fourth-highest shooting percentage (44.9) to the position. Holiday is struggling with his shot, but he remains aggressive. The sixth-year pro is taking a robust 6.1 three-point attempts per game and draining them at a 34.7 percent clip. 

Other forwards to consider: Montrezl Harrell, Larry Nance, Jr., Kenneth Faried, Pascal Siakam, Khris Middleton, Josh Richardson, Bobby Portis, Al Horford, Jaren Jackson, Jr., Jabari Parker, Serge Ibaka, Thaddeus Young, Josh Jackson, Ivan Rabb, Marvin Bagley, Bojan Bogdanovic, Domantas Sabonis

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Best DFS Centers for February 13, 2019

Karl-Anthony Towns vs. HOU ($10.3k DraftKings, $10.9k FanDuel)

Foul trouble helped derail Towns in a plum matchup versus the Clippers on Monday. KAT still managed to generate 42.5 DK and 40 FD points in just 27 minutes. Tonight, the Rockets make for a solid matchup if he can steer clear of the ref’s whistle. Towns already touched up Houston for 50.8 DK/50.7 FD points in one encounter this season. The Rockets have also been more vulnerable to centers during Clint Capela’s absence due to a thumb injury. Houston is now allowing 56.8 DK/56.4 FD points per game to fives. Moreover, no team allows more points in the paint per game than the Rockets (52.9), while Towns is logging just under half his scoring (49.3 percent) in that area of the floor. Finally, the Rockets’ bottom-half road shooting percentage (44.6) could certainly add up to extra chances on the defensive glass for Towns. He’s already a double-double machine as is. 

Deandre Ayton at LAC ($6.7k DraftKings, $7.4k FanDuel)

Lost in the malaise of the Suns’ forgettable season are Ayton’s impressive consistency and production. The 2018 top overall pick has lived up to the hype despite all the losing Phoenix has endured. Ayton is averaging 36.0 DK and 35.5 FD points per game. He’s displayed a ceiling well north of 40 FPs on both sites on multiple occasions. And Ayton faces a team in the Clippers tonight against whom he’s done well. Ayton shot 57.1 percent and averaged nearly 30 FPs on both sites across 28.4 minutes in three prior games versus Los Angeles. The Clips also continue to be among the NBA’s most inept squads versus centers. They’re allowing bottom-10 or league-worst figures in DK points (62.25), FD points (62.2), points (26.0), rebounds (17.0), assists (4.2), and blocks (2.6) per game to fives. Then, LA is also surrendering the highest offensive efficiency rating (37.1) to fives and a generous 51.0 points in the paint per game (including 59.3 over the last three), solidifying Ayton’s already strong case further.

Mitchell Robinson vs. PHI ($4.1k DraftKings, $5k FanDuel)   

Robinson continues to thrive despite the arrival of DeAndre Jordan in the Big Apple. Robinson has logged over 20 minutes in three of his last four contests, including the last two with Jordan in the lineup. He’s also eclipsed 20 FPs in eight of his last 10 on DK and nine of 10 on FD. This, despite not playing more than 24 minutes in any of those games. Robinson also managed 21 DK/23.7 FD points over just 17 minutes in one prior game against the Sixers this season. Then, Philly allows 54.5 DK/54.0 FD points per game to fives and the fifth-most points in the paint per road game (52.0). Robinson is capable of exploiting the latter figure: he logs 86.6 percent of his points in that part of the floor. Plus, his own team’s NBA-worst 43.5 home shooting percentage will afford him plenty of opportunities on the offensive boards.

Other centers to consider: Hassan Whiteside, Marc Gasol, Myles Turner, DeMarcus Cousins, Deandre Jordan, Thomas Bryant, Jonas Valanciunas, Joakim Noah  

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