Please note the advice below is relevant for daily fantasy purposes. A player or team might be better or worse from a fantasy perspective than in real life due to matchup, price, and lots of other factors. This is important to consider when constructing a roster.
Injuries play a huge role in NBA DFS on a nightly basis. Value plays on the various daily fantasy sites can arise at a moment’s notice, so always, always check the starting lineups and injury news right before tipoff.
The Full Roster contests on FanDuel include a new scoring system in which the lowest score of the nine selected players is dropped, allowing users to take more risks with a punt play or two. Then, DraftKings has brought back its late swap for NBA contests.
2/12/19 NBA DFS TOURNAMENT PICKS
Big Jam: $10 entry, $400k guaranteed (DraftKings) – $100,000 to 1st!
Four Point Play: $4 entry, $130k guaranteed (DraftKings)
Shot: $15 entry, $350k guaranteed (FanDuel) – $100,000 to 1st!
Shot: $7.77 entry, $75k guaranteed (FanDuel)
NBA DFS Top Plays for February 12, 2019
Best Guards for February 12, 2019
Ben Simmons vs. BOS ($7.8k DraftKings, $8.8k FanDuel)
He’s struggled in consecutive games and faces a possibly brutal matchup against a Celtics team that owned him last postseason. So why are we picking Ben Simmons tonight? Because of his price point on DraftKings. The versatile point guard is averaging 1.59 FPs per minute this season and sees a spike in his rebounding and assist numbers with a 118 offensive rating at home this season. He’s produced 30 points, 29 rebounds, and 16 assists over two meetings with the Celtics this season and only has more weapons around to rack up assists with Tobias Harris in the fold. Perhaps the noise about Magic Johnson tampering with Simmons will serve as a distraction, but perhaps it will motivate the powerful lefty.
Trae Young vs. LAL ($6.7k DraftKings, $7.4k FanDuel)
Like Simmons, Trae Young is also clearly underpriced on DK. He’s facing a Lakers team that’s been abysmal defensively all year and coughs up the most FPPG (43.75) to opposing PGs this season. Despite a quiet game against the stingy Magic defense his last time out, Young is averaging 19.5 PPG and 8.3 APG while shooting 44.7% from downtown over six February games. He’s scored in double figures in seven straight and sports a 29.7% usage rate when playing at home. In a matchup between teams that rank fourth (Lakers) and first (Hawks) in terms of pace, Young has huge upside with an 8.09 plus/minus rating and the potential for 6x salary returns on DK according to models on FantasyLabs.
Evan Fournier @ NO ($5.2k DraftKings, $6.2k FanDuel)
With Evan Fournier, you’re not necessarily getting a “splash” GPP play. The shifty wing can score consistently but offers few peripheral stats to offer true slate-winning upside. Tonight, you can bank on Fournier meeting value against a Pelicans team that yields the fourth-most PPG (117.6) this season and has at times benched elite defender Anthony Davis down the stretch. The Pels cough up the second-most 3PTM (12.2) per game, and Fournier is shooting 45.5% from downtown over his last five outings. He’s also logging 5.6 APG during that span and should be productive in a game with a healthy Over/Under (226.5) in New Orleans.
Other guards to consider: Steph Curry, Terry Rozier, Jimmy Butler, Rajon Rondo, Jaylen Brown, Kevin Huerter, D.J. Augustin, Tim Frazier
Best Forwards for February 12, 2019
Anthony Davis vs. ORL ($10.3k DraftKings, $12.5k FanDuel)
In his first game back from the trade request heard ’round the world, Anthony Davis saw just 25 minutes and was benched during the fourth quarter. Yet he still produced 32 points and 51.25 DraftKings points, a total he slightly topped while logging 34 minutes in a tough matchup at Memphis the following night. Now, he’ll face a Magic team that yields the third-most defensive RPG (36.1) and coughs up an above-average 42.18 FPPG to opposing PFs this season. Davis comes with some risk, but getting a player of his caliber at a discount is worth the risk in tournaments. Just be aware he has a -5.24 plus/minus rating, indicating his true risk.
Tobias Harris vs. BOS ($6.6k DraftKings, $7.2k FanDuel)
Yet another underpriced option on DK tonight, Tobias Harris is poised to meet or exceed value in a home game with a 225-point Over/Under. He’s been working his way into the flow of the Sixers’ elite offense and dropped 22 points over just 29 minutes in a 143-point outing against the Lakers. While the Celtics are more efficient defensively, they’re also capable of pushing Philly more down the stretch. Harris is great at moving without the ball to produce his points, and Simmons is as unselfish a PG as there is in the NBA, making that tandem worth pairing if you’re stacking the Celtics-Sixers game.
Kenrich Williams vs. ORL ($4.9k DraftKings, $6.4k FanDuel)
With the Pelicans moving in a youthful direction, players like Kenrich Williams are being given their chance to shine. Davis might be an option for GPPs, but Williams can be used in any format with Nikola Mirotic traded. When he’s not scoring efficiently, Williams has been able to pile up peripheral stats. The undrafted rookie is logging 33.1 MPG over his last seven appearances and deserves to continue playing big minutes with a 116 offensive rating and 113 defensive rating. Williams has the potential for 6.3x salary returns on DK per FantasyLabs.
Other forwards to consider: Kevin Durant, Julius Randle, Jaren Jackson Jr., Jayson Tatum, Jonathan Isaac, Marcus Morris, Taurean Prince
Best Centers for February 12, 2019
Rudy Gobert @ GSW ($8.2k DraftKings, $9.0k FanDuel)
Utah (+8.5) is capable of at least giving the Warriors a run tonight before likely fading late. As long as the deficit is somewhat manageable in the fourth quarter, Rudy Gobert should get his usual allotment of run and post a fifth straight double-double. The Warriors are allowing the third-most FPPG (51.08) to centers over the last 14 days, and Gobert has powered his way to 33 points, 26 rebounds, and 5 blocks over two meetings with the Dubs this season. Gobert has the highest per-dollar rating (90.25) of any center on DK by far tonight, per FantasyLabs.
Ivan Rabb vs. SA ($5.6k DraftKings, $5.4k FanDuel)
The Grizzlies are moving forward with Ivan Rabb at center, which makes the big man a solid Cash play. This game has a 209-point Over/Under well below the other four totals on the slate, but Rabb could post a double-double in a low-scoring game given his 24.9% defensive rebounding rate this season. The 6-foot-10 Cal product has narrowly missed the double-double bonus in consecutive outings. Rabb should see ample playing time in this spot against a sizable Spurs front line that ranks 19th in DvP against centers this season.